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Rate Hike Bets Near 80%—Is This Getting Out of Hand?

CME data shows the probability of a rate hike in December has reached 80.5%. With the current rate at 3.75%-4.00%, market expectations have jumped straight to 4.00%-4.25%.

Rate-cut hopes are dashed, and liquidity is tightening.

But for crypto, the final stages of a rate-hiking cycle often mean: fiat gets more expensive → risk aversion rises → Bitcoin’s “inflation hedge narrative” gets a new lease on life.

The key isn’t the rate hike itself, but whether rates peak “after this one” and whether a global liquidity turning point is near.

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Have you eaten, everyone? I said we'd see below 2100#ETH
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Nvidia's stock decline is just the beginning? The Jensen Huang controversy could make the entire AI sector nervous!

A controversy at one company first affects its own stock price, but when that company is Nvidia, things may not be so simple.
Nvidia's position in the AI industry is too important. From GPU manufacturing to cloud computing and large model training, the entire AI investment boom depends on it. In a sense, Nvidia's stock price is not just a stock; sometimes it is also a barometer of market confidence in the AI industry.
The issues arising from the Jensen Huang controversy could af
NVDA+2.80%
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Why do some traders review their trades every day and trade for a long time, yet never improve their performance?

They record every trade, study every loss, and even keep adjusting their strategy parameters.

But months pass, and the problems remain: losses keep recurring, trading rules are repeatedly changed, historical backtests look increasingly impressive, but live trading shows no significant improvement.

The problem may not be a lack of effort in reviewing trades, but a flawed review process.

I. Remembering winning trades while overlooking the details of failures

It is easy to rememb
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Tech bigwigs are coming out one after another to say:
Jensen Huang just made a mistake that men everywhere make; it shouldn’t be held against the company.
If Nvidia is done for, then we’re all done for 🤣🤣
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🔥ZEC shorts cashing in together, with pinpoint timing!
The strategy was laid out in advance: a rebound to around 1290 would be an entry point for shorts. Yesterday, the market surged as expected into that resistance zone, but the bulls lacked the strength to push higher and retreated under pressure. The morning low was 1176, capturing a 114-point move. The high-level short setup paid off precisely once again!
Every rebound gives shorts an opportunity, with entry levels called perfectly. Whether BTC, ETH, or ZEC, the shorts have dominated across the board!#美国10月CPI即将公布 $ZEC
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Aoying’s latest move: went long 284 Hynix tokens at $840 each, with a total position value of 200k U. $SKHYNIX
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11.09 BTC Market Analysis

Short: 75400-75800 area, stop loss at 76200, targets at 74500/74000.

BTC is currently at 75213. After rebounding from a low of 73418, the price has been range-bound above 75000. Short-term moving averages are gradually converging, while rebound volume has weakened.

The 75400-75800 area above is a secondary consolidation platform from the previous decline, reinforced by a dense trading zone and overhead moving average resistance. The resistance is significant. The current price is in the middle of the range, so opening a short directly risks being shaken out by a sh
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Gulfstream Notes: SNDK 4h Pullback Long
2026.11.09-11:19

1. Background trend: An oversold rebound has formed a double-bottom recovery structure. Price is currently moving sideways, with key resistance at 900 and potential for a reversal.

2. View: Focus on the 4-hour candle close. After a piercing pattern or engulfing candle appears, confirm that buying volume follows through, then look for long opportunities. Wait for an entry signal on either a breakout above resistance or a pullback to support.

3. Strategy: Intraday approach. Wait for the signal candle to pull back near 0.382–0.5 before e
SNDK+3.53%
$BTC BTC short call delivered perfectly!

Set up a short at key levels between 755-759 in the morning session, with a stop above 765 and targets at 746-735.

The 75575 price action dropped as expected, dipping to around 74800 and perfectly hitting the target zone.

A few hundred points of profit safely booked; every bounce is an opportunity to short.

Get the timing right, and making a profit is this simple.
#美国10月CPI即将公布 #BTC闪崩插针
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11/7 ETH short trade verification
Entry zone: 2255–2275; actual high: 2250.6. A precise entry.
Two target levels: 2205 / 2170. Both hit.
Actual low: 2050.32, a 200-point move, exceeding expectations.
This isn’t hindsight—it’s a call I publicly posted a day and a half in advance. I don’t brag about my ability; the market will speak for me. $ETH ‌#美国10月CPI即将公布
ETH-1.23%
$BTC is currently trading at $75,510.

Bitcoin is holding around the $75.5K level as traders monitor the next major move. A breakout above nearby resistance could strengthen bullish momentum, while a loss of support may trigger further downside pressure.
BTC-0.67%
$ZEC Currently at 1,230.8, down 2.10% over 24H (range: 1,180.02–1,290). The 1H trend is weak, with an RSI of 37; the 4H trend is weak, with an RSI of 23. If it breaks above 1,290 convincingly, watch for further upside. If it falls below the 1,180.02 support, the short-term structure may weaken. The market is volatile; for observation only.
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A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend Based on Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Recommendations)
综合研判? Need translate all. Oops final must English. Ensure line count. Let's formulate. "Comprehensive assessment".

Dow Theory confirms 74,791 has been broken, with the bearish trend entering its final acceleration
Chan Theory: the downward stroke continues, the consolidation zone is moving lower, and there are no buy signals
Elliott Wave Theory: subwave ③ of wave C’s fifth wave is extending, already exceeding the
BTC-0.67%
Another sneak attack? Good! Today's dessert has been eaten. #UNI Hit a low of 6.61 and completed ✅ all targets. Down 6.23% $UNI #美国10月CPI即将公布
飞鱼2026祝福版
One altcoin—don't miss it!
UNI+3.05%
Those who bought the dip at 2300 and 2200—how are they doing now? Why have I repeatedly warned against buying the dip these past few days?

I’ve been reminding everyone not to blindly buy the dip. The reason is simple: the current market environment is simply not suited to guessing where the bottom is based on gut feeling.

Uncertainty in the market has increased significantly, especially since the US midterm elections.

I’m mainly looking at a few factors:

First, policy expectations have shifted.

With the Democratic Party winning both chambers of Congress, the future direction of US crypto
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#BTC闪崩插针 Ten-minute liquidations hit $1 billion: What happened after Bitcoin fell below $74,000?

The $74,000 level held for only a few hours. The 24-hour high was $76,200, the low was $73,510, and the current price is around $74,985.73—nearly $2,700 of swings in a single day. What really stands out, however, is not how far the price fell, but that $1 billion in crypto liquidations occurred over the past 10 minutes. This was not a slow, steady decline, but a concentrated clearing of leveraged positions.

01 First, the data: What did the market look like today?
BTC repeatedly tested the area ar
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morning market update xrp
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The U.S. October CPI report will be released on November 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET. September CPI came in at 3.7% year over year, and markets will be watching closely for signs that inflation is cooling, especially in core CPI. A softer-than-expected reading could strengthen rate-cut expectations, while hotter inflation may pressure risk assets through higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar. How do you think this CPI print will move $BTC, U.S. stocks and gold?

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