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September minutes leaned hawkish, so why did the probability of an October rate hike fall below 20%?

Let’s first look at a set of data that I find highly contradictory but extremely interesting.

The September meeting minutes showed that all 19 policymakers supported a 25-basis-point rate hike in September, with most officials believing that one more hike this year would be appropriate. But the CME FedWatch tool showed that the market priced in less than a 20% chance of a 25-basis-point hike at the October 27–28 meeting, down sharply from around 70% in the days following the September decis
BTC+0.47%
🚨 $APLD might look to bounce off this support
LIQUIDITY GRABBED, This can target 28 and 31 off here as long as yesterday's low near 22.60 doesnt get taken out.
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APLD-1.48%
Friday market brief : BTC/ETH key levels
live-cover
LIVE2,484
Crypto market cap has broken below its 7-week uptrend support.
We could see a short-term correction if it fails to reclaim the trendline.
#BTCPullsBackTo81000
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🚨 JUST IN: WHAT HAPPENED TO UPT0BER?! 📉
October is historically one of Bitcoin’s most bullish months, yet $BTC is moving in the WRONG direction!
Heavy selling pressure, leveraged liquidations, and growing market uncertainty are crushing bullish momentum.
🐂 Bulls expected a massive rally.
🐻 Bears are taking control.
But here's the twist: October's bullish history NEVER guaranteed a green month.
Is this just a shakeout before a massive comeback, or is UPT0BER turning into DUMPTOBER? 👀🔥
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BTC+0.50%
$BTC Recovery is still underway… 84,300 is the next test. Bitcoin rebounded strongly after holding the 80,000–80,300 support zone and has now moved back above 83,200. Next target price: 83,500 Key resistance: 84,200–84,300 Breakout target: 85,500 Extended target: 86,600 As long as BTC continues to hold above 82,000–82,300, the recovery trend remains solid. A decisive break above 84,300 would further strengthen the bullish rebound momentum. If rejected here, the price may fall back toward 82,500–82,000. Trade on $BTC .
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BTC+0.50%
$PUMP enters the oversold zone; a rebound and bottoming are two different things
$PUMP 24-hour -2.70%, current price 0.005585. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 53 and 23, respectively. Oversold conditions create demand for a rebound, but a rebound only shows that the decline was sharp; bottoming still requires the price to stop breaking down structurally.
Let’s pull the camera back to the 24-hour range: low 0.005269, high 0.005847. Where does the current price of 0.005585 sit within this range? That will directly affect the meaning of the same signal. Near the high, strength must prove it is not
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PUMP-5.45%
10/9 Gold's fifth trade: +13.86 points, 13,860 U!
New partner: 30,000 U; currently at 238,400 U!
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GLDX+1.49%
PAXG+1.39%
XAU+1.49%
$ETH ETH bears nailed it perfectly! Every rebound is a free-money entry opportunity
Today’s market climbed as high as 2519, stopping precisely at the upper edge of our entry range. It couldn’t even hold 2520 before turning around and plunging to 2472, putting dozens of points of profit straight into our pockets
What you see as an “oversold rebound set to reverse” is, in my view, a golden entry opportunity for those who haven’t gotten on board
No need to guess or gamble—the trend is already clearly defined, and the levels have been marked out for you. Just enter with a stop-loss in place and le
ETH-1.64%
$BTC shorts are getting wiped out.
Bitcoin is grinding higher while Open Interest continues to drop, suggesting short positions are being flushed out.
If this momentum continues, the short squeeze could push BTC even higher.
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BTC+0.47%
Turns out this is a rare card—I couldn’t find anyone to trade with. Damn 🫠
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If Bitcoin falls below May's
high,
the fourth quarter will be brutal.
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U.S. Treasury risk is at a 16-year high, $ETH -1.1% and still bullish
U.S. Treasury risk has hit a 16-year high, everything that needed to be dumped has been dumped, $ETH is currently at 2506.43, down 1.1% over 24h—I'm directly bullish at this level; a pullback amid divergence is an opportunity.
The bearish news has been priced in, yet the market did not fall. After the event, $ETH moved from 2490.98 to 2508.06, up 0.69%, with the selling pressure absorbed by real money.
This pullback is not a breakdown. The daily RSI at 37.5 is weak but has held, 30d still has 1.62% left, and the Fear & Gr
ETH-1.60%
Today’s Market Update (1)
Let’s start with on-chain data. The on-chain model is still maintaining a bullish bias (Figure 1: above the zero line in the upper chart, and a score >=4 in the lower chart).
At the same time, short-term traders continued to capitulate and sell yesterday. Historically, the pattern remains the same: in a bull market, areas where short-term traders panic-sell are buying opportunities (Figure 2).
From a broader structural perspective, price is still within a range, and yesterday’s low happened to be at the level where the lower boundary of the range was reclaimed.
HYPE-1.07%
COING-0.13%
$MARA weekly buy order block and RSI triple re-test
Sell me your shares
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MARA-1.61%
Short gold at the current price of 4184; add to the position at 4200, with a stop-loss at 4215. Downside targets: 4175–4150. Be sure to control position size.
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GLDX+1.49%
PAXG+1.39%
XAU+1.49%
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A gambler (or possibly a hacker) sold 262.78 $ETH for 643K $USDC and deposited it into Hyperliquid, then opened a 40x short on 305.51 $BTC ($25.4M) 40 minutes ago.
Liquidation price: $84,086.03
ETH-1.60%
USDC0.00%
BTC+0.47%
$SKY /USDT BREAKOUT ALERT
Strong volume has pushed SKY above its descending channel.
The retest is now the main focus. If price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation could follow.
Watch the structure closely.
#GateAtTOKEN2049 #GateWCTCS9GlobalTradingCompetition #AIStocksFallALABDropsOver9% #GateNetInflowRanks3rd
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SKY-0.83%
Floki all time high hype ath pump pump bigpump ath go
FLOKI-1.46%
BIGPUMP+1.78%
What??
Hardware wallets aren't safe anymore either??
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