$TAO (4h)

December rate hike probability at 88%; 50-basis-point option goes from “zero” to “on the table”

Before CPI was released, markets priced in about a 72% chance of a December rate hike. After the data came out, CME FedWatch jumped directly to 88.8%, while the probability of a 50-basis-point hike rose from 0% before the release to between 11% and 15%. Markets are no longer pricing in “no change in December” as an option.

CPI wasn’t the only catalyst. Fed Governor Waller had already made his position clear before the data came out: if core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, he would lean toward supp

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#AnthropicIPOValuationCouldReach1.4T #ShareWeekly
Anthropic’s IPO filing sets a clear price range and a landmark target: 825 million Class A shares at $70–$78 each, aiming for up to roughly $64.4 billion in IPO proceeds and a fully diluted valuation as high as about $1.4 trillion. A concurrent $26 billion private placement from seven major technology companies brings total potential capital raised near $90 billion. This is one of the largest and most closely watched AI listings ever attempted.
Anthropic, the company behind the Claude family of models, updated its IPO documents on November 10,

#Polymarket年化收入突破18亿美元 #WCTCS9
Yes, I believe that prediction markets are not merely experiencing a temporary surge in popularity, but have instead entered a genuine phase of growth. However, their long-term success will depend on whether they can sustain liquidity and user engagement during the intervals between major global events.

From my perspective, prediction markets are evolving from platforms for speculative betting into ecosystems for real-time information and forecasting.

I find three areas to be particularly promising:

1. Macroeconomics and financial markets: BTC and ETH prices,

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$SPCXB Currently at 141.74, up 2.25% over 24H. The 1H trend is weak, with an RSI of 37; the 4H trend is strong, with an RSI of 65, indicating divergence between timeframes. Resistance is at 148.41, with 1H support at 140.1. A sustained hold above 148.41 could signal continuation, while a break below 140.1 would warrant caution for further weakness. Review whether price holds above 148.41 and whether it reclaims 140.1 after a breakdown. With divergence between the two timeframes, a short-term reversal is not yet confirmed. Market volatility is high; for observation only.

I came across an interesting meme today that could potentially do 20x or even 100x. Who hasn’t watched Red Fruit short dramas? They’re incredibly well-known😂. I don’t think this Red Fruit short drama will have any trouble breaking out; it could surge 1.20x in a single day at any moment. That’s how memes are. And everyone uses this Red Fruit short drama—it’s like a feel-good wish-fulfillment story. Who doesn’t watch it before bed?$ARIA $AGT $The Bull Is Coming

Everything is fake
SELL EVERYTHING
$BTC

Advice for children from poor families:
1. Protect yourself first: Don’t marry or have children too early. Take good care of your health, eat well, and remember that health matters more than anything.
2. Stay away from pointless socializing: Spend less time on meaningless social events, avoid people who drain you, and get to know mentors who are more knowledgeable than you and can inspire you.
3. Improve your ability to support yourself: Learn foreign languages and skills, become proficient at using AI, and master as many money-making skills as possible.
4. Don’t rush into major life decisions

11.11 Wednesday evening Zhongling Gold outlook

The morning and afternoon outlooks were both validated, but intraday momentum was limited, and the market failed to make the expected move. The four-hour chart remains in a bearish alignment, with prices continually capped by the moving averages and further downside momentum still to come. Although there are signs of short-term stabilization and recovery, the broader trend has yet to reverse. A pullback after resistance halts the rebound remains the main pattern. The strategy remains to primarily sell rallies.

Intraday strategy:
Set up short pos

The sharp declines in the US stock market are also affecting cryptocurrencies. Notably, $NVDA has experienced a significant drop, with other major companies such as those represented in the $SPCX index also seeing declines. You might consider these downturns as buying opportunities. It is now easy to access US stocks through various trading platforms. Furthermore, you can even generate a substantial source of passive income by engaging in liquidity mining with these stocks. Blockchain technology makes all of this possible. Stay tuned to our page for more...

#SPCXB #SPCX #NVDAB #NVDA #USOctobe

$ETH historical structure ✍️
- 2016: short consolidation after the 2016 top
- 2019–2020: 2-year consolidation after the 2018 top
- 2022–2026: 4-year consolidation after the 2021 top
Same pattern, bigger base.
Next: 2027 could be the next cycle top and another ATH 🔥

Why do actual losses exceed expectations even when a stop-loss is set?

Many traders believe that once they set a stop-loss, they have controlled their risk.

But after entering the market, they may find that the stop-loss was triggered, yet the account loss was greater than expected.

This is especially worth watching in volatile cryptocurrency markets, when liquidity declines or contracts undergo rapid liquidations.

The problem is:

A stop-loss is a risk management tool, but it does not mean you will necessarily get filled at the preset price.

I. Different types of stop-loss orders are exe

$AGT The bulls have really built momentum this time, with trading volume surging and price breaking through the range it had been stuck in for so long. The upward momentum is clearly strong. But don't get carried away after a sharp rally; consider the risk of a pullback before chasing the price higher.

Plan: Entry range $0.0540–$0.0570, first target $0.0600, second target $0.0630, third target $0.0680, with a stop at $0.0500.
Also keep an eye on the price action of $INIT and TRUMP.
Risk warning: The above is only my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice. Contr

Why Can High Funding Rates Make Long-Term Positions Increasingly Expensive?

Many crypto traders focus on BTC price movements but overlook another factor that can continuously affect trading results: funding rates.

You may have correctly predicted the market and your position may be temporarily profitable, but if you hold a perpetual contract for a long time, ongoing funding payments can still erode your eventual returns.

Directional calls determine profits and losses from price changes, while funding rates can continuously affect holding costs.

I. What Are Funding Rates?

Funding rates are

the-open-network:native is currently at 1.248, up 13.97% over 24H (range: 1.079–1.254). The 1H trend is strong, with an RSI of 77; the 4H trend is strong, with an RSI of 91. If it breaks above 1.254 decisively, watch for further upside. If it falls below the 1.081 support, the short-term structure may weaken. The market is highly volatile; for observation only.

Trade number eight, up 7 points. I'm numb from all the gains today—eight wins in a row!$XAUUSD #美伊谈判出现新进展