Do you still believe???
😎😎

What Is Trading Expectancy? Why Can a High-Win-Rate Strategy Still Lose Money Over the Long Term?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people treat win rate as the primary measure of a strategy’s quality, believing that a strategy that wins seven out of ten trades must be better than one that wins only four. But what truly determines a strategy’s long-term performance is not just how many times it wins, but also the amount gained and lost on each trade. This is the significance of trading expectancy.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy refers to the average expected profit or l

Cathie Wood was buying while everyone else was capitulating again. She spent 45.9 million buying Nvidia at Thursday’s lows, then kept adding on Friday. That’s just how she is: the more it drops, the more willing she is to buy. She’s betting on computing power three to five years from now, not this week’s chart. Whether you follow her is another matter, but putting real money on the line beats just calling the bottom. Are you still holding NVDA?

Ahr999 falls below 0.45—the signal light is on!
The index has fallen back to around 0.4, while BTC is consolidating around $74,000.
Historically, this range has often coincided with an emotional low, but not necessarily a fundamental turning point.
With the AI narrative cooling and macro data lacking, on-chain valuation has become one of the few benchmarks still being updated continuously.
It doesn’t predict direction; it only tracks the relative distance between price and cost.
Army’s outlook:
The signal light being on doesn’t mean we’re setting off right away. It just means others have trave

$XMR Now heavily shorting, then buy in at $222.46; short entry price: 562.84 $XMR 👇

What Is the Risk of Consecutive Losses? Why Can a Seemingly Reasonable Position Size Still Hurt Your Account After a Losing Streak?

In cryptocurrency trading, even if a strategy has positive expected value over the long term, that does not mean every trade will be profitable. Consecutive losses can occur in any trading system, and without risk planning in advance, a seemingly reasonable position size can gradually erode account capital.

First, what is the risk of consecutive losses?

The risk of consecutive losses refers to the impact of multiple back-to-back losing trades on account equity,

🚨 Developing
Initia has halted its L1 chain
This is what happens when the keys behind your bridge are exposed
Initia paused the L1 at 06:18 UTC after detecting unauthorized transfers from escrow accounts holding assets bridged to its rollups
Early findings point to leaked rollup infrastructure keys being used to forge IBC transfers
About 605K USDC left through Noble before the halt, along with around $10K in other tokens
That’s the amount moved so far, not a confirmed final loss
Most of the remaining escrow assets are still on the paused chain
If you hold assets bridged to Initia rollups, wai

Intraday long trade 6️⃣: entered at 4123, exited at 4116, and netted $697. Did you catch this bearish trend? $XAU #AVAX利好短时上涨6.4% #黄金 ‌

$PARTI The short signal is flashing, and my trading plan is clear: open a short near the current price and consider buying back once the price plunges to $0.00025.
The current entry reference is around 0.04111, making the risk/reward ratio for shorting $PARTI quite favorable. The market has weakened, with PARTI down -13.10% on the losers list, and bearish momentum is still building. Going with the trend is much more comfortable than trying to buy the dip against it.
My plan is to hold the short and wait for it to continue falling, with a target of closing the position and exiting around $0.0

11.10 SOL Trading Plan

SOL is currently in an oversold, choppy recovery phase. The price is trading below the Bollinger midline, but the broader downtrend has yet to reverse, so this is best viewed as a short-term rebound. Key support levels are the lower Bollinger Band at 85.66 and the key defensive support at the previous low of 84.66, before this decline. Key resistance levels are the Bollinger midline at 86.27, the upper Bollinger Band zone of 86.88–87.10, the previous rebound high near 88, and the 89.00–89.50 intermediate consolidation zone during the decline.

Entry zone: Consider going

Gold Holds Above $4,140 Ahead of CPI; The Key to $4,200 Lies in Core Monthly Inflation

Gold is in a much more comfortable position than BTC right now. Spot gold is near $4,140 per ounce, up nearly 2% on Monday, after briefly hitting a high above $4,134. A weaker dollar and a sharp drop in oil prices, which eased inflation concerns, were the direct catalysts.

Technically, gold is currently rebounding while holding above its 5-day moving average. The upper Bollinger Band region overhead is around $4,200 to $4,220. Whether gold can test this range after tonight’s CPI release depends on where th

During volatile markets, simply holding spot puts you on the back foot. Gate’s stock margin trading feature is now fully available, with short selling adding ways to profit and hedge during market downturns!

Access the four major markets—U.S., Hong Kong, Japan, and South Korea—all in one place. Which strategy do you favor now: borrowing funds to go long, or borrowing stocks to short?

How to access: Gate App → TradeFi → Stocks
📌 Learn more: https://gate.com/announcements/article/102638
‍#Gate #TradeFi #美股做空

With the same sorrow and longing every year...
#10Kasım #November10

What Is Leverage? Why Does Lowering Leverage Not Necessarily Mean Risk Is Low?

In crypto futures trading, leverage allows traders to control a larger notional position with less margin. But the higher the leverage, the greater the impact that an adverse price move usually has on margin. What really matters is not just the leverage setting, but the relationship between the actual position size and account equity.

First, what is leverage?

Leverage usually refers to the ratio between a position's notional value and the corresponding margin. For example, 1,000 USDT of margin for a notional posi

$AAVE Current price: 127.05. The first resistance above is the Bollinger middle band at 131.28 (also MA20), while support below is the Bollinger lower band at 126.35. These two levels form this week's bull-bear dividing line. The current price is just $0.7 above the lower band, reflecting a weak structure hugging support.
Using this coin to illustrate a reusable chart-reading method: use the “moving average alignment + RSI position” to judge whether a trend is healthy. A healthy uptrend should see MA5 cross above and hold above MA20, with RSI staying above 50. But currently, $AAVE 's MA5=127.

I came across one on the way down the mountain,
Seems to be a village stray, but it's really clingy. One cat treat was enough for it to climb onto me and refuse to get down. Should I take it home?

What is survivorship bias? Why can studying only coins that still exist today overestimate a strategy’s returns?

In the cryptocurrency market, some traders select currently popular and actively traded coins for historical backtesting, then use the results to assess whether a strategy works. But if they ignore projects that have been delisted, lost liquidity over time, or performed extremely poorly, the backtest results may be systematically biased. This phenomenon is called survivorship bias.

First, what is survivorship bias?

It refers to focusing only on objects that still exist or have su

$BTC Scalp Long here