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What Is Trade Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Wins and Losses, and Trading Costs Help Determine Whether a Strategy Has a Long-Term Edge?

In cryptocurrency trading, making money with a strategy in the short term does not mean it will work over the long term. Getting lucky and catching one big market move may hide problems with the strategy itself. Trade expectancy helps us evaluate a strategy overall, rather than judging it based on just a few wins or losses.

First, what is trade expectancy?

Trade expectancy is the average potential return per trade when repeatedly trading according to
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Great $ELSA got pumped and then dumped hard with the market. I also caught a Short move and haven’t seen any signs of a rebound yet, so I’m still holding the Short😍😍😍$AIN $JCT 😍😍😍
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$AKE A bearish turn is coming in 15 minutes. Anyway, I haven’t bought; I’m neither going long nor short, just watching
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AKE+6.07%
Last night, we warned in advance not to buy the dip; today's market has once again validated that call!

Early yesterday morning, we clearly said not to rush into longs in this kind of market, and not to assume that a drop means you can buy the bottom.

BTC fell steadily from around 80500, hitting a low of 75158; ETH fell from around 2449 to a low of 2205.

The market still shows no clear reversal today, with both coins trading weakly in a range near their lows.

Many people see a drop and immediately think about buying the dip, believing prices have fallen enough. But trading can't rely on gu
BTC-0.65%
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$SOL Can't even hold $90 anymore! It was pushing toward $97 yesterday, and today it plunged to a low of $88.24. It’s down more than 20% in a month, and this one really hurts.

Bottom line: I remain bearish in the short term. Don’t rush to buy the dip just because it’s fallen so much.

This downturn isn’t just a SOL problem. U.S. tech stocks are being sold off, BTC has fallen back to around $75,000, and the entire crypto market is under pressure.

But SOL has another, more troubling issue.

The latest price is $89.7, down 6.8% over 24 hours, with futures trading volume of about $2.375 billion.
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📘 Essential Guide: How the Spread in Venezuelan P2P Is Really Calculated
The live P2P Radar (snapshot 6/11/2026, 2:00:12 a.m.) shows the market as follows: USDT buying at Bs. 1,031.13 and selling at Bs. 988.36. The difference is the spread: Bs. 42.76 per USDT, or 4.33% based on the selling rate. The official BCV rate is Bs. 896.12, and the premium over that rate is 15.07%.
But that 4.33% is the market-wide average. At the top of the order book, where the best offers are — best bid at Bs. 1,013.70 and best ask at Bs. 1,012.00 — the immediate spread narrows to Bs. 1.70 (0.17%). The segment you
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What is maximum drawdown? Why can a consistently profitable trading strategy still experience a series of losses that is difficult to withstand?

In cryptocurrency trading, some strategies may be profitable over the long term but experience substantial losses along the way. If traders do not assess in advance how far their account could fall, they may be forced to exit before the strategy recovers. Maximum drawdown is an important metric for measuring this risk.

First, what is maximum drawdown?

Maximum drawdown (MDD) is the largest percentage decline in an account’s net value from a previous
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[New Streamer] Market Prediction
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$ETH ‌Bulls, hang in there. It’s going to dip a little more over the next few days; after the storm comes the rainbow.🌈#美股走弱,加密货币市场普遍承压
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🔹South Koreas KOSPI Plunges 8, Triggering a Trading Halt! Losses Narrow After Trading Resumes. Are
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JUST IN: $1.25 billion liquidated from the crypto market in the past 24 hours.

#USStocksFaceHistoricSelloff
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sui is bringing $USDC to samsung wallet for eligible u.s. galaxy users later this month, expanding stablecoin payments into everyday mobile wallets.
$SUI $USDC #GATE
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You AI folks burning Tokens deserve to use this Prompt to give yourselves a self-review
Prompt: Based on our past conversations and everything you know about me, roast me to your heart’s content. Don’t hold back. You can use lots of Chinese swear words
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This probability model is amazing on Micron $MU too
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The Democratic Party’s midterm “blue wave” has completely repriced AI policy expectations. U.S. stocks plunged yesterday, and crypto followed.

BTC plunged from above $80,000 to $75,700, down 5.5% in 24 hours. More than $1 billion in positions were liquidated market-wide, mostly leveraged longs.

The Nasdaq fell 5.52% in a single day, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 12.25%, Nvidia fell 9%, AMD plunged 17%, and the VIX surged 70% to 28.

Both markets are being squeezed by the same macro forces: the odds of gradual Fed rate hikes are rising, the probability of a December hike is nea
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What Verifiable Metrics Should We Use to Determine Whether a Web3 Network Is Making Progress?

In the Web3 world, we often see all kinds of exciting news: ecosystem partnerships are growing, new features are launching, development roadmaps are being updated, or new technological breakthroughs are being achieved.

But there is a more important question to ask:

Have these developments actually translated into improvements in the network’s capabilities?

Announcing a partnership does not mean users have started using the product; launching a new feature does not mean it solves a real problem; pu
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