High funding rates: Does the market have to fall? Don’t treat one indicator as a trading signal

In crypto derivatives markets, funding rates are often used to gauge the sentiment of longs and shorts.

But there is a common misconception: a positive funding rate means the market must rise, while an excessively high funding rate means prices are about to fall.

Funding rates reflect the cost of holding positions and the balance of demand between longs and shorts in the derivatives market, not a direct prediction of prices.

To understand this, you need to focus on three aspects.

1. A positive

$SOL After a deep correction, the price is finding support around $83 and gradually stabilizing. Bearish momentum has clearly faded, while bulls are building strength for a counterattack. To open up further upside, buyers must regain the initiative and push the price to break above and hold the $90 level. The key resistance and target above is the $90 area, while the important support below is around $82; a break below it would raise the risk of a second bottom. $INIT and $TRUMP are also worth watching for their recent correlation. Risk disclaimer: The above is for sharing market views only

Many traders see BTC trading volume suddenly surge and assume the market is about to reverse. In reality, a surge in volume does not mean a trend reversal. It more often indicates rising market participation, and disagreement between buyers and sellers may also be intensifying.

So, how should you interpret a sudden surge in trading volume?

First, rising volume during an uptrend. If the price continues to rise while trading volume keeps increasing, it indicates strong market participation, and new capital may be entering. But if it becomes increasingly difficult for the price to rise, watch f

#Polymarket年化收入突破18亿美元 #WCTCS9
Yes, I believe that prediction markets are not merely experiencing a temporary surge in popularity, but have instead entered a genuine phase of growth. However, their long-term success will depend on whether they can sustain liquidity and user engagement during the intervals between major global events.

From my perspective, prediction markets are evolving from platforms for speculative betting into ecosystems for real-time information and forecasting.

I find three areas to be particularly promising:

1. Macroeconomics and financial markets: BTC and ETH prices,

What Are Stablecoins? Are They Really Stable?

In the cryptocurrency market, stablecoins are often used for trading, transfers, and asset settlement.

Unlike crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, whose prices are highly volatile, stablecoins are typically pegged to fiat currencies such as the US dollar, with the aim of keeping their prices relatively stable.

But there is an easily overlooked point: relative price stability does not mean an asset is absolutely safe.

I. How Do Stablecoins Work?

Stablecoins typically maintain price stability through different mechanisms, mainly including

I was wondering why it's so strong today, up so much—turns out this is why…
I saw the news too late 🥹
I'm so late I can't even eat shit while it's still warm~😭

Why Can Actual Losses Exceed Expectations Even When a Stop-Loss Is Set?

Many traders believe that as long as they set a stop-loss, they can keep losses within a predetermined range.

But in the cryptocurrency market, that is not always the case.

A sudden market drop, insufficient liquidity, or order execution slippage can all cause the actual execution price to differ from expectations.

A stop-loss is a risk management tool, not a guarantee of execution at a specific price.

I. Why might a stop-loss not execute at the expected price?

1. Price gaps or rapid volatility

When the market falls

Many futures traders have had this experience: they correctly predict the market’s overall direction, yet a brief, sharp fluctuation suddenly liquidates their positions.

Why does this happen?

First, excessive leverage is the most common reason. The higher the leverage, the greater the impact of price fluctuations on margin. Even a brief move in the opposite direction can quickly trigger the liquidation price.

Second, market liquidity affects execution results. When a large number of sell or buy orders suddenly hit the market, the order book can thin out quickly, making price swings even mor

Digital Asset Security: Why Can't You Rely on Just One Wallet? Building a Truly Effective Risk Defense

When people talk about crypto asset security, they first think of choosing a reliable wallet, setting a strong password, or keeping their recovery phrase safe.

All of these are important, but they only address part of the problem.

True asset security does not rely on a single tool. It comes from having different safeguards complement one another.

You can understand this through five layers.

1. Key security: Protect control over your assets

Your recovery phrase and private keys are at th

Outflows from US Bitcoin ETFs continue, totaling $969 million over 5 sessions. What are fund flows and US spot demand showing?
More in Morning Brief #298👇

Why might a trading strategy that performs well in backtests fail in live markets?

If a trading strategy has high historical returns and a good win rate, does that mean it is worth investing real capital in?

Not necessarily.

Some strategies perform well on historical data, but their returns drop significantly or they even incur sustained losses once they enter live markets.

The problem may not lie in the trading logic itself, but in the testing method, cost assumptions, or changes in market conditions.

I. Why can backtesting inspire confidence so easily?

At its core, backtesting applies

#每周来晒 #美国10月CPI全面超预期
CPI sets the tone for rate hikes, risk assets react differently—how will markets move during the upcoming policy quiet period?
When October U.S. CPI came out last night, it pushed market pricing for a December rate hike from “probably will hike” to “pretty much locked in,” and even put a 50-basis-point hike on the table. Among risk assets, gold plunged in a straight line, U.S. stocks held up relatively well, and Bitcoin swung lower to test its lows. With no major data releases between now and the December policy meeting, how will the market move during this quiet period?

Reasons to short $ETH
1: The macro environment remains under pressure
2: CVD shows that the current pullback is not driven by long-term capital; it is driven more by shorts taking profits and long positions in futures contracts. Spot CVD is still showing outflows. But this has created conditions for market makers to trigger a short squeeze and lure in longs
3: Other combined factors, such as continued steady outflows from spot ETFs and a very deep buildup of underwater long positions in BTC, among others

Altcoins vs. $BTC so far went through the same dynamic twice:
1. In a downtrend
2. Break that downtrend
3. Retest the downtrend
4. Go time
ATM it looks like we're doing a retest again, but this time the downtrend's been way longer

#晒出我的合约收益 The position from last night has been fully closed out. I’ll look for an opportunity to enter again tonight.

Why can the U.S. dollar influence global financial markets? What does a stronger dollar mean for Bitcoin, gold, and U.S. stocks?
Many investors notice that when the U.S. Dollar Index continues to strengthen, global financial markets often come under varying degrees of pressure. Bitcoin falls, gold comes under pressure, and U.S. stocks become more volatile. What is the logic behind this?
First, the U.S. dollar is the world's most important reserve and settlement currency. A large share of international trade, commodity transactions, and cross-border financing is closely tied to the dollar. When

$INTC ‌
#GateGlobalComplianceExpansion
Looking at the daily/4H perspective, INTC has transitioned from a prolonged downtrend into a consolidation phase, currently hovering around the 58.80 level after a slight bounce. The price action is compressed between the 56.85 support and the 60.65 resistance, indicating a phase of accumulation or indecision. The Moving Averages (MA120 at 58.49 and MA30 at 58.32) are acting as immediate dynamic support, suggesting the bearish momentum is exhausting, though the overhead MAs (MA200/250) still indicate long-term structural resistance remains intact.

The c

I’m not bearish only after the drop! 8 hard-hitting reasons I predicted the market downturn in advance

The whole internet is now panicking and turning bearish!
But I have to say this: I’ve never jumped on the bearish bandwagon after a drop!

When the market was near its 87,000 high, everyone was wildly bullish, calling for 100,000 and a super bull market,
I publicly predicted: weakness and choppy trading into year-end, a prolonged gradual decline, and a deep correction!

The market is now following my script exactly!
Today I’m laying out all 8 core reasons I turned bearish in advance, each on