Jamesvanst

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As the headwinds and negative public perceptions grow for AI, the tailwinds are growing for crypto.
Money has to flow somewhere and it’s not bonds or real estate.
Anthropic and OpenAI are not only getting squeezed by open-source/open-weight LLMs, but also by Google, Meta, etc.
These companies can afford to be loss-making in this part of the business, but once they have you as a customer in their ecosystem using Google Gemini, the difference between LLMs will be marginal and you won’t move over.
All value eventually accrues to the hyperscalers.
GOOGL+1.73%
META+0.59%
Regulation and gatekeeping is the moat
It’s no different than the banks creating the federal reserve
Why Bitcoin works.
Human beings are at their core extremely greedy.
It’s a system that keeps everyone honest regardless of how many bad actors enter the ecosystem.
BTC-0.08%
Rate hikes are now inflationary
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield’s 12.4 basis-point surge ranks among the largest 2% of daily increases since 2000.
@LukeGromen
For all the concerns about bitcoin not making a higher high in USD, bitcoin made a higher high against gold.
The dollar is being actively weakened, this ratio is the key signal.
BTC/Gold is +0.58% on the day.
post-image
BTC-0.08%
Vertical accumulation on the long-end, the breakout will be something.
A potential gap fill all the way to 7.5%, a 30-year wait.
post-image
In April 2004 $TLT made a new all-time low of $80.51.
22.5 years later, TLT is at $80.87.
It currently has an AUM of $47B of dead money.
The market is pricing in three rate hikes
Oil is over $100
US10Y approaching 5%
BTC is just 7% down from its September high
Lows are still in.
BTC-0.08%
Western government have completely lost the long-end of the curve.
Bond Buybacks, drain the TGA, QE its all inevitable.
The timeline is bullish but there’s a huge wave of disbelief.
The similarities to Q1 2023 is uncanny
Wen blink for policymakers
Tokenisation allows the casino to get bigger, more liquid, less fees, more transparency, global retail access, and fewer intermediaries.
Everything is geared to propping up the stock market and tokenisation does just that.
Grok Bot is out of this world
Multiple AI agents running around simultaneously
This is the start of an exponential shift
Reminds me of bitcoin ten years ago
BTC-0.08%
Grok Bot is out of this world
Multiple AI agents running around simultaneously
This is the start of an exponential shift
What was wild about Bessent intervening was:
No major volatility issues
No major liquidity issues
the yield curve isn’t even that steep
Equities a few % of all-time high
Q3 estimated Real GDP is 4.7%
More spending is always the answer..
If you take the bottom of the SPX in 2009 and the all-time high in 2026.
SPX is up just 1,000%, through the greatest monetary printing regime of all-time.
SPX-1.42%
The higher gold goes the more it undermines US debt.
You wonder what the price of gold would be without bitcoin
BTC-0.08%