#长鑫开盘跌7.7% Plunges 7.7% straight at the open! Changxin Tech stages extreme divergence—this trillion-market-cap new stock delivers a lesson to everyone
The dust settles in the opening call auction. Changxin Tech, the much-awaited new listing, opens down directly by 7.71%. The cold numbers sit on the screen, and countless retail investors suddenly experience the brutal reality of new-stock games overnight. Just the trading day before, this homegrown DRAM leader had completed an epic debut—surging more than 460% in a single day, with trading value exceeding 140 billion yuan, topping the A-share

#CXMTDrops7.7%AtOpen
#CXMTDrops7.7%AtOpen immediately caught the attention of traders, investors, and market analysts. A sharp decline at the opening bell is never ignored because it often reflects a sudden shift in market sentiment, changing expectations, or increased uncertainty. However, experienced investors know that the first move of the day does not always determine the final direction of the market. Volatility is a normal part of every financial market, and it is often during these uncertain moments that the most valuable lessons and sometimes the best opportunities emerge.
Whenever

Today Erbing’s Morning Thoughts
**Actions:**
Go long near 1870-1860
First target: 1900-1930
Second target: above 1950
Short: near 1950-1960, take a light short, take good care of your hedging, target: 1880-1860
Currently, this is reduced-volume, tight-range consolidation, and there hasn’t been panic selling—so there’s no basis for a violent oversold rebound. Going long requires patience: wait for the price to break out above the top of the short-term trading range with volume, and confirm it has firmly held before following with a light position. The targets are only for a pullback int

#CXMTDrops7.7%AtOpen
A 7.7% pullback after a breathtaking 472% IPO surge doesn't erase the bigger picture—it reinforces just how extraordinary CXMT's market debut truly was. After delivering one of the most explosive listings in recent Asian market history, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) remains firmly in the global spotlight. Instead of focusing on short-term fluctuations, investors are now shifting their attention toward the company's long-term growth potential, expanding market share, and strategic role in the future of AI-driven memory technology.
CXMT's record-breaking $8.6 billion

【$AKE Signal】Go long: Pullback to support, Bollinger lower band + active deep buy orders
$AKE 1H RSI 50.22, MACD death cross histogram bars widen, and the price drops back below the Bollinger middle band. On 4H, the MACD golden cross tightens but remains above the zero line; the Bollinger middle band at 0.0034 provides long-term support. Order book depth Bid/Ask Ratio is 1.16, with clearly thicker buy-side limit orders. Around the current 0.0040, there is strong order absorption, and the risk-reward ratio is reasonable.
🎯Direction: LONG
⚡Entry/Limit orders: 0.004011828 - 0.004023900
🛑Stop lo

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First win of the day! Short 4056, exit at 4048, pocket a small space profit of $8—profit of 744 USD!
$XAU #黄金

July 28, 2026 Market Analysis:
XAU: The short position at 4115-4120 that I mentioned yesterday was skipped on the second probe, so we shorted at 4110 instead and took profit at 4165 in the US evening session, making 45 points. Today overall is also ranging with no big swings to trade; treat it as a 5-minute setup. When it reaches the levels, just enter and take around 20 points. Currently, long positions are around 4042; you can also try around 4020. For shorts, wait until it reaches around 4085 and then short.
ETH: The short position at 1985 that I mentioned yesterday—at night it surged up to

7.28 Erbing Analysis
Analysis: Near 1870, light cyan die, target 1930
Short-sell and wait for a rebound around 1950-1960, then do the action near 1950-1960; defend at 1990, and watch 1880
Over the past hour, looking at the Erbing: after yesterday’s spike to 1982, it quickly fell back, repeatedly breaking below the support of short-term moving averages. The low dipped to around 1865, and short-term bearish momentum has concentrated and released. Currently, in the 1870-1880 range, there is clear buying order support, making this round’s key area for the short-term long-versus-short battle. #长鑫

When the screen is full of green, what’s tested most isn’t nerve—it’s whether you can process it at the original pace. Today, this move finally allowed the short position to cash in on the wait beforehand.

While everyone else is still watching, $SHIB has shown signs of weak rebound. It has repeatedly probed above, but has consistently lacked effective follow-through. Volume didn’t pick up; instead, selling pressure has become more and more obvious. After seeing this, I didn’t chase the rise. I waited for price confirmation that it couldn’t push higher, then executed the short plan.

Complet

BTC is now around 6.31w, still trading within the channel and has not broken down. On the 4-hour timeframe, it has already fallen to major support—this line has been tested several times before, but it hasn’t been truly broken through. The support strength is still there.
At this level, don’t rush to take action first. Wait and see the result of this test. If this test also holds, it means the “buyers catching the dip” power below is still strong enough, and you can consider going long according to the plan. If this time it directly breaks below, it means the lower edge of this channel can’t h

【$BTC Signal】Breakdown in the 1H oversold zone accelerates; capital defends passively
$BTC Depth imbalance -94.55%, buy orders on the book are essentially useless. 1H RSI 23.73 has entered an extreme oversold zone, but the MACD green histogram is still expanding; downside momentum has not yet exhausted. The 4H Bollinger lower band at 63373 has been broken, the bands are widening, and the bears are taking control of the pace.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry / limit orders: 62997.85 - 63173.00
🛑 Stop loss: 64048.76
🚀 Target 1: 61859.35
🚀 Target 2: 61202.53
🛡️ Trade management: after reaching t

$PI
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Is V26 the best version?

7.28 BTC order book analysis
Direction: A breakdown and move downward from a high level; short-term control is dominant; focus on managing rallies rather than chasing.
Control: Around 63,600-63,800; stop-loss: above 64,000; targets: 63,020/62,600.

BTC yesterday surged to 65,722.5, then faced pressure, turned around, and has continued moving downward. The current price is around 63,160. The price has effectively fallen below the short-term moving averages, and short-term bullish counterattack momentum has completely waned. Selling pressure above keeps releasing, and the market has officially

Market trend analysis: $BTC (2026-7-28)
Yesterday, there was long-ranging oscillation on the hourly level. Ultimately, it showed up on the daily K-line as a high-volume selloff with a decline 📉. From the daily level, things are not this chaotic. Now it has just broken down through the level, and the downward move should continue to extend.
Trading strategy:
You can short at market price. You can also short at 64000 or 64800. The issue is that the stop-loss level is hard to place. Whichever position you choose to short, your stop-loss must not exceed 1000‼️
I’m not looking for longs in the sho

【$BTC Signal】1H RSI extremely oversold + downtrend continues
$BTC RSI 1H dropped to 24.87, and the buy-side depth share is only 73%; Bid/Ask ratio is 6.49—sell orders are overwhelming. The 4H MACD green histogram keeps expanding; after the lower Bollinger band is broken, the rebound lacks strength. Price is oscillating around 63230, with the funding rate at -0.01% slightly negative, but OI remains stable—shorts have not exited at scale.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry / orders: 63055.647 - 63230.800
🛑 Stop loss: 63863.108
🚀 Target 1: 62282.338
🚀 Target 2: 61808.107
🛡️ Trade mana

This short position could actually make money—the key isn’t chasing the sell-off and placing the trade, but waiting for the signs of breakdown at the high levels to gradually show up. After the earlier spike, it kept falling one after another, and the bids never really caught up; I was watching precisely this back-and-forth.
What’s really uncomfortable is that at the start there wasn’t an immediate sell-off—instead, it just ground sideways. Holding a short position makes you feel panicky. Only when the price moved from 0.06816 down to 0.05643 did the chart finally confirm my earlier judgment,