Why Can Prices Rebound Quickly After Falling Below a Long-Term Moving Average?

In crypto markets, long-term moving averages are often used to assess medium- and long-term trends. When prices fall below an important moving average, many traders assume a downtrend is confirmed. In reality, however, prices can sometimes rebound quickly and climb back above the moving average. Understanding this phenomenon can help prevent making trading decisions based on a single signal.

First, long-term moving averages reflect historical prices. For example, MA120 reflects the average price over a certain pas

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Tonight's U.S. PPI data could be one of the most important things for the market to watch in the near term.

First, a quick explanation of what PPI is.

PPI, or the Producer Price Index, measures changes in the prices domestic U.S. producers receive for goods and services. Simply put, it tracks inflationary pressure from the production side.

It mainly covers several major categories:

Energy: crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, electricity, and more.

Food: agricultural products, meat, grains, and processed food products.

Goods: industrial raw materials, metals, machinery and equipment, electr

What is the break-even win rate? How high must a trading strategy’s win rate be to cover trading costs?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people know their win rate but not how high it needs to be to actually make money. If winning trades earn little and losing trades lose a lot, you may still end up losing money even if you’re right more often. The break-even win rate helps traders understand the minimum performance their strategy needs to achieve.

First, what is the break-even win rate?

The break-even win rate is the minimum win rate required for long-term expected returns to equal zero, be

What Is Slippage? Why Might the Order Price Differ from the Final Execution Price?

In cryptocurrency trading, you may see a certain price, only to find that by the time your order is executed, the price has changed. This phenomenon may be slippage. It may seem like a minor detail, but it can affect trading costs, stop-loss performance, and final returns.

First, what is slippage?

Slippage is the difference between the expected execution price and the actual execution price. For example, if you plan to buy a token for 100 USDT but your order is ultimately filled at 101 USDT, you have experien

Why Can Prices Continue to Fall Even When MACD Shows Bullish Divergence?

In the crypto market, MACD bullish divergence is often seen as a potential reversal signal, but many traders find that prices can continue to fall even after bullish divergence appears. This is because weakening momentum does not mean the downtrend is over.

First, what is MACD bullish divergence?

When prices keep making new lows while the MACD indicator’s lows gradually rise, bullish divergence may be forming. This means downward momentum may be weakening, but it does not prove that buyers have taken control.

Second,

ruthelss outflows + reedeeming from ETF/USDC/USDT. @ $BTC

Negative funding rate + shorts taking a bloodbath! $BARD This “short squeeze” is baiting longs—chasing the highs means becoming exit liquidity!

A negative funding rate isn’t a perk; it’s a meat grinder custom-built by major players for short sellers.

Old Zhang’s take: This is clearly a short squeeze! Whale watch: Short sellers’ unrealized losses exceed 110k U, the long-short ratio is just 26%, and the funding rate is -1.9%. Based on the liquidation map, short liquidation levels are densely clustered above, between 0.137 and 0.147.

The major players’ plan is to squeeze prices higher first,

#USOctoberPPIComingSoon

US October PPI Coming Soon: Will Producer Inflation Change the Market’s Direction?

Before vs Now

Before this week, investors were already watching inflation through consumer prices. Now, attention is shifting toward another important indicator: the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for October 2026.

The upcoming report could offer fresh clues about business costs, pricing pressure, and the future direction of U.S. monetary policy. For crypto traders, stock investors, and anyone following global markets, this is an important economic event to understand.

PPI Basics

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Mainnet in Q1 2027
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Why does the same trading strategy stop working when market conditions change?

Some traders face a puzzling situation: the same entry signals repeatedly generate profits in an uptrend but lead to consecutive stop-losses in a ranging market. Just when they get used to range-bound conditions, a trend emerges and they frequently miss opportunities.

This doesn’t necessarily mean the strategy has suddenly stopped working. Market conditions may have changed.

First, trending and ranging markets call for different decision-making approaches.

In a market with a clear trend, prices are more likely t

《Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: Price Returns to the “Discount Zone,”
Market sentiment continues to cool, and long-term valuations are gradually returning to lower levels.》
But historical cycles tell us that extreme undervaluation often occurs when market confidence is at its lowest.
Behind the price correction:
Should we look at changes in long-term holders’ holdings?
The direction of institutional fund flows?
And shifts at the margin in global liquidity?
If the macro environment gradually improves and on-chain holdings stabilize,
will the current valuation discount be further eliminated?
Of course,

Never won in crypto, never lost in gold

Brent rose to $96 as hopes for a U.S. Iran deal faded. Iran’s military reported that four tankers had struck mines in the Strait of Hormuz, while the Houthis reported attacks on Saudi oil facilities.

The AI Godfather Exits—Who Will Be the Biggest Winner? Have AMD and Broadcom Finally Got Their Chance?

Who will be happiest if NVIDIA suddenly loses its soul, Jensen Huang?
Probably not NVIDIA shareholders, but the competitors that have long wanted a slice of the AI chip market.
AMD, Broadcom, and other AI chip-related companies may attract renewed market attention. The reason is simple: when an industry leader undergoes a management change, capital naturally starts looking for alternatives.
AMD's strength lies in its GPU product lineup, while Broadcom has its own competitive edge in custom A

BTC provided a short setup in the early session, with an entry at 70587
The market continued to trend downward, so we held according to plan
In the afternoon, I notified everyone to exit; 8219U secured
Good market opportunities don’t come often; catching one is enough#Gate直通IPO第三期Anthropic $BTC ‌

$HYPE
The market structure has recently shifted from a sustained bullish uptrend to a corrective bearish phase. Price formed a local peak at 73.28 and aggressively sold off, breaking below the middle Bollinger Band (MB: 71.27). However, the most critical structural event is the price action around 10:30, where the price pierced the lower Bollinger Band (LB: 70.01) and wicked down to a low of 69.90. Since that dip, the K-lines show a change in character: the price has rejected the lower boundary and is now printing higher lows, consolidating back toward the mid-band. The volume profile confirm

Bitcoin analysis$BTC ‌