Tonight's CPI Trading Discipline: YoY Data Unavailable, MoM Sets the Tone—Don't Make Decisions on the First 21:30 Candle

One final practical point. Tonight's CPI has a special structure: YoY data won't be released, making core MoM the only meaningful signal. This means market pricing at 21:30 will be highly concentrated around a single decimal point, and volatility could be sharper than usual.

In the first 15 minutes after the data release, market makers pull orders and order books thin out. A small number of orders can push prices to extreme levels before they quickly retrace. Most of the “

$DOT
LONG
ENTRY : 8585 - 8500
STOPLOSS AT 8450
Targets : 8800, 8960 , 9100
Invested fund only 2%
Leverage is 50x

What Is Notional Position Size? Why Can’t You Just Look at How Much Margin You Put Up When Calculating Risk?

In crypto futures trading, some traders see that they have put up only 500 USDT in margin and assume they are taking on little risk. But if that margin supports a contract position worth several thousand USDT, even a small price move can cause significant profit or loss fluctuations. That’s why understanding notional position size is so important.

First, what is notional position size?

Notional position size is the notional value of a contract position. For example, in a linear USDT-

What Is Time-Series Cross-Validation? Why Shouldn’t Crypto Predictions Randomly Shuffle the Training and Test Sets?

In crypto quantitative trading, machine learning models often need to be trained on historical data to predict future price movements. But if all the data is randomly shuffled and then split into training and test sets, as in a typical classification task, the chronological order may be disrupted, making the model’s evaluation results overly optimistic.

First, what is time-series cross-validation?

It is a method of organizing training and validation in chronological order. The

A proposal to allow two projects; Juris Protocol and LuncSwapfun; to directly upload their CosmWasm code onto the Terra Classic chain has been approved by the votes of $LUNC validators.

There was some unnecessary debate surrounding the proposal, but the Terra Classic community ultimately made the right choice. The Juris Protocol team is doing significant work for $LUNC and USTC. It is worth remembering that Terra’s initial rise was driven by the Anchor Protocol; you can think of Juris Protocol as an advanced version of the Anchor Protocol.

#TerraClassic #LUNC #USTC #JurisProtocol $LUNC ‌

11/10 daytime levels update! Follow for ongoing updates on precise levels
BTC / ETH / SOL / Gold / U.S. stocks
Overall strategy: The consolidation is not over yet; go long at lows and wait to short at highs.
The market has yet to show a clear direction. Tonight’s CPI data is worth watching closely. I’m leaning toward a move higher first, followed by a pullback overnight. For now, trade short-term levels and avoid taking a large directional position in advance.
📈 U.S. stocks
SNDK｜Sandisk
🔴 Short
925｜Watch for short opportunities above
Extreme 1000｜Key topping area
🟢 Long, i

What is losing streak risk? Why can a seemingly reasonable position still hurt your account after a string of losses?

In cryptocurrency trading, even a strategy with positive expectancy over the long term does not mean every trade will be profitable. Losing streaks can occur in any trading system, and without risk planning in advance, a seemingly reasonable position can gradually erode your account balance.

First, what is losing streak risk?

Losing streak risk refers to the impact of multiple consecutive losing trades on account equity, trading discipline, and mental state. Even if the prob

Major players’ liquidation spree! $BTC A major market shift—who gets wiped out first, longs or shorts?

Retail traders watch candlesticks; pros look at the full picture! Funds are fleeing en masse—is this an exit or a shakeout?

My take: Whale longs have lost 80 million, and funds are seeing net outflows across the board. The bears look unstoppable, but the liquidation map shows shorts above 75000 are all at risk of getting liquidated! And while miners are dumping, newly created wallets are quietly accumulating. The major players are clearly setting up a “kill longs first, then turn around an

Strong narrative.
CA: qjhWVdryERmzBUcPgiFqb6icRndTRkP2PzYUEMmpump

Alipay, are you trying to ruin me!!!

🚨 Developing
Initia has halted its L1 chain
This is what happens when the keys behind your bridge are exposed
Initia paused the L1 at 06:18 UTC after detecting unauthorized transfers from escrow accounts holding assets bridged to its rollups
Early findings point to leaked rollup infrastructure keys being used to forge IBC transfers
About 605K USDC left through Noble before the halt, along with around $10K in other tokens
That’s the amount moved so far, not a confirmed final loss
Most of the remaining escrow assets are still on the paused chain
If you hold assets bridged to Initia rollups, wai

$LAPTOP Selling is intensifying—cut your losses

$JCT Plunged over 20% in two hours! Crashed from 0.0072 to around 0.0055, down 30% in 24 hours—is the decline over, or will it keep sliding on rising volume?
Current price is around 0.0057, with a 2-hour high of 0.00719 and a low of 0.00555. 24-hour trading volume is about $660 million, with slightly more short accounts.
Estimate: Long liquidations are concentrated below, between 0.0044 and 0.0050; short liquidations are above 0.0070. A rebound would first target 0.0062–0.0065.
A move back above 0.0062 would signal the decline has stopped; a break below 0.00555 could send it down to 0.0050. Do

$PEPE : Seems it's prepping for a nice 70-80% move up amongst the first ones

Went long on $kas here
sl: $0.02981
Tp: $0.03082
— DTT

What Is Look-Ahead Bias? Why Does Using Data Only Known in the Future Create Fake Profitability in Backtests?

In cryptocurrency trading, a strategy may perform almost perfectly in historical backtests but frequently lose money in live trading. Besides overfitting, there is another easily overlooked issue: look-ahead bias. It occurs when a backtest uses information that was not yet available at the time to make historical trading decisions, artificially boosting the strategy’s performance.

First, how does look-ahead bias occur?

For example, a strategy decides whether to buy at the end of eac

$XAU
xau
XAUUSDT
Perp
4,123.73
+0.57%

‌$BTC
btc
BTCUSDT
Perp
74,682
+0.70%

‌Support 1: $73,938
Support 2: $71,835
Support 3: $68,676
Market outlook:
If BTC reclaims $75,000–$75,877 and maintains its position above this zone, buyers could attempt another move toward $76,000–$77,000.
On the downside, a confirmed breakdown below $73,938 could increase selling pressure and expose the $71,835 support area.
My analysis: Bitcoin remains under bearish pressure. Traders should watch whether buyers can defend the $73,900 region. A strong recovery above $75,877 would be an important early s

The US October CPI will be released at 21:30 Beijing time. The market generally expects headline CPI to rise 0.3% month over month in October, a marked slowdown from 0.6% in September. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, is expected to rise 0.2% month over month, below September’s 0.30%.

One unusual aspect is that data for the month is missing because of the 2025 federal government shutdown, so the Bureau of Labor Statistics cannot establish a base period for its calculations. As a result, it will not release year-over-year figures for either headline CPI or core CPI, and year-over-year