#美国10月CPI即将公布 Headline +0.4%, core +0.3%. [Bearish bias] The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released October CPI right on time tonight at 21:30 Beijing time. The Dow Jones survey that markets widely used as a pre-release benchmark expected headline inflation of 0.3% and core inflation of 0.2%. Both came in notably higher.

Bitcoin initially surged to 74770 in the minute the data was released, then plunged to a low of 73524.73. Compared with 74410 before the release, the wick bottom was down about 1.2%; ETH fell harder, dropping from around 2098 to 2028.32, about -3.3%. At around 21:46, I saw

Gold: four consecutive intraday wins
Long at 4045, exited at 4051, 6 points, 897🔪$XAUT

JUST IN: $200,000,000 worth of crypto longs liquidated in the past 5 minutes.

Why does BlackRock keep selling? When is it going to stop? $BTC ‌

$ETH Steady approach! Precise take-profit

Sister Xing said not to rush into buying the dip and going long; there’s still room to fall. It hasn’t reached Sister Xing’s level yet, and she’s holding firm. This wick shot straight to 2026!

Luckily, this wick hit my take-profit. I thought it was a fake wick that wouldn’t reach it. Although this data was higher than expected, it was lower than the previous reading, so the bearish impact was limited. The bearish news is already priced in, and it’s still possible to go long around 2055. The rebound climbed to #美伊谈判出现新进展

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CPI came in at 0.4%, versus expectations of 0.3%. The probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in December is currently as high as 98%! 😂A rate hike is still expected in January!
Bitcoin, gold, and U.S. stocks are all falling!

Don’t use your own assets to foot the bill for humanity’s complexity.

11.10 U.S. Session Outlook: XAU & BTC$BTC $XAUUSD

XAUUSD
After encountering daily-chart resistance at 4150 and pulling back 70 points, price has entered the POC; prioritize longs.

Support: 4054-4066 (1h, 4h), 4015-4028 (4h, 1day), 3966-3985 (1day)

Resistance: 4142-4150 (1h, 4h), 4190-4217 (4h), 4256-4280 (1day, 1week)

BTC
The crypto market is collectively dormant, with no intraday volatility at all. Even after U.S. stocks started rising, crypto showed no movement; further observation is needed.

Support: 72,100-72,800 (4h, 1day), 70
thousand nearby (4h), 67,000-67,800 (1day, 1week)

Resis

CPI decided.
October CPI came in HOT:
Headline +0.4% MoM vs +0.3% expected.
Core +0.3% vs +0.2%.
BLS didn't publish a yearly rate (shutdown gap).
$BTC flushed from $74.1K at the print to ~$73.7K.
Hot print. Flush. What's the next level? 👀

The market has given its answer: cpl came in above expectations, the dollar strengthened, and U.S. stocks and crypto pulled back slightly. But this time it was fine—the brief pullback was quickly recovered, and the market bottom remains relatively firm. #以太

Crowded shorts at the low ...yikes

$ARIA My balance fell from $18k to just $3,200 on this move. I watched that wick at 0.166 yesterday and didn’t dare make a move. Today it climbed above 0.2, up 18% in 24 hours, with $81 million in trading volume—that kind of volume isn’t driven by retail traders. I reviewed my trades: last time, I lost money chasing the breakout at 0.19, only to get caught in the false breakout to 0.2184. I’ve learned my lesson. Now I’m placing staggered buy orders between 0.185 and 0.195, with a stop-loss below 0.166; if it breaks below that, I’ll accept the loss. The previous high at 0.2184 is resistance, so

From 27,000 U to 280,000 U, a 10x account growth—perfect results today.

Seeing the 280,000 U in cumulative profits in my brother’s account today, I’m honestly filled with emotion.
Starting from 27,000 U, we fought our way forward. When things went well, we rode the wave; when the going got tough, we stayed steady and disciplined.

Here’s a look at this ETH trade:
Shorted at 2129, stop loss at 2155. My brother had things to take care of, so he set a take-profit at 2050.
When the market plunged, he reported a 22,000 U profit on a single trade!

Many people admire Tong-ge’s win rate, but what he

📊 Crypto Daily | Evening of Nov 10: The rebound lasted just one day! BTC falls back below 75,000, CPI released ahead of schedule tonight at 21:30, Waller says December “could see a 50-basis-point hike”

Guys, that early-morning rebound really was just a “one-day wonder”: BTC surged to 75,300 before getting knocked back down. It failed to hold 75,000 during the day and fell below 74,500 in the evening. Now it looks like the real force holding back the rebound isn’t bears, but the $1.282 billion in net ETF outflows last week—institutions are heading for the exits. More concerning is tonight: US

The bearish drop already played out earlier today. Don’t chase shorts now, don’t chase shorts now, don’t chase shorts now. 73,700 straight up $BTC

The 25-basis-point hike is already priced in. The real pain is this: even after this hike, it may not be over.
Core #CPI rose 0.3% for the third consecutive month tonight, above expectations. Before the data came out, Waller had said that at this level, a 50-basis-point hike in December should be considered.
But I’m more concerned about another question: Is the market bracing for one hit in December, or more hits next year?
First, the data:
Headline CPI rose 0.4% month over month, versus expectations of 0.3%.
Core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, versus expectations of 0.2%.
Core CPI has been