Rising Strait of Hormuz Risks Put Crypto’s Highly Leveraged Positions to a Major Test
I. From a Macro Liquidity Perspective: Rebounding Inflation Expectations Directly Undermine the Rate-Cut Trade
This is currently the most critical transmission channel affecting the crypto market. The Strait of Hormuz handles nearly 30% of global seaborne crude oil shipments, and escalating geopolitical tensions will directly drive up crude oil prices, disrupting the downward trajectory of inflation.
The market’s original core trading theme was expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. A rebound in oil price

🔥Several major U.S. data releases are due in quick succession this evening, including ADP employment, the services PMI, and EIA crude oil inventories, which may intensify market volatility.
Around the releases, bulls and bears may lure traders in and shake out positions; do not take heavy positions to speculate ahead of time. $XAUT

$ETH whale sell orders are solid.
Additionally, sell orders exist in the current range.

Recently, the volatility of BTC and ETH has been so extreme that even a dog would shake its head. I’m not considering opening positions for now; the market is still moving within a wide range, and a breakout will most likely occur in the next few days. I’m more inclined to expect a rise followed by a drop. BTC’s support around 62,000 remains relatively strong in the short term. If BTC does not break below 63,000 today, I’ll consider adding another initial-position long, with 62,000 as the defense level.
Now let’s talk about the recently hot U.S. stocks. Technology stocks have recently staged a

$BEAT Closed too early—more than 300 short positions were closed at $5. I couldn't hold them. It spiked to $6.3 and then dropped to $5.3, so I thought it would keep pumping. I closed at breakeven, what a waste.

This is a strong indication that the US dollar’s structural hegemony is broken. If there is a crisis I strongly suspect there will be no “flight to safety”. Yields will rise, capital will flee - just like in any other economy.

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UPDATE: Palantir, $PLTR, extends its climb, up 29.5% in 24 hours to $162.66.
That is a six-month high, up 22.7% over 30 days.

Now that’s what you call professional! $OPN crashed as expected!

Earlier, when I saw it struggling to rise at 0.0633 and major players unloading, I told everyone to switch to short positions. Now look at this return—the price plunged to 0.0512, down more than 19%!

Those who followed, remember what I said: Money in your pocket is the only money that’s truly yours!

Execute immediately: Take profit on 70% and secure your gains! Set a defense level at 0.0550 for the remaining position, betting on it breaking below 0.0480 to hit a new low.

Those who haven’t entered yet, don’t rush—there are pl

Nearly $870M in USDT vanished in 11 days. Is crypto liquidity drying up, or are we setting up for selling exhaustion?
$BTC Open Interest is climbing (controlled leverage)
Liquidation pools are heavy on both sides
Stablecoin supply contraction often signals market bottoms, not just downside
When does USDT supply turn back green?
Are you buying this dip or waiting for liquidity to confirm?

💥💫 LINK is sitting at a key support zone, but support alone doesn't guarantee the bottom is in.
The broader downtrend that's been in place since December 2024 still hasn't shown a convincing reversal. If the selling continues, the next areas to watch are around $7.20, $5.95, and potentially the previous bear market low near $4.95.
The current bounce looks too weak to confirm a lasting bottom, so another leg lower is still on the table before the correction is fully behind us. If momentum eventually shifts, the first major resistance zone comes in between $11.84 and $20.63, which is still qui

$AMD Grabbed liquidity on D1 post earnings and made a massive downmove.
Now clearly bearish with a break below 463 here and then can target 455, 449 and 443.

More people are joining the @sixsevenapp Project.
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Day 63/67

A Trend That Caught My Attention About USDT
While looking at recent on-chain data, one thing stood out to me. According to CryptoQuant, USDT's 60-day market cap change has moved lower, suggesting that stablecoin liquidity has been slowing.
I don't see this as a signal on its own, but it is a metric worth watching. Stablecoins often reflect how much capital is flowing into or out of the crypto market, so changes in their supply can offer useful context.
For me, this is another reminder that understanding liquidity is just as important as watching price charts.
Just an observation based on on-ch

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$TAKE 24-hour amplitude: 48%, from 0.0345 to 0.0514, with $17 million in trading volume. Placed within the past three halving cycles, this volume pattern is a standard setup before the main rally begins. I reviewed the historical script: after the 2016 halving, coins with similar volume ratios rose by an average of 220% within 7 days; the 2020 wave was even more exaggerated, with the same turnover rate directly producing three consecutive bullish candles through the entire main rally; in the 2024 cycle, $TAKE’s current price slope is steeper than in either of the previous two, but note that th

Solana’s “Resource and Inclusion Fee” proposal SGP-0003 has entered the support phase. If it receives support from 15% of active staked SOL, the proposal will proceed to a full governance vote. If implemented, the proposal is expected to increase daily SOL burns from the current 650 SOL (approximately $51k) to as much as 9,000 SOL (approximately $702k).