Brent at $104 is putting a “tightening spell” on BTC
On October 7, BTC fell below $83,000, with $550 million in leveraged positions liquidated within 24 hours. On October 9, it touched a low of $80,427, while weekly ETF outflows reached $484.9 million.
That same day, Brent crude rose above $104. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 5.731%—the highest since 2002.
Three events, on the same day.
This is not a coincidence. It is a complete transmission chain.
The first link: Hormuz.
Kpler data shows that crude oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen 27% from its wartime peak to at least

$LUMIA Guys, don’t rush to short this coin. Its market cap is still low, so it could possibly rise another 2 to 4 times from its current level. Its supply is also limited, so it may continue to take off once funds flow in. But since it has already risen this much, don’t FOMO too early either, as we still don’t know how high it will be pushed. Here’s my guess: for a long, enter at the current price and set take profit at 0.2, everyone. For a short, wait until it rises to 0.2 before entering and set take profit at 0.17, everyone. $AIN

#BTC’s decline from the proposed wave 3 peak looks corrective, keeping a wave 4 interpretation in play.
If that count holds, another push higher in wave 5 could complete the advance before a larger decline.
$89.1k and $94.5k are upside reference levels, not guaranteed targets. I’ll follow the developing structure and adjust as the evidence changes.

$XRP XRP/USDT: Key Support Holds, Potential Recovery Ahead
XRP is testing a key support zone around $1.37 to $1.39 on the 4H timeframe. This area aligns with the ascending trendline and has already triggered a rebound following the recent sell-off.
If support holds, XRP could recover toward $1.48 to $1.52, with further upside potential toward $1.60 to $1.63.
A breakdown below the support zone and ascending trendline would weaken the bullish outlook. Confirmation through price action remains essential.

No livestream this weekend—heading to Chengdu for a two-day trip.

Good morning familia.
Happy weekend.

How is she just a wife? She’s clearly the strongest partner!

#BREAKING:
JAPANESE COMPANIES ARE FLEEING CHINA....
Japanese businesses in China have reportedly dropped 22% since 2024, with 4,137 companies exiting.
Rising costs, US tariffs, and political tensions are pushing Japan toward India and Southeast Asia.

: Every generation has its own legend, and Wang Sicong used to mock me
Now I’m richer than even his father

me putting my foot down about her online shopping habit

Long on $ONE here ⬆️

$BTW The whale hasn't taken profit on everything yet—the old script is about to play out again, bros
Now go long 🔥🔥Tp1: 1.55Tp2: 1.75Tp3: 2.05Sl: 1.05$B $CAP

Got home safely. The system helped me take care of today's expenses.
$LUMIA #LUMIA

There’s no need to deny $ERA ’s strength, but treating overheating as safety often comes when sentiment is at its most expensive.
I’m watching just one divergence: whether support remains after breaking above 0.0939. The current price is 0.0843, with volume at 0.16x. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 57 and 79, respectively.
If volume continues to expand after breaking above 0.0939, the initiative will favor the bulls; if it falls below 0.0743 and fails to reclaim it, the short-term thesis is invalidated, and the next level to watch shifts to 0.0601.
Don’t rush to guess

Bitcoin Will Stop Where If It Keeps Falling? CryptoQuant Forecasts Potential Bottom
CryptoQuant has analyzed Bitcoin's drawdowns across previous bull cycles to assess the current downside risk. The findings show the ongoing correction remains milder than the historical average.
The Bitcoin Bull Cycle Price Corrections indicator tracked the average drawdown for each cycle: 18.41% (2010–2011), 21.71% (2011–2013), 10.93% (2015–2017), 19.39% (2018–2021), and 7.58% (2022–2025). Across all five cycles, the average sits at roughly 14.39%.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.

Does a bullish moving-average alignment necessarily mean you can chase longs? Not necessarily—the key is the relative position of the price and moving averages, as well as whether the momentum indicators are aligned.
Taking $WAL as an example, this is a reusable method for assessing trend health. MA5=0.037982 is currently above MA20=0.0371585, with the moving averages in a bullish alignment, indicating an upward short-term trend; however, the current price of 0.03872 is already close to the upper Bollinger Band at 0.03883, meaning the short term is entering overbought territory and the risk o

$AVAX AVAXUSDT : The Calm Before the Squeeze Storm
The price is moving within a bearish channel on the 1-hour timeframe; it has reached the lower boundary and appears poised for a rebound. A retest of this boundary is expected, supporting an upward move.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a bearish trend, but an upward breakout is likely due to oversold conditions on the 1-hour chart.
An orange trend line supports the potential upward rebound.
There is initial support at 9.70, acting as a preliminary support zone.
A key support zone (marked in green) exists at 9.39; the price has rebo

Everyone in the group is calling for a bullish market, but I’m taking the contrarian view. Before the halving, $BTC will go through a period of sideways consolidation. At times like this, the market’s focus shifts toward ecosystems, and $ETH ’s TVL is the real signal; price calls are just noise. What have you observed on your end? The ecosystem data for $ETH on my side hasn’t turned around yet, so the rotation may not have reached it. Those watching it, keep an eye on #ETH.