Are crypto people too optimistic? Are crypto people too smart? Or are crypto people too stupid?
CME interest rate futures show a 57.5% probability of a September rate hike, but it is only 51% on @Polymarket.
What tools can crawl the data for these two probabilities? Feels like there’s a trading opportunity here.
Brother Feng bought $10 on September interest rates remaining unchanged based on his own analysis! I’ve lost too much before, so I’ll use what’s left for a little fun.

This trend doesn’t even require me to think—the account is partying on its own. While everyone was still watching from the sidelines, I felt something was off: the resistance above was too obvious, every rebound was just short of gaining momentum, and the price-volume divergence was severe. After grinding around without breaking out, it could only move downward.

The judgment was spot-on. $FARTCOIN fell from 0.21184 to 0.19413, with +643.28% secured. That profit was delicious. Those who got in should have woken up laughing. The lead-up was truly sluggish, but once it broke out, it was genuin

#Gate股票观点挑战
Today’s Jackson Hole speech from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh could become one of the most important macro catalysts for Bitcoin, Ethereum and American stocks. Investors are not waiting only for a rate-cut signal. They want to understand how the Fed is thinking about inflation, Treasury yields, financial conditions and future policy. Markets are already nervous because inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, while expectations for a September rate move have become more uncertain. Reuters reports that markets were pricing roughly a 35% probability of a September rate hike

I originally wanted to cut my losses and sacrifice to the heavens, but the sacrifice never happened—the meat roasted itself. When the sell-off hit at the open, I was still hesitating over whether to chase the shorts. Then I thought: when everyone else is running, just run with them; don’t fight the trend.
Buying support was too weak, and the rebound lacked strength. With selling pressure this strong, just trade with it. @从 fell from 837.27 to 795.37 now, and another +373.7% is in the bag. This move really calls for a good meal.
As for the trade, close out the +373.7% position first and lock in

🚨 $XRP -5% in 24H. Correction or warning?
XRP is back around $1.38 after hawkish Fed signals increased September rate-hike concerns.
But zoom out:
📉 24H: -5%
📈 30D: ~+39%
The drop is sharp, but the bigger trend hasn’t been erased yet.
If macro pressure keeps building, can $XRP defend its recent gains?
Or is this simply a reset before the next move? 👀
#XRP #Crypto #Market

$TA
UPDATE
#TA is looking for breakout. After this breakout we can see 80%+ gain here ✍🏻
#TAUSDT #TABTC #BTC #Bitcoin #NFTs

bitcoin:native bearish divergence

Dormant $BTC is waking up
Over 2,504 $BTC last active 3 to 5 years ago has just moved on-chain.
Long-term holders are starting to move coins.
#Gate7DayNetInflowsTop3 #BTCBackAbove81000 #StrategySharesBreak135ForFirstTimeIn12Weeks #TopFiveLeaguesPreMatchPredictor #NVIDIAEarnings

I just switched the software to the background, and it shot right back up—it’s playing hide-and-seek with me.
A few days ago, the last thing I saw before bed was that $LIT pulled back to a key level without breaking below it. I thought that after consolidating at the bottom for so long, funds should be entering, so I opened a long at 1.180.
Now 3.383 has already left the cost zone far behind, with a return of +8985.09%. Everyone on board should be laughing in their sleep.
Take profit on 80% first—secure the gains when it’s time. Move the stop loss on the remaining 20% to the entry price and l

This trend is so obvious I don't even need to think—the account is dancing on its own. 😎
With the screen glowing green, $CHIP selling pressure is insanely strong, and every rebound finds no buyers—the support is completely empty. What is there to hesitate about in this situation? Just short it, and that's it. When the market gives you a signal, you have to dare to follow it.
From 0.04307 to 0.04054, +282.88% in profits realized. Those already on board must have woken up laughing, right? This move was purely a freebie. Don't lose patience in the consolidation, only to try to regain your digni

No vision, can’t hold—this wave’s profit is paper-thin, but I love it. I opened the chart this morning and saw the rebound was weak, with selling pressure weighing on it nonstop, so I knew the order I placed before bed a few days ago was going to work. Entered at 0.003206, now at 0.002279, +403.42%. It’s not explosive, but with clear pressure at this level, taking the profit feels great. In terms of execution, close 80% first and secure the profits; move the stop-loss on the remaining 20% above the entry price to protect the profit floor. Even if you only make a little, as long as you can take

I feel like no matter how much I earn in the future, I’ll never stop.
I’ve already gotten used to this feeling.
Making money is addictive.
Once you get used to making money, you’ll always want to make more.
You feel awful if you don’t make money for even one day.

$BTC ‌ touching $81K is important, but the reaction around $80K may tell us more than the breakout itself.
Bitcoin briefly pushed to a three-month high around $81.4K before pulling back, while capital continues flowing into spot BTC ETFs. That combination tells me demand is improving, but the market is now entering an area where chasing green candles becomes risky.
What I’m watching next:
Can $BTC turn the $80K region into support rather than just trade above it briefly?
If buyers defend this zone, confidence could spread further into $ETH, $SOL and other large caps. If BTC keeps rejecting ar

$HFT (Hashflow) – Bearish Rejection, Out
I'm staying far away from HFT because it is up +6.23% at $0.00716, but has been rejected heavily from a 24h high of $0.00883. The price is trading below the short-term EMAs (EMA5 $0.00732, EMA10 $0.00740, EMA30 $0.00755). The 24h low is $0.00698, and MACD is turning negative. The lower wicks and overhead supply show heavy selling pressure. I'm not touching this until it reclaims $0.0075. For now, I'm completely out.

$NVDA ​$NVDA is looking strong in the current market trend. Analyzing the key support levels and price action for long-term growth. #NVDA #Trading

I did nothing—just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me🚀.

While it was forming a bottom intraday, I kept my eye on $BMT . It moved sideways at the bottom for several hours, with trading volume narrowing steadily. This kind of movement usually either wears you out or breaks upward and never looks back. When the volume had contracted enough, I placed an order at 0.01893, planning to wait for breakout confirmation. I didn't expect it to break out while I was washing my hands.

The price has now surged directly to 0.02241, with +381.07% unreali

Went to Div to see my godfathers and 4 different offrs asked me this question, and now here on WhatsApp.
I’m actually considering this tbh but then idk how convenient and feasible it’s gonna be combining being in the AFN and activity in web3