#每周来晒 #美联储9月纪要偏鹰 October hike? Most likely "dovish"—but no one is pricing the "tail risk" of CPI exceeding expectations
I. Will there be another hike in October? My view: most likely not—the bar for "making it two months in a row" is too high
The logic is simple:
- September just saw a hike (3.75-4.00%, the first resumption of hikes since 2023)—consecutive monthly hikes have been "extreme action" in the Fed's history, requiring a "cliff-like deterioration" in the data
- Payrolls were only 29,000 and the unemployment rate was 4.2%—the labor market does not support consecutive hikes
- The minut

#HyperliquidPerpOIMarketShareHitsRecord11.9% $HYPE $BTC
GM ☕ A friend who doesn't trade much asked me this morning: "Hyperliquid just hit a record share, so why is HYPE going down?" Good question. Here's the voice note I'd send back, typed out.
"Okay, first, what does 11.9% actually mean?"
It means that of all the open perpetual positions in the market, about 11.9% now sit on that platform, a new record. With roughly $200B traded over 30 days, that's real usage, not just talk. But notice what that number measures: activity and market share. It does not measure the token's price. A venue can g

I warned all my subs that liquidity will rotate into the MAG 7.
$MAGS just made new ATH and got clear blue sky.
$GOOG $TSLA $AMZN $MSFT $AAPL $NVDA $META
Gave them the bottom on all of these. Now we are waiting for Tesla to pump.

#GateMoney正式上线
The launch of Gate Money is significant because it shifts Gate from being primarily a crypto platform toward an all-encompassing financial ecosystem. Consolidating cryptocurrencies, fiat currencies, stocks, ETFs, gold, banking services, and payments under a single account can reduce friction for users and enhance the utility of the broader Gate ecosystem.
For me, the most compelling use case is the seamless conversion between asset classes and the ability to make payments—specifically, moving from digital assets to fiat currency and then spending or transferring funds without e

$MET Short-term conclusion: bullish, but only buy pullbacks—do not chase highs. The Fear & Greed Index is at 64, in the greed zone. BTC’s stabilization is driving a spillover in risk appetite, with capital rotating from major assets into high-beta small-cap sectors. MET’s 24h gain of +43.09% is a leading example of this rotation; however, the funding rate of -0.2680% indicates that shorts are still exerting pressure while longs are not overheated. Combined with the bullish MACD histogram at +0.002761 and the bullish MA5(0.46244)>MA20(0.405945) alignment, the trend remains intact, making pullb

#GTBurnsNearly2MTokensInQ3 $GT $BTC
Let me do something different today. Instead of opinions first, I'm going to hand you the receipt of this burn, line by line, and then check whether the chart agrees with the bill.
🧾 The burn receipt
Burned this quarter: 1,987,321 GT
Value at the time: $22.35M
Price implied by those two numbers: about $11.25 per GT
Burned in total so far: about 191.9M GT, which is 63.98% of the original 300M
Supply left: roughly 108M GT
This quarter's burn as a share of what's left: about 1.8%
Remaining supply at today's chart price (10.85): about $1.17B, so the burn was r

Trump Media’s 4,260 BTC flagged as whale, bullish on $BTC
Trump Media Group has been flagged as a $BTC whale, with 4,260 BTC sitting on-chain, but the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is holding at 5.3%, and the macro hand is still pressing down. I’m bullish at this level.

The market really can’t be pushed down, at -1.5% over 24h. After the event, it pulled back from 82,729.62 to 82,952.31, rebounding only +0.27%. This is a recovery during a high-level retreat, and the outlook is bullish across multiple timeframes.

There are three reasons. First, the daily RSI is 53.0, with no overbought condit

$XAU Gold has crashed! Brothers who chased longs at 4300, is your position still alive? Don’t panic—you can still get out! The most detailed explanation!
Why the plunge? Don’t listen to random nonsense about the news—the core issue is just one word: debt.
U.S. Treasury bond interest rates have surged above 5.3%, the highest since 2002. You can earn more by keeping money in the bank than holding gold, so the big money has all fled. Look at the data: whales’ average long entry is 4293, and they are now sitting on $7.39 million in unrealized losses. Only 33% of the 133 whales are profitable. Fund

Gold made another V-shaped reversal! 🎉 The trade I publicly called last night paid off again 🤭, completing ✅ Target 1 (◠‿◠)✌️ Congratulations to everyone who followed along, whether you saw the post or watched the livestream. Anyway, glad you got the profit 🤭 #XAU $XAU ‌

1.Astonishing returns: The 7-day return reached as high as +1055.64%. In the highly volatile crypto market, even multiplying tenfold in one month is extremely rare. How can one achieve 1000% in 7 days? Not taking oversized positions, but using small positions to seek key points is especially critical. You must understand and delve into every coin (rather than relying on a single position).
2.Exceptional risk-reward ratio: The risk-reward ratio reached as high as 135.43. In other words, the average profit from one winning trade can offset the losses from 135 losing trades.
3.Extremely high Shar

#xag #Gümüş is moving below the 60 level. Therefore, the decline may continue. During the decline, we will monitor the 55-54 supports. When it holds at either one, a new rise may come. Technically, the declines continue to maintain the appearance of a correction of the uptrend.
The first bullish signal will come with a close above 62.13. Then we will monitor the 68 and blue box (70-71) resistances. If there is a close above them, the bullish TOBO will become active, and a continuation of the rise can be expected. We can monitor the 79-89 resistances.
On the weekly chart, as long as the 54 low

#USGovernmentAddressesMove$670MInCryptoOver32Hours
‍$BTC $BNB
GM ☕ A headline says "government wallets moved about $670M in 32 hours" and the replies are already full of "dump incoming". I don't trade rumors, I trade evidence. So today I'm opening a case file: what we know, what we don't, and what my two charts say.
Evidence A: what the headline actually proves
Money moved between addresses. That's it. A transfer isn't a sale. In earlier episodes like this, a lot of those moves turned out to be internal shuffles or deposits into an institutional custodian, and sometimes nothing was sold at

#FedSeptemberMinutesLeanHawkish Fed September Minutes: A Lean-Hawkish Signal for Markets
The latest Fed September meeting minutes point to a cautious, slightly hawkish tone as policymakers continue to balance inflation risks against the broader economic outlook. While the discussion did not necessarily signal an aggressive policy shift, it highlighted that the path toward further easing may remain dependent on incoming economic data.
For crypto and risk assets, this matters. A more cautious Federal Reserve can keep pressure on liquidity and market sentiment, especially when inflation and labor

There is a strong possibility that A-shares will move down into a trading range of the same magnitude.

$BTC BTC current price 82620. The market has entered a weak, range-bound pattern in the short term. After prices surged and then pulled back, bullish momentum has weakened, and multiple intraday rebound attempts failed to firmly reclaim the upper resistance zone. On the four-hour timeframe, the price center is gradually moving lower. Key short-term resistance lies near 83800, a level that has come under pressure several times recently. If a subsequent rebound fails to break through this level, the market will likely continue falling to test support around 81500. On the daily timeframe, bullish

I had just switched the app to the background, and it suddenly plunged—are you playing hide-and-seek with me?
When I checked the chart after lunch, $PAID was still pretending to be strong, with each upward push weaker than the last and heavy selling pressure. I judged that the pressure at the highs had not been relieved and that any rebound was an opportunity to short, so I signaled a short entry around 0.012918.
Then 0.004683 came quickly, with +631.65% in unrealized profit right there. All that frustrating sideways action wasn’t for nothing—this bite of profit feels great. Nailed it.
I’ll c

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$RAYSOL New bullish analysis
Buy 2.430–2.400, targets 2.500, 2.574, 2.650, stop loss 2.350