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#HYPEContinuesToHitAll-TimeHighs
HYPE is still holding near its all-time highs after the 1.2 billion dollar token unlock. The token is trading around 83.32, up more than 220 percent year-to-date, and the buyback-and-burn mechanism continues to remove supply from circulation. Understanding the next phase requires looking at the levels, the momentum, and the post-unlock context step by step.
Price closed at 83.32 after a flat session. The 9-period MA sits at 81.64 and the 50-period MA is much lower at 62.99. Bollinger Bands stretch from 47.52 on the downside to 93.50 on the upside, with the middle band near 70.51. Price remains well above every major moving average and is consolidating just below the recent peak. The next visible resistance is the upper band and SRL level at 93.50. Support starts at the 9-period MA near 81.64, then the middle band at 70.51 and the 50-period MA at 62.99.
RSI is at 71.48, still elevated but no longer extreme. MACD remains positive with the histogram expanding, showing that momentum has not yet turned despite the stretch.
Step one is the immediate pivot. A clean hold above 81.64 on rising volume would be the first sign that the unlock has been absorbed without structural damage. Acceptance above 81.64 keeps the higher-high structure intact and opens the door to a push toward 93.50.
Step two is the downside filter. Failure to hold 81.64 on a daily closing basis would likely send price toward the middle Bollinger Band at 70.51. A break of that level would open the door to the 50-period MA at 62.99. After a 220 percent year-to-date advance, any disappointment around the unlock could trigger a sharper mean-reversion move.
Step three is the fundamental context. The buyback-and-burn mechanism remains a structural positive. If it continues to absorb supply and the market digests the unlock without heavy selling, the path of least resistance stays higher. The key is whether the deflationary pressure outweighs the new supply that has entered the market.
My take is straightforward. I am treating 81.64 as the immediate pivot and 93.50 as the next upside magnet. Until the post-unlock structure stabilizes, size stays measured. The deflationary mechanism is real, but the chart still has to prove it can convert the unlock into sustained acceptance above the recent highs.
Final point: the next few daily closes will matter more than any single session. A hold above 81.64 keeps the bullish case alive. A break under it shifts the short-term bias lower until proven otherwise.
Are you holding through the post-unlock period, adding on a reclaim of the recent highs, or already reducing exposure near these levels? Share your plan.
‍#HYPE #TokenUnlock $HYPE
@Gate_Square