What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Profit and Loss, and Trading Costs Help Determine Whether a Strategy Has a Long-Term Edge?

In cryptocurrency trading, making money with a strategy in the short term does not mean it will work over the long term. Catching one major market move by chance can mask problems with the strategy itself. Trading expectancy helps us evaluate a strategy from a broader perspective, rather than judging it based on just a few wins or losses.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the average profit a strategy may generate per trade w

The short position entered in line with the trend this morning has already hit a low of 4035, successfully capturing $60 in profit!
$ETH $XAU #黄金 #ETH跌5.5%

Could one of the pros who likes writing tutorials teach me how to apply for a minor refund?
What I mean is:
Two weeks ago, my 2-year-old son used my phone to buy two BTC at a price of 8.2.
I only discovered it today when I opened my phone.
Could someone please tell me how to apply for a minor refund? 😭😭😭

Either $BTC weekly 200EMA hold or hitting 53.9k realized price
Too early to determine anything

$SKHY SHORT SETUP — BEARS REMAIN IN CONTROL!

$SKHY is down 8.68%, with strong selling pressure and repeated lower highs keeping the bearish trend intact.

Entry: 125.31
SL: 128.50

TP1: 123.50
TP2: 121.80
TP3: 120.25
Final Target: 117.00

Buyers attempted a recovery from 120.25 but failed to sustain momentum. Price is weakening again below 127.19, suggesting sellers could push for another test of support.

Invalidation: A sustained recovery above 128.50 weakens the bearish setup.

Good morning, recap
U.S. stocks have a huge influence. Continuing to hold OP longs
, it fell below 0.1 yesterday but recovered; 0.967 is the downside confirmation line. Continue holding
Stay the course

BTC
I used to constantly remind myself that if my forecast called for two V-reversals, I’d stop posting short-term analysis here and focus only on the long-term outlook.
But I was young and hotheaded, unable to let go of my conviction or swallow my pride. Once again, I’ve put myself in a position I didn’t want to be in.
If things here go the way I think they will, there’ll be three more V-reversals! That would make four V-reversals in total in the short term!!!!
But fuck it, this is my call. #btc

Stronger US factory activity complicates Bitcoin’s hopes for lower rates
ISM’s October production index hit 59, its highest since November 2021, while the prices index fell to 75.2 from 77.9, leaving growth and cost signals in tension.
Quick Take
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

When everyone is using similar strategies, does the original edge still exist?

In trading markets, there is a change that is easy to overlook.

A strategy may have performed exceptionally well for a long time. It has clear entry conditions, a good win rate, and a relatively stable returns curve. But over time, more and more traders begin using similar indicators, the same breakout logic, and even similar stop-loss and take-profit rules. The method that once worked gradually loses its edge.

At this point, many people’s first reaction is: Have the parameters stopped working? Should the indicat

#每周来晒 #美股史诗级抛售
U.S. Tech Stocks Face a Historic Sell-Off: Is the AI Boom Entering a Deeper Correction?
The U.S. stock market has experienced a significant wave of selling pressure, bringing technology stocks and the artificial intelligence sector into the spotlight. The sharp decline in the Nasdaq, along with heavy losses in major technology and semiconductor companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA) and AMD, has raised important questions about the market's next direction.
This sell-off is more than just a temporary market movement. It highlights how quickly investor sentiment can change when valuat

$MU Damn, who’s winning this round again?

The group chat is full of wailing: dip buyers bought halfway down the mountain, and panic sellers cut their losses at the bottom. These shady market makers know you can’t bring yourself to sell. They give you a little taste of gains, then shove you underwater.

The craziest part is that you know it’s a trap, but you still reach for it. Because if you don’t, what if it really takes off? That one little “what if” has led so many people to pour in their principal.

I’m honestly amazed—truly. Not by the market makers, but by ourselves: our memories are sh

📢 Signal Card | Just Spotted
KOL channel: AMAN Asset: $UNI Long entry: 7.6 Targets: 7.7 / 7.78 / 7.88 Stop-loss: 7 Time: Just posted. All five key details included; sis copied it exactly as is 👀
Speaking of which, I reposted AMAN's $AVAX trade earlier today, and here it is again. Quite a posting frequency.
Let me be clear upfront: I only relay the signals; I don't guarantee they're winners. Whether to follow and how much to risk is up to you to weigh carefully. Going all-in on a single trade is asking to get burned.
Personal record-sharing, not investment advice. #AnthropicIPO valuation fa

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Guys, market rallies are never smooth sailing. Spikes followed by pullbacks and retests after breakouts are common market rhythms.
Especially now, new developments in the news are causing fresh turbulence.

Some Democratic lawmakers have proposed restrictions on superintelligent AI agents, weighing on sentiment in the AI sector. Tech stocks such as SanDisk came under pressure, and weakness in the Nasdaq also dragged major risk assets lower.
Looking back at the past two days, after the US election results came in on November 4, $BTC briefly climbed back above 81000, and ETH also rebounded to a

Long-term market outlook reference

BTC currently at 75585.1, ETH currently at 2221.00
Both major assets have completed a pullback after a rally over the larger time frame. This is a cyclical consolidation following an upswing; the long-term bottom structure remains intact, and downside room is gradually narrowing, making it unsuitable to chase shorts. Wait for a retest of the long-term support zone and, once signs of stabilization emerge, build a core position in batches to position for a new upward trend.

Long-term strategy: scale in on pullbacks
BTC: wait for a pullback to 73000‑74500; fir

📡 Signal Card | Reposted from KOL “Bitcoin Fengge”
Asset: $ETH Long entry: 2435 Stop loss: 2360 Targets: 2520 / 2560 Time: Not specified
I’m only reposting this as-is. Fengge is responsible for backing the signal’s authenticity. Whether to follow it and how much to put in are up to you, folks—don’t go all-in with your life savings 🫠
I reposted one of Fengge’s $ETH trades earlier today, and now here’s another. This is happening more often than I change my profile picture.
Shared as a personal record; not investment advice. #SpaceX partners with Qualcomm to build a 5G network in the US

OMG, good Lord!! The AI landscape is about to change!!
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced the creation of a “Superintelligence Task Force.”
On the surface, it’s about cracking down on foreign hackers, criminals, and fraudsters who misuse advanced AI. But what’s really worth paying attention to is just how far its regulatory reach extends—it’s requiring AI companies to strengthen “internal controls” to ensure models “behave as intended.”
That phrase, “behave as intended,” sounds like a safety measure, but in essence, it puts “compliance shackles” on frontier models.
For frontier AI,