memehunterx

These days, there really isn’t much genuinely useful educational content on X. Chinese creators are all farming airdrops and posting ads to get a paycheck from Musk, or, as KOLs, constantly showing off how amazing their lives are. It feels like there’s more useful content on Xiaohongshu—or maybe there was more on X in 2024–25. I’ll have to dig through X for some older stuff. Or maybe I’ll share more on Xiaohongshu from now on.

Clearer regulations, continued favorable SEC/tokenized-equity policies, or another overall move by BTC.
So if I had to give a time window, I would view it this way:
2U: October to November has the highest probability
3U: November to December or even later is more reasonable
If it surges directly to 3U in October, I would instead view it as an extremely aggressive parabolic move, and the risk would clearly increase.

But if BTC moves sideways or weakens due to interest rate expectations, and BP first pulls back to 0.9–1.0 before starting the second wave, the timeline could extend into November or even later.
3U: I lean toward 1–3 months rather than “definitely reaching it next month.”
Going from 1.2 to 3 is +150%. That usually requires more than just the current wave of sentiment; there would also need to be a second catalyst, such as Backpack’s business data continuing to surge and an IPO allocation.

GPT is a bit too optimistic—it’s kind of scary.
My view on the timing
2U: I think 2–6 weeks is a more realistic window.
It still needs approximately +67% to rise from 1.2 to 2. For a coin that doubled in a week and has its own tokenized stocks / IPO narrative, that isn’t exaggerated in a bull market environment.
If BTC continues to remain strong and market risk appetite does not deteriorate significantly, reaching 2U within October is entirely possible.

Layer 3:
IPO Priority Allocation
This is an entirely separate thing.
Backpack officially stated on March 9 that long-term stakers could receive priority allocation to purchase IPO shares at the offering price, and:
You do not need to give up your BP; it continues to belong to you.
The allocation is determined by:
* Staking duration
* Amount staked
* Activity on Backpack products
“So my 1500 BP can rise to 3U, and I can also get IPO-priced shares? I win on both sides?”