What has the market already priced in? Is the 80% probability of no rate hike reliable?

The CME FedWatch tool shows that the market has priced in an 80.6% probability of rates remaining unchanged in October and a 19.4% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike. For December, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 21.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 64.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 14.2%.

Are these figures reliable? Let me break them down simply.

First, October. An 80.6% probability of no rate hike means the mar

Are you ready for $CREDI ?

🚨 BREAKING
CZ WARNING: IF YOU OWN A LEDGER, CHECK YOUR DEVICE.
SUPPLY CHAIN ATTACK CONFIRMED, TAMPERED OR FAKE UNITS SHIPPED THROUGH AT LEAST ONE VENDOR.
RECENTLY PURCHASED LEDGERS ARE AT HIGHEST RISK.

#ZECPlungesOver14%in24Hours
Zcash Faces a Critical Test at $1,200: ETF Outflows, Whale Accumulation, and the NU7 Upgrade
ZEC Market Update: Is This a Healthy Correction or the Beginning of a Deeper Pullback?
Zcash (ZEC) is facing renewed selling pressure after a sharp correction wiped out a significant portion of its recent rally. With the token currently trading at $1,208.18, a 24-hour low of $1,117.75, and a high of $1,292.06, the market is approaching an important decision point. Bulls are attempting to defend the $1,200 region, while bears are looking for further downside as investors rea

💰 $126 million in net inflows, the market is watching Gate
According to PANews, Gate recorded approximately $126 million in net inflows over the past month, ranking third among centralized exchanges globally.
Meanwhile, Gate’s global user base has surpassed 61 million, with services covering more than 150 countries and regions.
As funds continue to flow in, the platform’s user base is also steadily expanding.
However, what is more worth discussing than the ranking is: Which trading opportunities will these funds flow into next?
BTC, GT, popular altcoins, or new market hotspots?
Bring #Gate净流入

Thanks to Gate Square and Gate Live Chinese for the exposure support!
One pullback taught me the most important lesson: unrealized profits don’t count as realized gains; only strict stop-losses can protect profits. Respect the market and continue refining my trading system.
Starting at 1000U → peak of 4000U, now back to 3500U
The market taught me the most important lesson: only after learning to cut losses can you be considered a trader.
Unrealized profits aren’t money; securing gains and managing risk are what matter. Respect volatility and strictly follow trading discipline. $ZEC $BullRun $T

$CORE Now’s the time—go all in! Getting back to six bucks isn’t a dream!

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After a three-week break, Arsenal returns to #Emirates Stadium — and right away gets a chance to put the painful 0-3 loss to Brighton behind them.
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$ETH Stop acting. Get ready to dig in.

BREAKING: Cash card has processed nearly $1 billion in cumulative spend across more than 100,000 active cards, up from $800 million and about 70,000 cards in early September.
@ether_fi

#GateAtTOKEN2049
TOKEN2049 Singapore , became the most crowded meeting of the global digital asset ecosystem with over 25,000 participants. In this edition, Gate stood out with a simultaneous presence on three different tracks: product launch, top-level sports collaboration, and a community-based gala organization. This article analyzes this presence on three academic axes: product evolution, brand collaboration, and community management.
1. Introduction: The Scale of TOKEN2049 and the Context of This Year
TOKEN2049 Singapore sold out its exhibition space in record time. Speakers on the main

#GateAtTOKEN2049
Thirteen Years of Building, One Bigger Vision for Money
The most interesting thing about crypto’s future may not be what we buy or trade, but how we connect the assets we hold with the money we actually use.
That was the idea that caught my attention at TOKEN2049 Singapore.
Gate’s presence at the event went beyond a brand showcase. The official launch of Gate Money, the appearance of F1 World Champion Max Verstappen alongside Gate’s activities, and the Gate Gala each highlighted a different side of the company’s direction.
But the announcement that stood out to me most was G

Me and our gang moggin the market in this dip

$AMZN projection 👇

The Gate x Ondo BLKHION Launchpool caught my attention because the campaign is simple, but the structure is not empty.
Users get a direct Launchpool path where they can stake USDT and earn $BLKHION from a $150K+ reward pool.
But the extra detail is Soft Staking.
OIP holders can hold OIP for 8% APR with no lock-ups, which makes the campaign more flexible than a normal one-way reward event.
That matters because crypto users are not only looking for rewards now. They are also looking at control, liquidity, and how easy it is to enter or exit a position.
A campaign can have a big pool, but if the

10.9 Jin Ce Midnight Gold Review: Gold surged and pulled back on the 15-minute chart, followed by high-level consolidation! Is 4207 a top or a continuation of the uptrend?

Intraday spot gold on the 15-minute chart first rose and then fell. In the morning session, it began a one-way rally from the interim low of 4121, with bulls continuing to push higher to the interim high of 4207. Profit-taking then drove prices lower, and the market entered a high-level range-bound phase. It is currently trading around 4191, with bulls and bears battling below the 4200 level, while short-term divergence is

$H /USDT Perp – "Steep Decline – Short"**
Trading Plan Short $H
Entry: 0.05850
SL: 0.06022
TP1: 0.05650
TP2: 0.05575
H is down -9.49% and in a steep downtrend from the 0.06396 high. MACD is negative; targeting the 0.05650 low.

$DOT Current price: 1.213. The upper resistance is the Bollinger upper band at 1.2257, while the first support below is the MA5 at 1.1904.
Breaking down this 18% rise from the funding perspective: the funding rate is +0.0100%, a relatively moderate level, indicating that although longs are paying a premium, the market has not yet reached an extremely crowded state, and major players have not distributed their holdings to late buyers chasing the rally. RSI at 69.6 is approaching the overbought zone, while the MACD histogram at +0.003642 continues to show expanding bullish momentum. The MA5 cro