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$S's Two Timeframes Are Clashing; The Key Is Not Guessing the Direction
$S 24 hours -2.96%, current price 0.05715. On the surface, this is merely a rise or fall, but the real conflict lies in the timeframes: the 1-hour chart is weak, while the 4-hour chart is strong. When two charts give opposite answers, the least useful approach is to pick the one you like and believe it completely.
On the event front, the platform's latest announcement mentioned “Gate Research: U.S. Stocks Extend Gains, Moscow Exchange to Launch Regulated Crypto Trading”. This is verifiable background, but I will not equate
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The most unusual detail in today’s market: among the three candidates in the same sector, one fell 15.94%, $W fell 15.97%, while $OP
rose 10.21% against the trend and was the only one trading above MA20. This kind of divergence—broad declines across the sector but a single coin rising—usually indicates that funds are screening for relative strength rather than selling indiscriminately.
Breaking it down, $OP is currently priced at 0.1533, with MA5=0.15448 and MA20=0.15225. The short-term moving average remains above the medium-term moving average, while the price is fluctuating around MA5, f
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GTC
GTC芝麻币
Gate.Fun
MC:$0.1Holders:1
0%
OP+9.70%
We will get used to:
1. Reading articles written by AI
2. Enjoying movies generated by AI
3. Appreciating music generated by AI
4. Enjoying games made by AI
5. Listening to advice given by AI
But can we get used to no longer being needed?
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market predictions
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LIVE2,102
$ENA Current price 0.2099, down 3.94% in 24h, with a trading volume of 33.5M USDT; over the same period, $ETH plunged 16.32% with a trading volume of just 7.0M, while ENA fell 1.09%. In a horizontal comparison within the same sector, ENA’s decline is far smaller than GTC’s, yet its trading volume is nearly 5 times higher, forming a relatively strong structure of “smaller decline, volume still holding,” and is worth tracking separately.
Technical analysis: MA5=0.21046 is slightly below MA20=0.210845, with the moving averages converging and flattening, indicating consolidation rather than a do
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GTC
GTC芝麻币
Gate.Fun
MC:$0.1Holders:1
0%
ENA-2.10%
ETH-0.34%
Key things to watch: U.S. CPI at 8:30 tonight. If you’re not a professional macro analyst, you only need to look at 3 things
Transmission chain: CPI above/below expectations➡️rate hike probability higher/lower➡️interest rate expectations higher/lower➡️risk asset valuations higher/lower
1. The data itself: in line with/above/below expectations?
Corresponding to neutral/bearish/bullish for risk assets
2. Market reaction: DXY and US10Y (see attached chart)
Don’t just look at the data itself; also look at the market’s reaction. The most direct indicators are the U.S. Dollar Index DXY and 10-year U
USIDX-0.03%
At 8:30 tonight, the U.S. September CPI will be released. Everyone is watching inflation, but what they’re really watching is oil.
First, oil. Brent is now $106 a barrel, compared with just over $60 around this time last year. After fighting broke out on the Iranian side, oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz have been attacked every day, and this week the Houthis attacked the headquarters of Saudi Aramco again.
When oil gets expensive, gas stations raise prices first. U.S. gasoline was nearly 30% more expensive in August than a year earlier, pushing overall CPI to 3.4%. This month, the market e
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BTC-0.03%
The probability of it lasting through October 15 is close to 100%, with the market nearly unanimous in judging that the conflict will not immediately resume in the short term.
But as the time horizon lengthens, the probability gradually declines: it falls to 82% by the end of October and further to 62% by mid-November.
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Tonight at 20:30, September CPI data will be released, and BTC’s major volatility tonight will most likely be triggered by it. Above expectations is bearish, while below expectations is bullish. Don’t bet on the direction in advance; stay defensive and wait for the data to be released. #韩林博士受邀牛津大学辩论社演讲 $BTC
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BTC-0.03%
Tong Ge's 10.14 BTC Evening Script: Pump First, Dump Later
CPI drops at 20:30 tonight. The script is set in advance: up first, down later.
845-860 is the core resistance zone tonight; in an extreme move, it could reach 875.
As soon as the data comes out, the market will definitely ride the sentiment higher first, heading straight for the resistance zone. By then, the whole internet will once again be full of talk about a reversal, breaking $90k, and targeting $100k—louder than anyone else.
But Tong Ge does not care who is shouting the loudest; he only cares whether the price can truly break th
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BTC-0.02%
Gold longs and shorts both profited overall: short gold at 4168, long gold at 4151!
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GLDX-1.50%
PAXG-0.79%
Analyzing Papertrade’s data on HyperEVM is truly astonishing
- In just 4 days since launch, Papertrade’s cumulative notional trading volume has exceeded $477 billion. With 1000x leverage, a very small margin can generate massive notional exposure
- Although trading volume has continued to decline, Papertrade’s daily notional trading volume still exceeded $37 billion yesterday, higher than the combined trading volume of all Perp DEXs
- Cumulative fees have exceeded $37 million, surpassing the historical cumulative fees of many Perp DEXs in just 4 days
- Papertrade’s fees consist of three compon
$PI Fart-friend trailblazers, have you gone crazy yet
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PI+0.07%
$QNT The most important thing to be wary of is not whether prices rise or fall, but that after prices move for a while, participation fails to keep up.
This time, I won't look at the gainers and losers list—only the levels. The current price is 214.63, about 6.49% from the 1-hour support at 200.71 and about 7.10% from the resistance at 229.86.
My criteria are simple: only a breakout above 229.86 followed by continuation counts as an upside handoff; a break below 200.71 invalidates the previous assessment. The 1-hour and 4-hour outlooks are both weak, with RSI at 62 and 35, respectively.
The is
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QNT-4.73%
$ETH Water over Thunder, Kan above and Zhen below. Water presses down on the thunder, and when the thunder wants to move, the water blocks it first; having just crawled out of the pit, don't rush to call it a trend.
Yesterday it rebounded from 2,408 to around 2,538, but today's high only reached 2,521, with the current price around 2,503, still grinding below the moving-average band. The daily EMA20 around 2,570 is still pressing down, while the four-hour EMA50 is around 2,547. Yesterday's low at 2,408 is underneath, and 2,530–2,570 above is the old platform before the breakdown. The structure
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ETH-0.29%
Tonight’s CPI: Should BTC Go Long or Short?
Let me start with my own view: Until the 80500—84200 range is broken, I’d rather wait for opportunities at either end than chase rallies or sell-offs in the middle.
Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. September CPI will be released. The market expects headline CPI to come in at 3.6% year over year and 0.6% month over month, with core CPI at 0.2% month over month. Expectations for the first two figures have increased, while expectations for monthly core CPI have cooled.
Put simply, tonight’s focus isn’t just on whether inflation is high or low, but on how much
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BTC-0.03%
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATESS
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LIVE1,972
#AnthropicDisclosesQ3Revenue $ANTHROPIC
Anthropic walked institutional investors through its Q3 numbers behind closed doors today, and the IPO talk is getting very real: a Nasdaq listing targeted for November, a valuation of up to $2 trillion, and a raise of around $100B. Here’s my honest read beyond the headline.
1. The Q3 number isn’t public yet
The meeting was closed-door, and I couldn’t find any published Q3 figure, so I won’t pretend to know it. What is out there: an annualized run rate of about $65B at the end of July, up from roughly $9B at the end of 2025, plus talk that it could pass
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ANTHROPIC-0.34%
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#美国9月CPI即将公布
US September CPI Is About to Be Released: Will Bitcoin Face a New Wave of Volatility?
The cryptocurrency market is approaching an important macroeconomic event as investors turn their attention to the release of the United States September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on October 14. Inflation figures are closely watched by financial markets because they can influence expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, the US dollar, and risk-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin (BTC).
For crypto investors and market observers, the key question is whether the latest i
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BTC-0.03%
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