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Sliipy

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Active for: 10.2y
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Every time Polymarket's server crashes, my MM strategy loses money (especially in sports markets), and it happens every month. This feeling really sucks. 🥲
Teachers, may I ask how to consider an invitation to Polymarket as successful? I'm about to change my address. I used my own link to create a small account, made a deposit and a trade, but it's been half a day and I haven't seen any record. Is my method incorrect?
Cut all those big KOLs who were promoting for free, did you have to be so ruthless about it...couldn't you have given them something?
Trading Volume can reflect the "quality" of price trends—price changes during high Trading Volume periods are more valuable for reference compared to low Trading Volume periods. High Trading Volume usually represents a consensus among a large number of market participants. From this perspective, to reflect the true probability of an event, a prediction market must first address the Liquidity issue and expand the market size, while most markets on Polymarket have not achieved this effect.
Open Source a copy of the current active market information of polymarket ( market and event ) Snapshot, the database uses SQLite3👇:
I read an interesting on-chain story, the mev bot had just taken away 100w u, and then it was hacked immediately after, with all 1100 ETH being stolen 🤣👇:
In 2022, a user on eth used 180w u of cUSDC to exchange for USDC, but was squeezed by the famous mev bot 0xBAD, receiving only 500 USDC.
However, shortly after, another hacker address (0xb9f7) discovered a contract vulnerability in 0xBAD. When using DYDX's flash loan, the protocol calls back a "callFunction" function, and this mev bot seems to have caused the hacker to gain authorization for the attack contract by not correctly authenticat
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Polymarket financial products, annualized 18%-55%, the market for Elon Musk's post count will settle in 1 day and 22 hours. In the first 5 days of this week, Elon posted 146 times, averaging 30 posts per day. In the next two days, he only needs to post 4 more times to exceed the range. The annualized investment for Sell 1, Sell 2, and Sell 3 is 54%, 36%, and 18%, respectively; of course, the possibility of silence cannot be ruled out, do your own research (DYOR).
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(1/2) The Bellman-Ford Algorithm can efficiently capture arbitrage opportunities by finding negative cycles: 👇
In the graph where the edges represent exchange rates, if the product of the exchange rates in a cycle is >1, it indicates the presence of arbitrage opportunities (, meaning the amount of currency increases after going around the cycle ). If the edges are represented as the negative logarithm of the exchange rates, it can equivalently and more simply be stated as "if a cycle is a negative cycle, it indicates the presence of arbitrage opportunities." At this point, the Bellman-Ford al
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Quickly build quantitative strategy backtesting with MCP, which includes multiple strategies and is highly automated. It looks very interesting, and those who are interested can give it a try👇:
Quickly build strategy backtesting MCP, with built-in multiple strategies and high automation👇:
An event that has a "0 probability" in reality is often overestimated in the prediction market, possibly at 1%, 2%, or even 5%. The low point of probability in the prediction market depends on the expected "annualized" return of the arbitrageur. When the annualized return is too low, savvy arbitrageurs will become the counterparty of less savvy arbitrageurs—buying the Yes on impossible events at a low price. This is also a less obvious arbitrage path in the prediction market.
This video provides a step-by-step tutorial on calculating the best profit formula for Uniswap 2 Arbitrage. Learn more 👇:
Link:
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Share a polymarket subgraph resource, including service providers and usage tutorials👇:
🌟If you haven't used Subgraph, here is a brief introduction:
What is a subgraph? In simple terms, it is indexing on-chain data that is poorly readable for humans into human-readable data, and it allows users to access data efficiently through GraphQL queries (similar to SQL).
Originally, you would need to individually fetch on-chain events from the polymarket chain, filter the events, and then parse the ABI to extract the fields. With Subgraph, you can obtain the parsed data through a simple query, greatl
Haven't learned about Uniswap V3 yet? Here's a comprehensive collection of resources for learning UNI V3, covering everything from tutorials to projects in one place 👇:
UNI+1.04%
Is the E-Guardian completely crazy? The probability of ETH reaching a price of $14,000 within this year on Polymarket has already reached 5%. Currently, the price of ETH is $4,200, which means it needs to rise 333% in less than 5 months, a net increase of $10,000 to achieve this. Is the market sentiment obviously overheated? A simple "financial" analysis 👇:
0, what does it mean for ETH to rise above 14,000? If the current ETH to BTC exchange rate remains unchanged, after BTC rises by 333%, its market value will exceed 7.8 trillion USD, surpassing the world's largest company, NVIDIA ($4.46 tri
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Is the E-Watcher completely crazy? The probability of ETH reaching a price of 14,000 dollars this year on polymarket has already reached 5%. The current price of ETH is 4,200 dollars, and it needs to rise by 333% in less than 4 months, with a net price increase of 10,000 dollars to reach that. Is the market sentiment obviously overheated? A simple "financial" analysis 👇:
0, what does it mean for ETH to rise above 14000? If the current ETH to BTC exchange rate remains unchanged, after a 333% rise, BTC's market cap will exceed 7.8 trillion dollars, surpassing the world's largest company, Nvidia
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Is Polymarket's combination arbitrage a money printer? Arbitrageurs made nearly $40 million in a year. The authors of the paper released last week revealed the huge profits of combination arbitrage (cross-market arbitrage), while the paper introduced their methods and techniques for automated arbitrage market analysis using LLM, which are worth collecting and studying 👇.
Yesterday, while researching the orderfilled event, I came across this paper "Unravelling the Probabilistic Forest: Arbitrage in Prediction Markets". Later, I found out that my big brother had already shared it a few days ago
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#web3军火库# Share a Go language quantitative resource library, including but not limited to statistical tools, rate limiters, order book implementation, machine learning libraries, trading and backtesting tools, charts, web crawlers, sentiment analysis tools, and other resources.