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Recently, I’ve been researching on-chain prediction markets and noticed something interesting: football match odds can actually be broken down into various independent events for trading, such as win/loss, over/under, and whether both teams score. Some people feed win rates, draw probabilities, and other data into models to conduct probability arbitrage, generating returns that are considerably more stable than simply buying coins. Does this count as another form of quantitative trading? I think it’s quite similar to on-chain funding rate arbitrage: both exploit market pricing discrepancies. O
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When my follower count surpassed 1,000, it was 2023,
When it surpassed 2,000, it was this year.
I might even make a push for the 10,000-follower milestone this year.
The people who initially built or ran the X Chinese community were almost all crypto traders, but now it’s time to pivot, run an X creator account, and strive to surpass 10,000 followers soon so I can qualify for creator earnings.
My goal: earn more than 1,500 U per month from X.
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#Gate7天净流入全球Top3 💰 Funds are flowing in, and trading is heating up.
Gate’s net inflows exceeded $201 million over the past 7 days, ranking among the top three centralized exchanges globally.
Previously, when BTC and ETH prices surged rapidly, Gate’s spot and futures trading volume metrics also entered the top three across the entire market.
Where did your funds go during this latest market move? 👀
$ETH $BTC
ETH0.57%
BTC0.35%
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The Fed’s September rate cut is nearly a foregone conclusion, with market focus shifting to the cut size and subsequent path
The CME FedWatch tool currently shows a 70% probability of the Fed cutting rates by one quarter-point (25 basis points) in September and about 30% for a half-point cut (50 basis points), indicating that the market has fully priced in a rate cut. However, the true source of volatility lies in the post-meeting statement and the dot plot’s projection for the 2025 median interest rate. If Powell signals a “preventive rate cut” and indicates that room for further cuts remains
USIDX0.56%
US500-0.09%
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Fed Decision in September?
No change
1.89x
53%
25 bps increase
2.13x
47%
$2.32M Vol+3 more
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$BTC
Long apart from you, flowers fall; time waits not for me—autumn.
🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫
BTC0.35%
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I almost got out early. The rebound during the day looked fairly convincing, and I did feel a little uneasy holding a short position, but on closer inspection, each rebound reached a lower high than the previous one, showing that selling pressure overhead had been suppressing the price and that it had not truly turned stronger. Since the structure remained intact, I continued holding. I entered this position at 271.22, and it churned for most of the day afterward. Several upward pushes in between were all beaten back, and the more it oscillated like this, the more it showed that support at hig
ADA-0.84%
SNDK0.52%
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$4 Signal】1H hugging the upper Bollinger Band, long-entry sniping
$4 1H is hugging the upper band, 4H bands are widening, RSI 83.95 is flattening at high levels, and the funding rate of 0.0859% is nearing overheating, but OI is stable, with neither bulls nor bears gaining the upper hand. 4H MACD bullish momentum is still being released, while the 1H histogram is contracting, weakening short-term upside momentum. The order book buy/sell ratio is 0.98, with depth imbalance at -1.16%; aggressive buyers have a slight edge, but the willingness to chase highs is average.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Li
446.67%
BTC0.35%
ETH0.57%
SOL1.02%
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A few days ago, I was still thinking before bed about how to make a graceful exit, and this morning it sent me straight into profit. The logic wasn’t complicated: the rebound lacked strength, resistance above was obvious, and volume failed to follow. I opened a short at 1.3889 and was immediately called contrarian by many people. But when I checked just now, it was at 0.7338, and I was holding +929.41%. I’ve taken 80% off the table, moved the stop-loss on the remaining 20% to the entry price, and will let it run on its own. Being on the sidelines isn’t a sin; opening positions recklessly is th
SOL1.01%
ZEC3.44%
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$1000 to $100,000 Crypto Trade Challenge Today
gate liveLIVE
1,335
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Damn! Are you really not going to buy a little more?$BTR
BTR5.15%
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HoldBWithoutMovingZ:
Exciting
BREAKING: Sony Music and Warner Music sue Anthropic in a major copyright case over allegedly scraping “tens of thousands” of musical works to train Claude AI. This could sharpen IP risk for AI training data and licensing models. $ANTHROPIC?
SONY3.24%
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BTC Futures Technical Analysis — August 30, 2026 (Sunday)
The current BTC spot/perpetual futures price is approximately in the $78,200–$78,300 range (refer to the order book in real time). After falling from the August 28 high of approximately $81,300 to around $76,900–$77,800, BTC stabilized and rebounded on August 29, recovering some of its losses. The strong rebound structure that began around $62,000–$64,000 in mid-August remains intact, with the short term now entering a consolidation and recovery phase following the pullback.
The following is a multi-timeframe technical analysis (based o
BTC0.33%
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banglangExchanger:
That’s really cool, sis, for paying living expenses with its contents.
🚨 After a $1.1 million hack, AVICI token crashed 49% in a single day—its biggest drop yet! What does this mean for neobank security? 🧐 $AVIC #CryptoSecurity
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The position is right; all that’s left is to wait. During this morning’s opening pullback, many people thought it was going to turn bearish, but I started taking a long position at 0.15656. The reason is simple: the pullback reached a key previous level without breaking it, so the structure remained intact. There was no need for me to chase shorts there; I’d rather follow the trend and ride it.

The holding process was not as smooth as imagined. It churned for nearly two hours, with the price hovering around the cost line the whole time. To be honest, it looked a bit ugly. But I knew the logi
LAB2.96%
BNB-0.04%
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Apple iPhone 16 Procurement Ramp Begins, Short-Term Pullback Offers a Good Entry Point
Apple (AAPL) has been selected as the subject of analysis. The stock price has recently fallen about 8% from its high under pressure from the broader market, testing support at the six-month moving average. As the iPhone 16 enters the peak mass-production season, supply chain orders are reportedly being raised, which could boost revenue momentum in the second half of the year. The Services business continues to grow at a double-digit rate, while AI features are gradually being integrated into the ecosystem,
AAPL1.61%
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I was just about to go to the forum and rant, but then I saw my balance. Never mind—the market is always right. 😤
A few days ago, I took one last look before going to bed. The rebound was weak, and every upward push fell just short. I warned at the time: opening a short here would be more comfortable than chasing longs; don’t wait until the level breaks to regret it. Those who bought at the top are still bragging. I won’t argue—let the price do the talking. 👀
Then I opened the market this morning, and the short opened at 0.007043, with the current price at 0.00504 and +554.93% already displa
DOGE-0.45%
ETH0.55%
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The first Robinhood meme I bought this month
#X17Z
0xf1c66c8d49744067333dbf2ca2ad01aa92b12777
MEME-2.02%
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I didn’t do anything—just went to the bathroom, and by the time I got back, the candlestick chart had already done the work for me. 😅 During the intraday plunge, $VVV dumped a wave of orders, but I saw buying pressure strengthen, with very clear support.
While everyone else was running, I judged this to be an opportunity and went long around 15.267. It’s now at 16.654, +435.3%. Nothing more to say—holding through this move feels great.
Take profit on 80% first and pocket the bulk of it. Move the stop-loss on the remaining 20% closer to the entry price. You can sleep soundly only when your pr
VVV4.24%
ADA-0.84%
SNDK0.52%
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NVDA Awaits Catalysts Ahead of Earnings, Still Has Upside Potential After Short-Term Consolidation
NVDA’s share price has recently formed a triangle consolidation pattern near its all-time high, with the bulls and bears temporarily balanced. From a positioning perspective, foreign institutional ownership has remained stable, while insiders have not engaged in large-scale selling, indicating that long-term confidence remains intact. The KD indicator has formed a golden cross near 50, and if accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, the stock may break through the overhead resistance
NVDA-4.58%
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BTC MARKET UPDATE
gate liveLIVE
288
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