IgnasDeFi

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Variational $VAR likely TGEs into perfect market:
RWAs, tokenization and perps are all having strong tailwinds.
September 30 is likely last day for points and ~50% of $VAR is allocated. Although not all will be distributed at the 1st airdrop.
AIRDROP-7.20%
These dividend-memes are liquidity time bombs:
When trading volume decreases, HODL payouts drop and whales get tempted to dump.
$ZCAT has a ~$105m MC but ~$4.3m liquidity across all Solana pools I checked.
In its main $1.88m ZCAT/ZEC pool, a $100k sell implied a 16% dump
That's less than 0.1% of market cap.
Sell $250k: 35%.
STONK looks better. Its main $7.1m SPYx pool has:
- $100k sell: 1.5% drop
- $250k sell: 3.7% drop
Around 4x more liquidity, but 10x less price impact. LPs have concentrated more capital around the current price.
Reason is because the mechanism making ZCAT attractive to hold
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ZCAT-20.47%
STONK+5.85%
ZEC+2.01%
SOL+11.85%
SPYX-0.06%
Surreal to see crypto pumping in this macro set up!
Oil price up? Even my mom just texted me how diesel prices are making her nervous.
Bloomberg reported possible fuel shortages in Europe as Saudi stops exports from next month.
But it doesn't matter for crypto.
Interest rate hikes in the EU, the US and Japan?
It killed last bull run. But now? Doesn't matter.
Clarity Act failed? Doesn't matter. SEC is doing its own thing.
Crypto is emerging stronger and from a lower price base relative to equities. AI stocks' volatility is subdued. People stopped tracking KOSPI prices as well.
Coupled with year
Polymarket's daily active wallets are down 70% from March.
Txs down from ~4M to ~1.3M a day.
A few reasons that happened:
- The World Cup ended July
(But wallets and txs were declining before the tournament even started so...)
- March fee expansion could be part of it
- Crypto natives are degen trading memes/stocks
Also, general crypto market recovered so trading opportunities are more ample.
It's great we have onchain prediction markets, since when crypto is flat & boring, traders can go to PMs instead of leaving onchain altogether.
NFL and Premier League are back now.
Let's see if that bring
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I truly like FOMO app:
It’s great memecoin & even major coin price tracker. I even open it more often than TradingView.*
I just trade tokens via Jupiter/Uniswap like a boomer to avoid large fees…
And public humiliation for not earning millions.
*but still fails to track some tokens like $FLUID
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MEME+8.03%
MAJOR+0.41%
FLUID+17.09%
Ngl, feel zero FOMO to trade on Arc.
Why would I? It's permissioned corpo chain for FX and payments. A SeRioUs chain.
Sure, it could be a meme to trade memecoins on a SeRiOuS chain but unlike Robinhood, Arc team isn't really supporting crypto native culture.
Opposite even, despite using USDC for years, retail degen who were active users of USDC and even survived the depeg got nothing out of their IPO.
RH, even if corpo chain, still supports my bags for building on Ethereum, using $ETH and giving 10% to Arbitrum. Much better alignment.
The only possible sexy narrative could be $ARC airdrop as t
Sad to see Balancer winding down:
I have fond memories using (and farming) it since day 1 but tbh I haven't used it for years now. So shutting down is understandable.
Interestingly, if the proposal passes, holders could redeem $BAL for their share of the treasury.
~$9.15M treasury vs ~$7.6M market cap.
Without treasury held $BAL and shutdown costs and we get ~11% upside at current prices. Still need to confirm how much BAL qualifies.
And unclaimed allocations go to those who redeem!
If 10% of eligible BAL goes unclaimed, the payout per redeemed token rises another ~11%.
So lost keys could bene
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China has won as Clarity Act is dead
Now, China will take total control of this major ‘happening’ because Trump wouldn’t sacrifice his personal financial interests.
Just kidding. Crypto probably moons anyway because Clarity act passing would just kill another sexy narrative for the future.
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Ugh got rekt trying to LP $LAPTOP
Even at huge volumes and amazing fees, the IL just got me rekt.
Manually it's a tough job.
LAPTOP-21.17%
Wanted to check Polymarket stats on Blockworks but they just put key data behind a paywall.
$4.5k per year to view it. Ouch.
I know they need to increase revenue, but wish they'd charge businesses instead of pricing out retail.
Ppl like me have been sharing their charts and marketing Blockworks for free on X.
Dune, too, is making its free plan view-only from tomorrow.
You can still check dashboards, but running queries will require a paid plan.
I usually update dashboard data before posting on X so won't be able to do that either without paying.
Thankfully Defillama stays free for key data.
How to play the current meta.
As a trader:
1a. You think memecoins keep running but you have no edge -> buy the infra that earns on the volume: $UNI , solana:4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R, solana:JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN.
If the mania is on Robinhood Chain, $ARB gets 10% share of that since it's an Orbit chain, and if Solana memes dominate then $SOL
1b. Could bet on tokenization platforms like $BP by Backpack or even Robinhood stock $HOOD
2. You believe in memes but want more exposure -> the launchpads, since every new token pays them first: $PONS , solana:6GmA
UNI+18.94%
SOL+11.85%
ARB+28.11%
HOOD+9.10%
PONS+3.54%
Hopefully $BP finally exits accumulation and moons:
Thesis: if meme/tokenized stock narrative migrates to Solana, Backpack benefits as stock tokenization platform.
More issuance -> more arb opportunities -> more users to BP ->higher fees -> etc etc
BP has no rev share but still a fun play to look.
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BP+2.33%
SOL+11.85%
Buying a memecoin needs high conviction it goes up.
And ASAPas other trading opportunities are in the market.
Providing liquidity (LPying) also requires conviction in the token that at least it won't nuke anytime soon.
Best if it goes slowly up, while grinding back and forth within your range and generating as much fees as possible.
Obvious take but as someone who lacks patience to hodl, LPying + holding that token together puts my mind at ease.
MEME+8.03%
TOKEN+5.35%
Hunting memecoins in the Age of AI seems... largely unchanged?
If you ask Grok to recommend memecoins to buy it will simply give tickers based on some past criteria (views, volumes, posts on X etc.)
I still believe that (organic) memecoin trading requires this human intuition on what can go viral.
Call it vibes or energy around it. The story that captivates degens. Or KOLs that suddenly to decide to shill it.
Being 24/7 online gives bigger advantage than casually asking AI what to buy once per day.
Or am I wrong and there are degens who print millions with AI but don't post on X not to dilute
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GROK+7.89%
MEME+8.03%
Aave will launch on Arc basically day 1:
Interestingly, Aave DAO expects to earn at least $2m per year with Arc covering any shortfall for the first five years to protect the DAO during bootstrapping.
Good deal for Aave.
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AAVE+8.73%
ARC+1.04%