IgnasDefi

Where Polymarket is restricted:
- France, Spain, India and Australia (and my own Lithuania) blocked the site.
- The US restriction applies to Polymarket International. There's a separate regulated Polymarket US.
- Canada isn't restricted nationwide. PM limits trading in Alberta, BC, Ontario and Quebec.
- Malta's platform restriction only covers sports markets.
Done with Chatgpt astra ultra

Had a post idea to shit on DeFi as:
1) exploits increasing and 2) DeFi's 'low-risk' yields are back near where they were a few years ago.
Aave USDC avg. yield on Ethereum:
• 2023: 2.74%
• 2024: 6.57%
• 2026: 3.27%
With short term US tbills at 4.14%, why take extra smart contract risk for lower yields?
But this post is about Defi SUCCEEDING.
A lot of ppl don't have access to any yield. 1.3B adults don't even have banks accounts less buy us treasuries
So I think we should continue to push the low risk DeFi.
We onboard more users to crypto, they learn about self-custody and will end up buying tok

PUMP posted 'airdrop coming soon' in July 2025.
15 months ago.
Max extraction in every way.

Learn the lesson: price is not market cap!
A few things from this DeFi chart:
• HYPE passed UNI's 2021 peak: $24.43B vs $22.59B. DeFi can still produce new winners while many OG tokens struggle to recover.
• 10 of the 20 tokens peaked in market cap in 2021. UNI, AAVE, COMP... five years later and those highs still haven't been beaten.
• MORPHO reached its price ATH of $4.17 in Jan 2025. Its MC went higher later as more tokens entered circulation, while buyers near the price ATH were still underwater.
• Unlocks and emissions make 'getting back to ATH' harder. If circulating supply triples, reac

$FLUID is the best performing DeFi token over the last 30 days.
Who's buying?
Gossip says someone keeps TWAPing it on CEXs :)
But the fundamentals look good:
• Best weekly revenue in 4 months
• $1.77B active loans, now the 3rd largest onchain money market
• Jupiter Lend: 6 biggest fee days in a row ($1.14M from Oct 11 - 17)
Not all green tho as buybacks are paused while the treasury rebuilds.
Big catalyst is DEX V2: soft launch is live now. Polygon first for testing, Ethereum this month
Also Fluid will launch on Sui: Hashi mainnet launches with $500M in capital backing, and Anchorage Digital j

Notice how Papertrade uses Across for cross-chain swaps?
Wonder why they picked Across among other choices. BD skills? Relationship from the past?
In any case, DEX aggregators need to be integrated into apps to survive. They can't rely on their UIs only anymore

NFTs are down only.
Even my precious Pengu NFT.
yet, i hold 0 grudge. Because $PENGU airdrop was the exit liquidity without actually selling my pengu NFT.
So my pfp is now free and any price drop is irrelevant to me.

Always made my best money by being early: $YFI farming, $LIT referrals etc.
Only 9 days in, and I'm not early to Papertrade anymore.
Early farmers got 100 PAPER per $1 of eligible losses. Now just ~11.
Just feels like I'm an exit liquidity. No?
A $1000 losing trade now gets me ~10.7k PAPER.
Stake it and I'd get ~$2.60 to $4.90 per day if recent payouts continued.
200 to 385 days just to recover my loss. And that excludes new issuance diluting my share.
So once PAPER becomes transferable, some traders might prefer selling to recover losses instead of waiting for yield.
Soooo... The BIG BET on

I think we still under-estimate the importance of pre-IPO and private assets trading onchain.
I bet hedge funds & banks already check perp charts before negotiating a deal.
But with liquidity growing and especially with private equity funds listing onchain, crypto becomes the 'IPO' venue...
And I think in this future, the role of Ethereum grows:
If tradfi 'exits' onchain first, they will need top security because potential rollbacks of chain halts could be costly.
So, my eyes are wide open for companies that decide to not only tokenize there shares onchain but PREFER crypto over tradfi exit.

Highly impressed by Grok Bot. Just two ways I use it for crypto:
1. Scan hot assets + give me a thesis on WHY and possible risks.
2. DAO governance: Scans forums, checks on current votes and flags most important decisions.
I also connected my tg to give daily insight on what degens are talking in my groups (find common themes)
Surprisingly, it requires very little guidance. Bot is smart and understands what I need without too much programming.

Trading on 'fundamentals' seems easy, but what do you do when revenue starts dropping like this?
1) Hold
2) Sell
3) Buy the dip
Ok but consider that the token trades at 0.61x annualized fees and 1.22x annualized holder revenue.
Buy more? Yet these metrics are based on the last 30 days. Protocol is new.
But what if it belongs to a crypto category which historically is very cyclical, loses attention and gets flooded with new competitors?
Still 'cheap' valuation yet only if the PROTOCOL and revenue survive.
Yeah, trading the revenue meta looks easy when revenue only goes up.
But you still need to

Robinhood's meme/stock meta is losing momentum.
RH's tokenized stock TVL is flat for two weeks. And now more stocks are burnt than issued.
The same money can still trade repeatedly and generate fees.
But if trading volume slows too:
Lower payouts → less reason to hold → more selling.
And if LPs decide the fees aren't worth it anymore, exit liquidity gets thinner.
I already exited my meme/stock LP positions. Yields went down a lot.
We need a catalyst to reignite the pump.
Hopefully BTC & majors hold up the pump and price targets for all assets are raised across crypto.

Short appreciation post to $ARB for breaking the L2 curse and showing that L2 tokens can have value.
ARB is up ~123% in 30 days vs $OP ~18%.
Arbitrum proved you CAN ACTUALLY monetize technical IP through Robinhood's fee sharing model.
The DAO earned $6.19M in H1. Standard Chartered now gives ARB a $10 target by 2030.
From ~$0.22 today...
Their thesis is more banks and fintechs launch chains on Arbitrum -> more licensing revenue.
But DAO revenue doesn't automatically reach $ARB holders.
There's a DAO discussion asking for a plan connecting growing revenue to the token. but still early.
Btw, OP