Square
Following
Hot
News
Profile

MartinaLi

vip
Quant Trader
Crypto Market Researcher
Market Analyst
High-frequency mining opportunities in the market, low-frequency building of trading strategies.
26
Following
108
Followers
751
Liked
Pin
Ways to Make Money
1. Inject supplementary profit sources into negative-sum game markets.
2. Build long-term, low-risk strategies.
Hackers rifled through Phala’s logs, and $PHA turned around and rallied 19.8%
Hackers accessed customer logs, but $PHA rallied 19.8% instead—Phala disclosed last night that it was attacked through a dstack vulnerability from October 8 to 12, and only finished fixing it on October 15. Yet in 24h, the price surged from 0.0462 to 0.0595, and is now at 0.058. I’m directly bearish at this level: completing the fix doesn’t mean there was no damage, and affected customers still need to rotate their keys. The trust breach remains.
Here are the reasons, one by one—first, the daily RSI is only 41.8, and
PHA+6.02%
$COMP surged 33.2%, but the daily bearish alignment is unchanged: I’m bearish
$COMP surged 33.2% in a day, with the current price at 28.63, up from 21.04 to 28.96 over 24 hours. The rally is real, and so is my stance: bearish. Price has moved above the upper Bollinger Band, and the 30-day range position is 0.975. Chasing longs means becoming exit liquidity.

The daily chart looks ugly: RSI is only 41.9, MA7 is below MA30, and the death cross below the zero line has yet to recover after 13 days. A 15-minute spike can’t overturn the daily bearish alignment.

Leverage traders haven’t even enter
COMP+31.45%
2.1 billion tokens burned without a big bullish candle; I’m bullish on $ASTER
$ASTER Less than an hour ago, it announced a buyback and burn, but the price only moved from 0.7061 to 0.7031. More than 2.72 million tokens bought back and burned over two weeks, with over 210 million burned in total—fee-funded buybacks are turning into buying pressure. With data this strong, the price is only down -0.42%. I’m bullish—the muted response during a bottoming range looks more like a transfer of coins.

The volume ratio is only 0.519, with 24h turnover of 7029479 USDT, a typical drop in volume; daily R
ASTER+1.82%
SEC pushes regulatory framework hard, $ONDO volume ratio 0.363: I'm bearish
$ONDO is now at 0.433: SEC Chairman Atkins says that even if the CLARITY Act fails, he'll use existing authority to push a regulatory framework.
I'll show my hand—I'm bearish; any rebound is an exit window.
24h volume is 11,799,916 USDT, just 0.363 times the 30-day average—buyers haven't entered.
Daily RSI is weak at 43.6, and the MACD death cross from 15 days ago is still widening, with the green bars growing.
U.S. crypto-related stocks average -8.32%: COIN -5.79%, MicroStrategy -9.56%, MARA -9.6%.
The broader market
ONDO+4.29%
Over $2 million in long liquidations, $STRK down 11.3% against the trend—I’m bullish
Over $2 million in long contracts were liquidated, and $STRK slid from 0.07294 all the way to 0.0631. Amid the liquidation cascade, I’m leaning bullish.

Current price: 0.0634, 24h -11.3%, down 48.55% over 7 days. After a drop like this, the market still hasn’t given up: daily RSI is neutral at 50.6, short-term moving averages remain in a bullish alignment, with MA7 above MA30; the funding rate is neutral at 5e-05, and OI is still up 2.95% from the snapshot—the price has crashed, but nobody is closing their p
post-image
STRK-4.23%
Oil at $100, but $ETH only bounced 0.5%: I’m bearish
The Iran war sent oil prices soaring to $100, with safe-haven headlines everywhere, yet $ETH only bounced from 2408.51 to 2420.63—a total of just 0.5%.

It’s not that I missed the news—the news simply couldn’t move the market, which is why I’m comfortable being bearish.

The daily RSI is 37.1, languishing in the weak zone; the MACD has been in a death cross below the zero line for 19 days, and the green bars have flattened out; 24h trading volume is 330127302 USDT, with a volume ratio of just 0.464—money simply hasn’t entered the market.
ETH+2.09%
Oil at $100, $ETH only bounced 0.5% the whole time: I’m bearish
The Iran war sent oil soaring to $100, and safe-haven headlines are everywhere, yet $ETH only bounced from 2408.51 to 2420.63, just 0.5% in total.

It’s not that I didn’t see the news—it’s that the news can’t move the market, which is why I dare to be bearish.

Daily RSI is 37.1, languishing in the weak zone; MACD has been in a death cross below the zero line for 19 days, and the green bars have flattened out; 24h trading volume is 330127302 USDT, with a volume ratio of just 0.464—money simply hasn’t entered the market.

The lo
ETH+2.09%
1.6 billion XRP withdrawn from exchanges, yet the price is still down 1.3%: I'm bearish
Over 1.6 billion $XRP flowed out of exchanges in a single day. By the script, this should have sent the price up—but in reality, it only moved from 1.2962 to 1.2951 in 24 hours. I'm bearish; this is a textbook contradiction in a defensive market.

The supply squeeze narrative may be getting plenty of hype, but the market isn't buying it: 24-hour trading volume was 59085588 USDT, with a volume ratio of just 0.268—a classic low-volume drift lower. The daily RSI is 34.7, MA7 is below MA30, and the MACD bearis
XRP+2.01%
Tokenized U.S. Treasuries surge 125%, $ONDO volume ratio falls to just 0.383
Money flowing on-chain into U.S. Treasuries surged 125% to $15.42 billion, but $ONDO is slumping on low volume—I'm bullish here, a defensive early entry. By Chainalysis's measure, tokenized U.S. Treasuries are the RWA sector's largest category by dollar growth. Yet $ONDO is currently at 0.4557, down 3.433% in 24h, with its volume ratio down to just 0.383: hot news, cold money.

Technicals aren't signaling a bullish trend: RSI is neutral at 47.3, the MACD death cross has lasted 13 days, and MA7 remains below MA30. Bu
ONDO+4.29%
Rising into CoinGecko’s trending searches, $ZEC is still down 8.3% over 24h; I’m bearish
$ZEC Rising into CoinGecko’s trending searches, the price has still retreated from 1254.49 to 1142.71, down 8.3% over 24h. The hype can’t move the coin price; I’m firmly bearish on this move.

The daily MACD death cross near the zero line has been in place for 17 days; the green bars are flattening, and the rebound has no engine. MA7 is below MA30, with the short-term moving averages in a bearish alignment; RSI at 46.7 is merely neutral, still far from oversold.

24h trading volume is 185392917 USDT, wit
ZEC+6.93%
Up 91.19% in 30 days, 24h -6.1%: I'm bullish on $NEAR
$NEAR just appeared among CoinGecko’s trending searches, and the market immediately pulled back. It’s up 91.19% in 30 days, down 6.1% over 24 hours, and currently at 5.008—is this real strength or a trap for buyers? I’m bullish, and the data explains why.
Overnight, U.S. crypto-related stocks averaged -6.07%. This pullback in $NEAR is simply in sync with the broader market, not a capital flight specific to the token.
The flow data is on my side too: 24h trading volume was 189145826 USDT, with a volume ratio of 0.886, indicating a low-volume
post-image
NEAR-0.98%
Everyone is calling for a crash, but I’m going long at 0.186$BERA
Unbelievable: $BERA plunged more than 20% overnight, while crypto-related U.S. stocks also tumbled, down an average of 6.07%, with MicroStrategy down 9.05%. While everyone was calling for a crash, I was going long at 0.186—that’s my entry zone.
The 24h volume ratio is 2.182, and the price was pushed down from 0.239 to 0.186. The selloff was brutal but decisive: this is panic selling, not a slow bleed.
Bullish thesis: First, panic-driven turnover has run its course, and the high-volume long red candle flushed out weak hands. Sec
BERA+2.72%
Shorts are crowded with an account ratio of 0.74; I’m bullish on $PUMP as volume drops to 0.38
$PUMP Currently at 0.00434, 24h -4.5%, range 0.00426–0.00463. Volume is drying up as price dips; I’m bullish.
The volume ratio is just 0.38, with 24h trading volume of 13907759 USDT—standard low-volume action. But volume across three 15m candles rose from 35,628,099 to 56,595,216, while the average for the previous hour was only 34,895,278—buyers are stepping in during the slow decline.
The funding rate is neutral at 5e-05, and the long/short account ratio is 0.7379, with shorts heavily skewed. Dail
PUMP+4.63%
A new face on trending: $TIA with 3.684x volume; I'm bullish
CoinGecko trending has a new face: $TIA made the list on surging volume, currently at 0.6753, up 12.419% over 24h. Flying against the market-wide headwind, I'm bullish at this level.
24h trading volume was 35315522 USDT, 3.684 times the 30-day average. Daily RSI is strong at 62.9, MACD is on day 5 of its golden cross with the histogram still expanding, and MA7 crossed above MA30 25 days ago. The short-term moving averages are in bullish alignment—the trend has all the right signals. Funding rate is 2e-05, and the long-short ratio is
TIA+2.27%