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Will the Fed lower interest rates this month? The latest data from CME provides the answer.
According to the CME "Fed Watch" tool, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut at the December meeting is 70.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is only 29.4%. The market generally bets on a small rate cut.
Looking at the expectations for January next year is even more interesting: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 54.2%, the probability of no change has dropped to 17.7%, while the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut (which means two consecutive ra
According to the CME "Fed Watch" tool, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut at the December meeting is 70.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is only 29.4%. The market generally bets on a small rate cut.
Looking at the expectations for January next year is even more interesting: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 54.2%, the probability of no change has dropped to 17.7%, while the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut (which means two consecutive ra
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