CryptoWeb3Today

🚨 BREAKING: US AND IRAN NEARING PEACE DEAL - HORMUZ RESTRICTIONS LIFTING
14-point memorandum of understanding in the works.
Nuclear pause + sanctions relief on the table.
No deal = major escalation risk.
Deal = oil drops, markets & $BTC surge.
$BTC
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$ETH
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THE RUSSELL 2000 JUST GAVE THE SAME SIGNAL THAT TRIGGERED EVERY MAJOR CRYPTO BULL RUN IN THE PAST.
The Russell 2000 just broke out after consolidating for 64 months. That's the longest base in over 20 years. And it matters now more than ever.
Q4 2012: Russell breaks out. 2013 crypto bull run follows.
Q4 2016: Russell breaks out. 2017 crypto bull run follows.
Q4 2020: Russell breaks out. 2021 crypto bull run follows.
Q1 2026: Russell breaks out after a 64-month base. 17 months longer than any of the previous three.
The Russell 2000 is a leading indicator of liquidity and risk appetite. When sma

🚨The Buffett Indicator has never been higher:
The US stock market cap-to-GDP ratio hit a record 228%.
This ratio has surged by +60 percentage points over the last YEAR.
This now stands ~80 percentage points above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak.
Since 2020, the US stock market has grown roughly TWICE as fast as the world’s largest economy.
Is this one of the most OVERVALUED US stock markets in history?
$SOL
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$FIL
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$XLM
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• Up approximately 30% from the recent low of $60.
• Now that the market has absorbed the events relatively well, and with the trend towards money printing 💸💵, I expect to see a strong upward movement, God willing.
• Any rise in Bitcoin undoubtedly benefits other cryptocurrencies, but the extent depends on the timing and circumstances.
• Next target: $98,000 🔥.
$BTC
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$SUI
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$TON
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$BTC Liquidity levels to watch in the short term:
Above, the $82.4K area still has some left. But price did take out most of the local liquidity from the past day. With price at 3 month highs, we would need to zoom out to see the other major levels.
Below, the $80.1K & $78.2K levels are good to watch if price were to trade into them.
$BTC
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🚨 THE TACO TRADE JUST PLAYED OUT FOR THE FIFTH TIME.
And we predicted it yesterday.
The 10 year yield was at 4.44% yesterday, 6 basis points away from the level that has forced Trump's hand four times already. We said something big would be announced. It took less than 15 hours.
Two announcements came in today.
First, Trump paused Project Freedom. Oil dropped from $102 to $99 instantly.
Then at 14:30, reports broke that the US and Iran are closing in on a one page memo to end the war. Iran pauses enrichment, accepts UN inspections, and curbs underground nuclear sites.
The US eases sanctions

🚨 Gasoline prices in the US are nearing record highs 👀.
📊 The average price reached $4.53 — the highest in nearly four years.
⛽ Just 50 cents below the all-time high in 2022.
⚠️ Current concerns:
• Inventories at their lowest seasonal levels in 12 years.
• Summer demand is rising rapidly.
💡 The outcome:
Prices could continue to climb… increasing the pressure on Trump to reach a deal and de-escalate quickly.
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BREAKING: OIL JUST CRASHED BELOW $96 AND NASDAQ FUTURES HIT AN ALL TIME HIGH.
The White House is nearing a one page agreement with Iran to halt fighting and begin nuclear talks. Iran has 48 hours to respond.
No deal is final yet.
Core terms: Iran pauses uranium enrichment, accepts UN inspections, and curbs underground sites. The US eases sanctions and releases frozen assets. Both sides loosen restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz.
The market reacted instantly.
Oil crashed below $96 as Strait of Hormuz restrictions are set to ease.
Nasdaq futures up 1.9% to 28,344, a new all time high.
S&P 500

$BTC is collecting the late longs now, and this phase that we are in is the parabolic euphoria.
Lots of Liquidation gathering up. This is a perfect example of a bearish rally that gets crazier as it happens.
I am more on the skeptic side of this pump, not believing it although It has fuel to wick out shorts.
That's what I think for now. SpoNegative funding is the thing that is the only wrong thing before a dump. It is distributing and we have lots of signs for it.
$BTC
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The U.S. and Iran are close to a deal to end the war – Axios.
Axios reports that the two sides are discussing a one-page memorandum that could become the framework for ending the war and launching more detailed negotiations. No final agreement has been reached yet, but the U.S. expects Iran’s response within the next 48 hours.
🟠 The memo could include an Iranian moratorium on uranium enrichment.
🟠 In return, the U.S. could move toward partial sanctions relief and the release of billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets.
🟠The two sides are also discussing lifting restrictions around t

📊 What caused the rise in the cryptocurrency market today?
📈 The market rose by approximately 1.2% to reach $2.76 trillion before settling back to $2.68 trillion, with Bitcoin climbing above $81,000.
In my opinion, the reasons can be summarized as follows: 👇 - Declining oil prices - Signs of de-escalation between Iran and the US - Closing short positions worth $225 million - Improved overall sentiment (fear and greed index)
A geopolitical lull combined with the short position liquidation gave us this boost 😉
$BTC
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$BNB
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$ETH
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🚨US TREASURIES ARE SELLING OFF:
The US 30-year Treasury yield is up to 5.018%, crossing above the critical 5% threshold for the first time since July.
This comes as crude oil surged on fresh Middle East attacks on energy infrastructure, stoking inflation fears, while the US Treasury on Monday raised its Q2 borrowing estimate to $189 billion, up from $109 billion projected in February.
Furthermore, the market is pricing in a 70% chance of a Fed rate hike by April 2027.
A sustained break above 5%, or a breach of the 2023 peak of 5.17%, would push US long-term yields into a trading range not see

$PEPE is the number one memecoin with the biggest retail participation. Over 98% of addresses are small holders, which supports the organic narrative.
We went from zero market cap to $1.6 billion in 19 days
Then dropped to 300m-400m for months before it ran up to $12 billion
That all happened in 2023,1 year before the bitcoin halving when bitcoin was at $30,000
$PEPE
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BITCOIN SUPERCYCLE IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS EXPECTED.
Bear market low: $16K
First peak: $126K
Mid-cycle low: $60K
This isn’t weakness this is a CLASSIC mid-cycle correction.
Every cycle had brutal drawdowns:
-93% / -85% / -84% / -77%
And still new highs followed every time.
Current cycle? -50% reset.
Right in line.
NEXT PHASE: PARABOLIC EXPANSION
$250K+ $BTC INCOMING
DO YOU UNDERSTAND?
$BTC

🚨 US AND IRAN EXCHANGE FIRE IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ !
Iran launches missiles & drones at US ships and vessels.
Trump issues 24h ultimatum!
Oil above $110. Markets on edge.
$XAU
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$BNB
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$XAG
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$BTC Testing the low $80Ks region. This corresponds with the November lows and the Daily 200MA/EMA coming in a bit higher.
This is a similar level and retest as we saw before the second leg down earlier this year, where a previous low corresponds with the Daily 200EMA.
Big level here. Acceptance higher can lead to a further bounce back into the $90Ks, but a rejection will likely keep this rangebound with $80K as the ceiling for a while.
$BTC
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Bitcoin whales bought 270,000 BTC over the past 30 days. Exchange reserves just hit a 7-year low. Last seen in December 2017, right before BTC broke $20K for the first time.
Nobody talks about that. Everyone's focused on the price.
BTC hasn't closed above its 200-day moving average at $82,228 in seven months. Clearing it would be the first real trend reversal signal this year.
Strategy holds 818,334 BTC at an average cost of $75,537 and reports earnings TODAY.
Whether Saylor keeps buying or pauses is one of the most watched signals in the market right now.
The macro situation is real. But so i