The core driving force behind the recent big pump of Bitcoin: the resonance of four favourable information.
Recently, the strong rise of Bitcoin is the result of the "combined effect" formed by the macro environment, capital movement, market linkage, and policy expectations. The core reasons can be summarized in four points:
1. The easing of China-US trade tensions has increased risk appetite.
From October 25 to 26, the China-U.S. consultation in Kuala Lumpur reached a preliminary consensus. The U.S. side clearly stated that it "will no longer consider" imposing a 100% tariff on China and will

Morning thoughts on 10.27
Four-hour level: 105000 below is strong support, 116000 above is major resistance, current bullish momentum is dominant, maintaining a bullish outlook.
Bitcoin
• Entry: 113500-114000 set long position
• Target: 115500-116000
• Stop loss: It is recommended to set below 112500 (to guard against short-term pullback risks)
Concubine
• Entry: 4110-4140 Set up long positions
• Target: 4310-4340
• Stop loss: Recommended to be set below 4050
#比特币行情预测 $BTC $ETH

Analysis on the evening of October 26
Before the Federal Reserve's decision is finalized, market sentiment continues to heat up, and volatility is expanding as expected. Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced an unexpectedly rapid surge, which not only confirms previous judgments but also pushes the market into a typical state of emotional exuberance.
However, behind the rise, the signals of short-term overextension have become very clear: the price is approaching the upper boundary of the consolidation, with volume rapidly increasing as it rises. Although the 4-hour chart still shows bullish momen

Your emotions are the biggest scythe. Clearly, you didn't take the wrong direction, yet you are trapped in a vicious cycle of "losing to replenish, replenishing to explode"?
The problem is never about luck or market conditions, but rather that you are being held hostage by your emotions in trading. You fear a pullback when the price rises by two points, hesitating to add to your position; when it drops by one point, you are reluctant to cut losses and stubbornly hold on until you are deeply trapped; as soon as there is a rebound, you rush to average down, and a little fluctuation sends you

10.25 midday market analysis
The current price of Bitcoin is around 111145, and the 1-hour Bollinger Bands show it is in the middle to upper band range. The short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears is in a stalemate, and it is expected to likely continue a sideways oscillation pattern.
Operation suggestion: You can arrange short positions in the pullback range of 111560-112145, targeting 110642-110042.
The trend of the secondary market shows a clear divergence from Bitcoin.
Operation suggestion: It is recommended to enter a short position in the range of 3943-3963, with a target below loo

Morning Thoughts on 10.25
BTC Intraday Trading Reference
• Short position strategy: Set up in the range of 111500-112500, targeting 109500-110500; if it falls below 109500, the target may be slightly extended, but risk must be strictly controlled.
• Long position strategy: Layout in the range of 108500-109500, with a target looking towards 110800-111500; after reaching the upper boundary of the range, it is recommended to take partial profits to avoid greed.
ETH Intraday Trading Reference
• Short position strategy: Lay out in the range of 3980-4000, targeting 3900-3850; need to closely observe

Adjustment of BTC operations and holdings advice after CPI data
Core viewpoint: The CPI data's short-term rally does not change the main line of short positions. Those who are trapped in short positions should continue to hold. New short positions should focus on key high levels, with clear long-term and short-term targets.
1. Market Response and Holdings Strategy
• Handling of trapped short positions: Continue to hold the short position entered at the price level of 109000, adhering to the original bearish strategy.
• New short position entry plan:
◦ Top-up opportunity: If the market reac

From frequent trading to only operating 3 times a month, my returns have multiplied by 5.
I used to watch the market every day, trading dozens of times, repeatedly stopping losses during fluctuations; now I only make 3 key trades each month, but by precisely controlling opportunities, I have achieved a qualitative leap in profits.
1. Three Key Operation Rules
1. Opportunity screening: only capture "high certainty" market conditions
• Only take action when the trend is clear, and refuse ambiguous opportunities during fluctuations.
• Strictly select targets with a profit-loss ratio of over 3:1 t

1. BTC Afternoon Analysis and Trading Suggestions
Core judgment: No volume fluctuation around 111000, significant pressure at the 112000 level on the 4-hour chart, insufficient upward momentum, and the risk of a pullback is prominent.
• Enter: open short at 1115000-1120000
• Target: 109000, if it falls below, watch for 107400
• Defense: 112800
2. ETH Midday Analysis and Operational Suggestions
Core judgment: 3950 becomes short-term support, if the volume expands, there is hope for an upward attack, with 4000-4050 as the key breakthrough range.
• Entry: Buy on the pullback at 3960-3980
• Target

The truth about the market bottom: Only by enduring the emotional winter can one see the rebound dawn.
The true market bottom is not the "lowest price" shown on the candlestick chart, but rather the emotional freeze point when all participants are exhausted and completely give up on bottom fishing. When fear spreads like a tide, and everyone’s confidence collapses completely, it is precisely the key moment for emotional clearing and the redistribution of chips—only those who can remain calm and observe amidst the chaos can wait for the final opportunity to turn the tables.
Looking back at the

10.24 Morning BTCÐ Analysis: buy low go long as the main strategy
In the waves of contracts, practice is more important than prediction. Having a light position is not cowardice, but a way to go further; setting stop losses is not failure, but a reconciliation with oneself. The market is not lacking in opportunities, but in the wisdom to wait and the discipline to protect the principal.
1. Market Review
• BTC: After reaching a high of $111,281 yesterday, it faced resistance and fell back, hitting a low of $109,331, with an intraday fluctuation of nearly 2,000 points, forming a "long upper shad