# FedRatePredictionMarkets

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Fed Funds Rate Prediction Markets: The Rate-Cut Era Is Over What Traders Are Pricing for June and Beyond
By Gate Plaza | May 29, 2026
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy landscape has undergone a seismic shift. When Kevin Warsh was sworn in as the 17th Fed Chair on May 22, Wall Street initially bet on at least two quarter-point rate cuts in 2026. One week later, those expectations have been completely inverted. Bond traders are now fully pricing in a rate hike by year-end, and prediction markets reflect a hawkish pivot that is reshaping every asset class from equities to cry
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Fed Decision in June?
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1.02x
98%
25 bps decrease
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0.9%
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