Markets brace for today's Fed decision, pricing a 68% chance rates stay at 3.50%-3.75% and 32% odds of a 25bps hike amid sticky inflation. Gold nears $4,040, capped by the strong dollar. Traders eye Chairman Warsh's tone for signals that could move stocks and crypto. DYOR.
#Fed #Gold #Crypto

XAU-0.19%

Reward
like
Comment
Repost
Share

User_any

21h ago

https://gate.onelink.me/Hls0/prediction?page=detail&event_ticker=287395&source=cex
FED July Decision Preliminary Situation: Expectations Remain Unchanged, But the Real Signal is from Warsh ✨
The countdown continues for the FED's July 28-29 meeting. The general market expectation is that the policy rate will remain stable between 3.50% and 3.75%. However, this meeting will be shaped more by the signals given by FED Chairman Kevin Warsh than by the interest rate decision itself.
Timing of the Decision
🔹 The FOMC meeting will be held on July 28-29.
🔹 The interest rate decision will be announce

BTC1.63%

Fed Decision in July?

No change

1.30x

77%

25 bps increase

4.22x

24%

$19.78M Vol+3 more

20 Likes

Reward
20
16
Repost
Share

ThisIsTranslateContent::

Hurry up and get on board! 🚗

Ocean00

07-22 23:38

$112K Polymarket Bet Placed on the Fed's July Decision
The macroeconomic stakes are high, and heavy capital is flowing into prediction markets ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

The Trade Details
The Position: A single, massive buy of $112,787.32 on Polymarket.
The Bet: The whale is heavily backing a "No Change" outcome for the July FOMC meeting.
Implied Probability: According to monitoring by ChainCatcher, this massive order aligns with a 75.23% implied probability that the Fed will keep rates exactly where they are, according to the contract's latest trading

POLYMARKET-18.91%

BTC1.63%

Reward
like
5
Repost
Share

NodeGuardian:

Interesting—the Federal Reserve is now in a dilemma: inflation hasn’t come down yet, and these large bets on Polymarket currently have a very high chance of winning, but what if a black-swan event happens?

mcto

07-16 01:48

💥💥**How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?**
With 69.5% probability on zero cuts in 2026 — up sharply from 57% just weeks ago — the market has aggressively repriced as April CPI hit 3.8% YoY, BofA and Goldman pushed cut expectations into 2027, and traders now price a 33%+ chance of a rate *hike* by year-end, making the "0 cuts" contract look well-supported but leaving the "1 cut" contract at 16.5% as a contrarian value play if oil prices ease and inflation softens.
$BTC
‍#FED #BTC

BTC1.63%

2 Likes

Reward
2
1
Repost
Share

GateUser-0834a1ba:

LFG 🔥

CryptoSelf

07-14 16:28

#USCoreCPIMissesExpectations
Core CPI 2.7% YoY vs 2.8% Expected, Headline Turns Negative
Core CPI: +2.7% YoY in June, below 2.8% consensus, down from 2.9% in May
Headline CPI: -0.1% MoM, first negative print since May 2020. Annual: 3.8% vs 4.2% prior
Fed Impact: July hike odds eased from ∼50%, Treasury yields dipped
The Breakdown
Energy prices drove the headline drop, with gasoline down sharply. But core services stayed sticky — housing and auto insurance costs remain elevated, keeping core inflation well above the Fed’s 2% target.
Market Reaction
Traders quickly repriced Fed odds lower for J

BTC1.63%

Core CPI YoY - June 2026

2.6%

Yes

≥3.3%

+8 more

53 Likes

Reward
53
24
Repost
Share

CryptoShadow:

LFG 🔥

MavisEvan

07-13 13:49

Fed Chair Warsh Testifies
Markets don't just react to interest rates—they react to expectations. Every word from Fed Chair Warsh's testimony could shift sentiment across stocks, bonds, and crypto. If the tone leans hawkish, volatility may rise. If it's more dovish, risk assets could catch a bid.
This week isn't just about policy. It's about positioning. 📊
#Fed #FOMC #Crypto #Bitcoin $BTC $GT $LAB

BTC1.63%

GT-0.45%

LAB-3.59%

Reward
like
Comment
Repost
Share

MercuriusOne

07-02 14:26

[MACRO][CRYPTO]
Fed Chair Says Inflation Risks Have Eased, but Policy Remains Data-Driven
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation risks have improved since the last policy meeting while reaffirming the Fed's commitment to its 2% inflation target. He emphasized that future policy decisions will remain dependent on incoming economic data rather than predefined guidance.
Markets responded positively to the comments, with risk assets—including cryptocurrencies—showing signs of stabilization as investors reassessed expectations for monetary policy.
Crypto Impact:
A more favorable inflation

1 Likes

Reward
1
1
Repost
Share

MintConditionHuman:

The easing of inflation risk is indeed good news, but the Fed hasn't signaled a rate cut, so the market still has to watch the data. In the short term, it's likely to be volatile, so don't rush into FOMO.

Venüs_

06-23 20:04

Rising Rate Expectations Could Reshape Global Markets Through 2026
The outlook for monetary policy has once again become a major focus for investors after Bank of America projected that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates by a cumulative 75 basis points by 2026. The forecast reflects growing concerns that inflationary pressures and resilient economic activity may require tighter financial conditions over a longer period.
Interest rates remain one of the most influential factors affecting global asset prices. Higher borrowing costs typically increase pressure on risk assets while str

BAC-1.64%

22 Likes

Reward
22
25
Repost
Share

GateUser-fab8a777:

2026 GOGOGO 👊

DragonFlyOfficial

06-20 04:37

#WarshDebutsAsFedHoldsRatesSteady
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but the real story wasn't the decision itself.
It was Kevin Warsh's first appearance as Fed Chair.
Markets were expecting clarity on the future path of monetary policy. Instead, they received a message that was cautious, measured, and highly dependent on incoming economic data.
For investors, this means uncertainty remains.
If inflation continues to cool, pressure for future rate cuts could increase. If inflation proves sticky, the Fed may keep rates higher for longer. Either scenario has major implications f

11 Likes

Reward
11
6
Repost
Share

QueenOfTheDay:

To The Moon 🌕

Callistemon

06-18 00:05

🔔 FOMC wrapped, and the first reaction is in:
1️⃣ Warsh signaled uncertainty (no projection of his own, "pencils with big erasers") → in theory bullish for $GOLD as a hedge
2️⃣ Dot plot signaled hawkish (9/18 see rates above range by year-end) → bearish for $GOLD via stronger USD/real rates
Initial reaction: gold trimmed gains and went flat as markets read it hawkish 📉
Does uncertainty still win out from here, or does the hawkish path take over? 👀
#FOMC #Fed #Gold #Warsh $XAU

XAU-0.19%

PNCLPENCIL

MC:$0.1Holders:1

0.00%

2 Likes

Reward
2
Comment
Repost
Share

Join 40 M users in our growing community

⚡️ Join 40 M users in the crypto craze discussion

💬 Engage with your favorite top creators

👍 See what interests you

Trending Topics
1
#USD1StakingEarnUpTo8%APR
710.4K Popularity
2
#GateCardUpTo8%Cashback
29.38K Popularity
3
#SKHynixEarningsMissTriggerPostMarketDrop
411.54K Popularity
4
#NFTSectorSurgesOver8%
14.34M Popularity
5
#SECChairOptimisticOnCLARITYAct
2.27M Popularity
6
#StrategyInitiatesSTRCBuyback
259.41K Popularity
7
#GUSDYieldRisesto3.8%
213.13K Popularity
8
#MinnesotaPredictionMarketBanBlocked
2.3M Popularity
9
#VIPExclusive4%APY
42.92K Popularity
10
#Top4USBanksPlanSharedTokenizedDepositNetwork
664.79K Popularity

Pinned

Sitemap

# FedHoldsRatesSteady

Join 40 M users in our growing community

Trending Topics

Pinned