Why is trading still difficult to profit from even when your macro data analysis is correct?
Earlier, whenever major data such as nonfarm payrolls, CPI, or interest rate decisions were released, I would habitually bet on the market direction in advance. If the data was bullish, I would enter a long position; if it was bearish, I would short immediately. After suffering quite a few losses, I finally realized that the market does not trade the data itself, but rather the gap between the actual figures and the market consensus.
Take employment data, for example. Data coming in below expectations

If news reports could cite real-time data from prediction markets, such as “the market shows a 72% probability that the Fed will raise interest rates in September,” it would greatly enhance the authority and reach of prediction markets.

#AppleSeptemberEvent
Apple just delivered one of its biggest product changes in years, but the market reaction is telling a different story from the headline.
AAPL closed the latest session at $315.34, down 0.28% on the day. The stock traded between $309.90 and $319.15, with about 65.64M shares changing hands. Market cap is around $4.6T. Over the latest seven-day trading period, AAPL has fallen roughly 3% from the September 2 close of $324.96, so the stock is entering the foldable-iPhone catalyst from a position of short-term weakness rather than a fresh breakout.
That is what makes the curre

viral thursday is upon us
and somehow a whole week’s worth of chaos already happened before we even got here
-robinhood craziness
-robinhood cooldown
-world airdrop
-chog reveal
-hunter biden’s laptop…
all before thursday btw
so are we finally getting a cooldown today or should we brace for more impact?
either way, have a beautiful thursday guys

$4 dumped 23.84% in a single day, dropping straight from 0.0244 to 0.0168, with the entire $20M trading volume made up of blood-soaked bags. Don’t rush to buy the dip—watch the macro backdrop first: if tonight’s Fed minutes are even slightly hawkish, a 1% Nasdaq drop has historically corresponded to an average 4–6% pullback in altcoins, while a high-beta asset like $4 could amplify that to over 8%. $0.0174 is now hovering near today’s low; if BTC loses key support, $4 will likely test 0.015 next. Trading plan: don’t go all-in; wait for signs that BTC has stabilized, scale in at 0.016–0.0165, k

$BULLA 15 minutes, 4,000 yuan—please record it, thank you.

$XAUT Gold
4427→4415
Under pressure but stabilizing, enter short positions, take profit and exit; still not greedy or stubbornly holding on, moving forward steadily! ​​​

If I remember correctly, the US government roughly splashed out $800 billion during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Then both US stocks and BTC rose a lot.
This time, Trump said that if the Republican Party wins the congressional elections, every adult American would receive $5,000—that would amount to roughly $1.3 trillion in hot money.
If that much money is really handed out, it feels like crypto and stocks would definitely soar together.
(As for US debt, let’s trust in the wisdom of future generations. 😂)

9.10 Market Analysis - Houshanren
Today is the first shot of macro data week. With PPI yet to be released, the market first pushed prices back toward 78,000 to wait and see. Bitcoin failed to hold 79,000–80,000, while Ethereum fell back to around 2,470. The trend structure from the August rebound remains intact, but the short-term focus has shifted from “buying the rebound” to “waiting for the data.”
Yesterday, Bitcoin briefly surged to around 79,700 before pulling back; overnight, it reached a low of around 77,770, and is currently moving narrowly around 78,300. This is a typical pre-data vol

‍#AppleSeptemberEvent ‍
‍#苹果
🍎 Apple’s Next Growth Test: iPhone 18 Pro & iPhone Duo
For me, Apple finally brings back a feeling of discovery and uniqueness after the “Surprise and Shine” event. It is not simply about launching another iPhone — the first foldable iPhone gives Apple a new direction and a different story to tell. After years of watching the foldable category develop elsewhere, Apple finally has its own answer.
Another moment I find interesting is John Ternus stepping onto the stage as Apple’s newest CEO and speaking publicly in this role for the first time. His presence give

Crypto Watch Today | BTC Pulls Back to 78K, Retesting Support
As of this morning's daily report, BTC has returned to around $78k, while ETH, BNB, and SOL have also declined. The latest complete ETF data is weak, stablecoin supply continues to grow, and the divergence between capital flows and prices has not disappeared.
Key levels to watch next: whether around 77.7K can attract support, and whether 78.5K can be reclaimed and held. Once the recovery is confirmed, attention will turn to resistance at 79.2K–79.7K; if support continues to fail, a deeper pullback will need to be monitored.
Tonight'

9.10 Market Analysis - Houshanren
Today is the opening shot of macro data week. With PPI not yet released, the market has pushed prices back toward 78,000 to wait and see. Bitcoin failed to hold 79,000–80,000, while Ethereum pulled back to around 2,470. The trend structure of the August rebound remains intact, but the short-term focus has shifted from “buying the dip” to “waiting for the data.”
Yesterday, Bitcoin briefly surged to around 79,700 before pulling back. The overnight low was around 77,770, and it is currently fluctuating narrowly around 78,300. This is a typical pre-data volatility

$HNT is showing increasingly convincing trend-reversal energy, holding firmly above its base while buyer confidence builds. The structure is turning decisively more bullish, opening the door for another strong continuation move. $KAVA could react alongside as similar momentum spreads. Sentiment is shifting quickly, and bulls are beginning to look firmly in control.

Let the IPhone know it’s Value from 2011 to 2026!
What we are buying today!

#AppleSeptemberEvent
Apple’s fall event is done. New CEO John Ternus stepped onto the stage for the first time and introduced the foldable iPhone Duo — a 7.6-inch inner display starting at 1,999 dollars — alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series. Shares moved higher after the keynote. The open question is whether the foldable form factor can become the next real growth driver or whether the market has already priced most of the optimism.
On the 4-hour chart AAPL is trading near 315.44 after the post-event bounce. The 50-period EMA sits at 315.99 and the 200-period EMA is lower at 303.01. Bollinger

$ZHIPU This AI narrative is clearly struggling to hold up. When it was pushed to 116.70, trading volume was obviously unable to keep up, and it was being propped up purely by lingering sentiment.
I went 50x short directly. It is now at 106.62, with an unrealized gain of 415.96%. AI-themed coins go crazy on the way up and fall even harder when the tide turns. Without underlying cash flow, it is just a game of musical chairs.
With 50x leverage, the margin for error is extremely slim. I set protection as soon as I entered and only dared to hold once the profit cushion had grown. Don’t feel enviou

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