1. Bitcoin (BTC) Key Strategies

Support and resistance levels

Support range: $86,000-$87,000 (resonance of the 4-hour Bollinger Band middle track, MA30 moving average, and psychological support level). If it falls below $86,000, it may test the $85,500-$84,700 range.

Pressure range: 88500-89500 USD (previous high, upper Bollinger Band, and chip concentration area). After breaking through 89500, it may test 91000 USD.

Short-term trading advice

Long Position Strategy: Accumulate positions in batches when the price pulls back to the 86500-87000 range, set the stop loss below 86000, and target 88500-89500. If it stabilizes above 87500, you can increase your position.

Short Position Strategy: If the rebound is blocked at 89000-89500 with insufficient volume, lightly short, with a stop loss above 90000, and a target looking for a 2000-3000 point pullback.

Technical Indicator Signal

4-hour level: The MACD fast and slow lines have crossed bullishly at a low level, but volume needs to match; the KDJ still has overbought risks, and the RSI is at 58.52 (neutral to bullish).

Market sentiment: Leverage positions are decreasing, ETF funds continue to see net inflows (BlackRock, Goldman Sachs increase holdings), short-term bulls are dominant but caution is needed regarding selling pressure at high levels.
 

2. Ethereum (ETH) Key Strategies

Support and resistance levels

Support range: $2020-2050 (MA30 moving average, V-shaped oscillation low point, and on-chain whale holding cost). A drop below 2050 may test the 2010-1980 range.

Pressure range: $2120-$2150 (weekly MA256 moving average and previous high resistance). After breaking 2150, it may test $2200.

Short-term trading advice

Long strategy: Enter the market when it retraces to the 2040-2050 range, with a stop loss below 2020, and target 2100-2150. If it stabilizes at support, you can increase your position.

Short strategy: After a rebound to 2120-2150 meets resistance, take a light short position, with a stop loss above 2180, targeting the 2000-2050 range.

Technical Indicators and On-chain Dynamics

4-hour level: MACD bullish crossover but insufficient volume, Bollinger Bands are narrowing, beware of false breakouts.

On-chain data: whales hold $272 million in long positions, but ETF funds are experiencing net outflows, leading to intense long-short competition.
 

Three, Market Risks and Macro Tips

Technical divergence risk: Bitcoin's 4-hour MACD shows an air leak pattern, and the 12-hour level indicates limited upward space; Ethereum's hourly KDJ is overbought, and the demand for a pullback is increasing.

Capital differentiation: Bitcoin ETF continues to attract funds, while Ethereum is experiencing capital outflow. In the short term, ETH may be weaker than BTC.

Policy disruption: The expected upgrade of US tariffs may impact risk assets, and attention should be paid to the transmission of the US stock market opening to the crypto market.
 

4. Summary and Priority Strategy

Bitcoin: The core entry point for long positions is around 87000, with a stop loss below 86000 and a target of 88500-89500; if it breaks 89000, you can follow the trend to pursue long positions.

Ethereum: 2050 support is relatively strong, with long positions targeting 2100-2150; a rebound above 2120 requires caution against a bearish counterattack.

Operation priority: prioritize retracting long positions, strictly stop-loss for high-position short positions. Pay attention to market volume changes and ETF fund flows after 9:00.
 

Reference explanation: The strategy is synthesized from multiple analysts' viewpoints, and specific operations need to be adjusted based on real-time market conditions. #近期市场行情分析# #BTC# #ETH#