Current Situation and Strategy of Bitcoin (BTC)

Technical Support and Resistance

Key support level: around $85,000 (daily level watershed), if a pullback occurs to the $84,500-$85,000 range, it may provide a bullish entry opportunity.

Resistance above: 86200-87000 USD is a short-term sell pressure zone, and a breakthrough requires an increase in trading volume. If it stabilizes above 86500 USD, it may further challenge the 87500-89000 USD target.

4-hour trend: MACD golden cross above the zero line, Bollinger Bands widening, price running along the EMA7 moving average, short-term upward momentum still exists.

Operation Suggestions

Long strategy: If the price stabilizes in the range of 85000-85500 USD during a pullback, you can take a small long position, with a stop loss set below 84000 USD and a target of 86500-87500 USD.

空单策略:若未能突破87000美元压力位且出现放量回调,可于87300-86300美元区间轻仓试空,止损88300美元上方。

Risk Warning: Be cautious of the impact of expectations regarding a shift in Federal Reserve policy and changes in market liquidity on short-term volatility.


Current Situation and Strategy of Ethereum (ETH)

Key technical levels

Support range: $1960-1940 is a strong support level on the four-hour chart. If it breaks below, it may test the $1930 support line.

Resistance zone: $2021-2050 is a pressure zone with volume-price divergence; a breakout requires on-chain data recovery or a boost in market confidence.

Volume-Price Relationship: The current trading volume remains sluggish, the hourly RSI is close to overbought but has not triggered extreme signals, and the rebound momentum is insufficient.

Operation Suggestions

Long strategy: If the price stabilizes in the range of 1980-2000 USD, you can try to take a small long position, with a stop loss set below 1940 USD, and a target of 2100-2200 USD.

Short position strategy: If it fails to stabilize above 2020 USD and breaks below the 2040 USD support, it could drop to the 1970-1930 USD range.

Risk Warning: The shrinking on-chain demand and the sluggish market sentiment remain the core contradictions, and it is necessary to closely monitor on-chain indicators such as burn volume and active addresses.


Comprehensive Market Observation

Advantages of Bitcoin: Large holders increasing their positions (an increase of 3.4 billion USD in a single day on March 24) and the halving cycle effect support a long-term bullish logic, but short-term attention should be paid to the risk of a technical pullback.

Ethereum weakness: Market activity has declined, and the technical divergence between volume and price is significant. In the short term, confidence relies on macro policies or ecosystem upgrades to boost.

Macro risks: The pace of adjustments in Federal Reserve policies, geopolitical conflicts, and regulatory dynamics may trigger high volatility.


Real-time operation reminder: If the price is currently in the mid-range of a consolidation zone, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach and enter the market only after a clear breakout signal. If you already hold a position, it is essential to set strict stop-loss limits and pay attention to the capital flow during the afternoon European and American trading sessions.