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2026.7.20 10:00 AM BTC/ETH/XAU/US Stocks simple analysis
This week’s focus: the progress on the US crypto bill—will the conflict between the US and Iran be pushed to a pause button? Crypto assets currently show more resilience; over the past half month, their performance has been better than gold and US stocks;
BTC
The 4h support trendline at the bottom you were taught to draw in Friday noon’s video—today the extended price is around 64080. Pay close attention to this level intraday; if it pulls back, the next long/short battle will focus on how strong it is;
If it breaks down, we’ll look to see whether it’s a fake breakdown or a continued sell-off with volume—at this moment we can follow Friday’s strategy and look for opportunities in the BTC range of 62600-63000. Right now it basically corresponds to the lowest-point area of the past 3 days. As for Friday evening, the real-time longs are currently firmly holding 1500+;
Support 61600/59800
Resistance (tentative) 67135-70000
This week the market has calmed down slightly. But once the market flinches, it’s basically guaranteed to test the resistance zone for selling pressure!
ETH
Support 1705
Resistance 2225
Key levels are 1775 and the 2000 mark. Over the past half month, the rebound “second leg” has been the strongest. If the trend can continue this week, a second-leg touch of 2000 should arrive before the “big leg” touch of 70000;
XAU/XAG: last week’s XAG long position—there’s a chance to break even and exit over the weekend. Right now there’s also a chance to run with a small profit. The only benefit of having good position control is that it keeps your mindset steady and stable. Today’s price action: in the short term, look for a pullback on the 24/48h scale, and it’s still under suppression;
US stocks: SNDK has already fallen back to the area of Friday evening’s low point. From a peak market cap of 400 billion to the current 200 billion, the AI bubble is being squeezed relentlessly. Keep avoiding this—don’t rush to bottom-fish;
Trading advice does not constitute any investment basis: fear of renewed rate hikes is back across global markets, and inflation remains high, affecting capital allocation. Over the past half month, traditional finance has been falling too—so the closer it gets to this point, the easier it is for wealth to be redistributed. That’s why every step of your decision matters!
#夏日创作营