7.18 Saturday early morning


Big pie yesterday surged to the 65588 area, then slipped back in a stair-step pullback all the way down. The daily chart continued with consecutive long red/black days, dropping further; the “rabbit head” structure has basically been confirmed as the short-term main tone. Price bottomed out at 62655. The earlier “rabbit jump” first target was successfully hit. At present, the market is trading narrowly around 62700 early on, and performance is weak.

On the chart, the short-term moving average system keeps diverging downward, repeatedly suppressing the rebound. Several attempts to bounce back within the range lacked momentum to back it up. “Whale head” buying on the order book is clearly insufficient, and rebound intent is weak. As overhead sell pressure gradually shifts lower, the 63000-63200 range has changed from a prior support area into a short-term key resistance band, making a breakout above it difficult.

On the 4-hour timeframe, the MACD fast and slow lines are still dead-crossing and diverging downward, and there’s no obvious sign that bearish momentum has exhausted. The current low-range consolidation is more inclined to be a downside continuation rather than a stabilization signal. Although technical indicators have entered the oversold zone, in a weak market they can stay “dull” for a long time too. Chasing a bottom is high-risk, so patience is needed.

Suggested strategy:
Big pie: place short entries on a rebound to the 64600-65100 area,
Lower targets: 63200-62700;
Ether (ETH): place short entries on a rebound to the 1870-1910 area,
Lower targets: 1810-1770.
#PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购
ETH1.01%
BTC1.38%
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PhishEnd
· 11h ago
Bro, is your 64600-65100 short target too conservative? It feels like it could drop below 62,000.
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AntiFakeClaim
· 11h ago
An Ethereum 1,870 short has been placed, following the first hand.
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ChainUTXO
· 11h ago
The analysis is very well done. 63,000 has become resistance, so rebounds are an opportunity to go short, but bottom-fishing carries high risk—better wait for a stabilization signal.
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RangeBounder
· 13h ago
This round of bears is solid—stop fantasizing about a rebound.
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BlockHarbinger
· 13h ago
The current market is a bit scary for going short, but the rebound really lacks strength. The resistance range you mentioned is spot on. I’m planning to place a short order around 64,700, with the target first at 63,200. I’ll set the stop-loss a little tighter and just go with the flow.
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