Tracking real-time crypto market hotspots and seizing the best execution opportunities—today is Saturday, July 18, 2026. I’m Wang Yibo! Good morning, fellow coin friends! ☀ Power-followers check in 👍 Like to send good fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Over the past week, the macro backdrop has continued the seesaw pattern of “cooling inflation vs hawkish pressure.” In the first half of the week, the U.S. June CPI rose 3.5% year over year, below the expected 3.8%, and combined with a PPI cooling more than expected, it briefly lit up market expectations for monetary easing. Stocks rallied, and crypto surged in sync—Bitcoin hit as high as $65,590, and Ethereum broke above $1,946, both nearing key resistance levels from the recent period. But the good times didn’t last: Fed Chair Powell maintained a hawkish tone at a congressional hearing, and a former New York Fed chief economist went even further, saying the Fed may be forced to raise rates. Market sentiment flipped quickly. On Friday, all three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, the Nasdaq fell 2.9% for the week, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index slid into a bear market. Crypto also pulled back in tandem: after facing pressure around $65,600, Bitcoin retreated to around $62,500 and then made a small rebound; Ethereum met resistance around $1,950 and dropped to around $1,800, rebounding slightly; gold broke below the $4,000 level and is down 7.5% year-to-date. Overall, the market is still repeatedly tugging between “inflation cooling” and “policy not buying it,” and it’s hard to form a one-way trend in the short term. With weekend liquidity on the weak side, the suggested approach is to stay light and observe. For Bitcoin, watch support at $63,700–$64,200; for Ethereum, monitor the $1,850–$1,880 area for buy-side absorption strength. Wait patiently for next week’s new macro signals to guide the move. Yibo will continue tracking macro data, institutional fund flows, and on-chain changes, updating strategy in real time.

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Bitcoin began a choppy pullback from the previous day’s high of $64,870. After dipping to around $62,600 near the midday session, it rebounded slightly to around $63,300. In the evening, influenced by equities, it fell again to around $62,500. During the early hours, the bulls pushed it up to around $64,300. It is currently consolidating around $64,000. The overall price action shows a tug-of-war pattern of “dip then rebound, but meeting resistance on the way up.” Both buyers and sellers repeatedly battle in key zones. From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour chart, price rapidly rebounded after touching around $62,600, indicating strong buy-side support and absorption in that area. After rebounding to around $64,300 in the early hours, it failed to break further above the previous day’s high of $64,870—sell pressure overhead remains significant. The Bollinger middle band is near $63,800; price is already above the middle band, making the short term slightly bullish, but the upper band at $64,800–$65,000 is a key ceiling. The MACD fast and slow lines are stuck near the zero axis; the green histogram has turned red, but momentum is weak. For now, long and short forces are roughly balanced. RSI is hovering around 55, staying in the neutral range. Near the weekend, liquidity will gradually thin, limiting the market’s volatility range. Overhead resistance to watch is the $64,800–$65,000 area; only an effective breakout with increased volume can open up further upside space. Downside support to watch is $62,500–$62,600; if that level is lost again, there could be another pullback toward the $62,000 psychological level. For positioning, you can consider selling high and buying low within the $63,500–$64,500 range, and pay attention to whether the early-hours rebound high can break through. With weekend liquidity weak, it’s recommended to participate with light exposure and wait for next week’s macro signals to become clearer.

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Ethereum started a choppy pullback after being rejected around the previous day’s high of $1,880. During the day, price stayed in a downward channel. After the lowest dip to around $1,820 in the midday session, it bounced slightly to $1,842, but the move didn’t hold. In the evening, influenced by equities again, it weakened and the low touched around $1,802. Then it defended support and rebounded slightly, and in the early hours the bulls pushed it up to around $1,855. It is currently consolidating near the high zone. From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour chart, price received clear buy-side support in the $1,800–$1,820 area, forming a short-term support platform. The early-hours rebound high at $1,855 has already reclaimed the Bollinger middle band. Short term it’s slightly bullish, but resistance in the $1,880–$1,900 area remains clearly defined overhead. MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero axis and have crossed upward (a golden cross). Green histogram momentum has improved somewhat. RSI has risen to around 50, and long/short forces are moving toward balance. Near the weekend, liquidity is weak and the market’s volatility range is limited. Overhead resistance is the $1,880–$1,900 area; only an effective breakout with increased volume can open up further upside space. Downside support to watch is the $1,800–$1,820 area; if that is lost again, it may further pull back toward $1,760–$1,780. For execution, consider selling high and buying low within the $1,820–$1,860 range, and wait patiently for next week’s macro signals to become clearer.