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The moment Logan the hawk opens her mouth, crypto is about to get hit again
A U.S. Federal Reserve official, Logan, recently came out with a tough message: interest rates still need to go higher, or else stay at elevated levels for a bit longer.
Although the June CPI data looks slightly calmer, she believes inflation hasn’t returned to the 2% target yet—the path remains fragile.
This completely shatters the market’s fantasy of rate cuts “right away.”
Global interest rate expectations are being pushed up, and all risk assets will need to demand higher risk premiums.
BTC and ETH are the first in line—higher discount rates, lower value given to future narratives, and valuations get pushed down directly.
On-chain funds are also turning sentiment—USDT and USDC have become the most comfortable safe havens. High-leverage strategies are being squeezed, and people are more willing to lie in the U.S. dollar and earn interest than chase price spikes and volatility in crypto.
There aren’t many days left until the policy meeting, and traders are watching inflation data and employment data.
If hawkishness continues to dominate, BTC and ETH will likely face continued pressure in the short term.
In short, the high-interest U.S. dollar era is back—if you’re playing crypto, be cautious, and watch the wind direction before making a move.