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Probability of major drop in predictions for US-Iran diplomatic talks

2026-07-16 21:47:48

ME News, April 26 (UTC+8), market forecasts show that in the event “Will a US-Iran diplomatic meeting take place…?”, the probability of the “Yes” option regarding “US-Iran diplomatic talks before April 28, 2026?” fell from 68.5% to 6.5%, dropping by 62.0 percentage points in a single day.

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