Forecast: Market Q2 Trading Volume Hits a Record $113.8 billion

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Deep Tide TechFlow message: On July 17, according to Cointelegraph, CoinGecko’s latest report shows that the forecast market’s nominal trading volume in Q2 2026 is projected to reach $113.8 billion, setting a new all-time high. At the same time, spot trading volume across the top ten centralized exchanges fell 27.9% to $1.95 trillion, perpetual contracts trading volume dropped 10% to $127 trillion, and the stablecoin market cap inched down 1.6% to $305.1 billion.

Sports and political events have become the main drivers of prediction markets. Polymarket’s World Cup champion market has attracted more than $3.3 billion in trading volume. Kalshi leads with a 58.9% market share, but regulators in the U.S. and elsewhere are disputing whether prediction markets should be classified as financial markets or gambling platforms, and related lawsuits continue to escalate throughout 2026.

KALSHI-1.31%
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