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Probability of a major decline in U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks

2026-07-16 11:09:33

ME News message: On April 26 (UTC+8), market prediction data shows that in the event “U.S. and Iran diplomatic talks before…?”, the probability of the “Yes” option for “U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks before April 28, 2026” fell from 68.5% to 6.5%, a single-day drop of 62.0 percentage points.

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