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#USEndsLatestStrikesOnIran The claim that the US has ended its latest strikes doesn't quite match what the actual reporting shows as of today. Here's the more accurate picture.
The conflict has been on a continuous escalation track rather than winding down. President Trump declared the ceasefire "over" on July 8 at the NATO summit in Ankara, and rounds of strikes have continued in waves since then rather than stopping. The most recent major escalation came Monday, July 13, when Trump announced the US would reimpose its naval blockade on Iranian ports and, in a notably unusual move, said the US should be paid to secure the strait, floating a 20 percent toll on cargo passing through, something he called making the US the "Guardian of the Strait." Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi pushed back publicly, insisting Iran has always been the guardian of the strait, before appearing to haggle over the toll figure itself, calling 20 percent too much. The US struck Iran again that same Monday, hours after the blockade announcement, and Al Jazeera's mapping coverage from just 17 hours ago shows the US has launched hundreds of air attacks across Iran over the past week alone, with at least 35 people killed and 300 wounded according to Iranian health officials.
So rather than strikes ending, what's actually happening is a now-familiar cycle, Iran attacks commercial shipping in the strait, the US retaliates with strikes, Iran hits back at US allies or interests in the Gulf, and the pattern repeats roughly every few days. Traffic through Hormuz has cratered as a result, dropping to around 13 to 25 ships crossing daily versus roughly 110 a day before the war began in February.
The core dispute remains exactly what it's been for weeks, control over the strait itself. The original June memorandum only committed Iran to using its "best efforts" for safe passage for 60 days without specifying what happens afterward, and Iran has read that ambiguity as license to eventually charge fees and maintain authority over the waterway, while the US insists the deal was meant to produce a fully open, toll-free strait. Diplomatic channels haven't fully closed either, Pakistan and Qatar have both been working behind the scenes to bring both sides back to the table, and Trump himself said the day after his "ceasefire is over" comment that he didn't want a return to full-scale war and suggested talks could continue.
For anyone tracking oil or Middle East linked risk assets on Gate, the practical takeaway is that individual rounds of strikes do pause between exchanges, which may be what's generating headlines like this one, but the underlying conflict and the naval blockade Trump reinstated this week remain very much active. The toll dispute and the broader question of who controls Hormuz after the 60-day window lapses are the things to watch, since neither has been resolved, and that's been the actual driver of every escalation cycle since the June ceasefire was signed.