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The margin loan balance is indeed at a record high of around 38 trillion won, a figure that first crossed this threshold on May 29th and reached 38.63 trillion won by the end of June. The increase from approximately 27.3 trillion won at the beginning of the year is close to 39 percent; while the claim of doubling might be an exaggeration, the growth rate is truly striking. The average daily balance for the second quarter reached 35.94 trillion won, representing a 15.9 percent increase compared to the first quarter average. KOSPI accounts for approximately 76 percent of this balance, while KOSDAQ's share remains relatively small. However, the margin dependency on KOSDAQ relative to its market capitalization is more than four times that of KOSPI, a significant detail explaining why KOSDAQ has experienced such sharp declines.
On the compulsory liquidation side, the figures show a truly alarming acceleration. In June, on a single day, June 23rd, the day KOSPI experienced its sharpest decline in history, compulsory liquidation reached 42.4 billion won. The situation worsened in July, with total compulsory liquidation reaching 425.8 billion won between July 1st and 10th, including 142.2 billion won in a single day on July 9th. These figures only cover one category, outstanding brokerage transactions; there is a separate compulsory liquidation channel stemming from margin credits. The compulsory liquidation ratio, the ratio of liquidated transactions to pending transactions, jumped from around 1% in January to 5.1% in June and to 10.2% on July 9th, a level brokers already consider a warning sign above 5%.
The compulsory liquidation ratio, or the ratio of liquidated transactions to pending transactions, jumped from around 1% in January to 5.1% in June and to 10.2% on July 9th. I have not been able to independently verify the figures you mentioned regarding 1.2 million accounts triggered by margin calls and 320-360 thousand accounts subject to forced liquidation. Therefore, these specific numbers should be read with caution; they may be true, but I have not encountered these exact figures in the sources I have access to. The Central Bank's own warning is clear: in the event of a significant correction in stock prices due to the increase in debt-backed investments and leveraged ETFs, individual investor losses could increase, and forced liquidations could amplify price volatility.
This situation is directly linked to the concentration risk in leveraged single-stock ETFs that we discussed earlier; together, the two explain why the Korean market has experienced such sharp and recurring declines. For those following the Korean market and related assets through Gate, the key point to watch is whether the mandatory liquidation rate will remain above 10%, as this level already exceeds brokers' own risk control thresholds, increasing the likelihood of further margin rules being tightened in the coming days, which could be a source of additional selling pressure in the short term.
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At the core of this structural volatility is a mathematical process known as short-gamma rebalancing, which governs how leveraged ETFs maintain their target exposure. Unlike standard investment funds, a leveraged or inverse ETF must programmatically rebalance its portfolio at the close of every trading session to guarantee it delivers precisely double the daily return of its underlying asset. When a stock rises, the fund is mechanically forced to purchase more shares to maintain its target leverage, and when the stock falls, the fund must aggressively sell. This rigid structure operates entirely independent of company fundamentals, creating a self-reinforcing cycle where programmatic buying artificially extends market rallies, while forced selling deepens intraday plunges.
The systemic risks of this mechanism became painfully clear during recent mid-July trading, when a global reassessment of artificial intelligence valuations triggered a sharp decline in South Korea's premier semiconductor manufacturers. As shares of SK Hynix plummeted by fifteen percent on a single Monday, the slide triggered an automated cascade of selling across more than a dozen leveraged products tied to the stock, dumping billions of dollars back into the cash market before the closing bell. On several high-volatility days, the rebalancing volume of these single-stock leveraged and inverse funds has accounted for over one-third of the total daily trading value across the entire South Korean ETF market, and in some cases, the daily turnover of the leveraged funds has surpassed sixty percent of the underlying stock’s total volume. This extreme concentration has essentially allowed the "tail to wag the dog," transforming what should be passive tracking tools into primary drivers of asset pricing.
The sudden evaporation of retail wealth, with billions of dollars in fund value melting away over just a few trading sessions, has ignited a fierce political and regulatory debate in Seoul. Proponents of the single-stock leverage framework continue to argue that these products serve an important market function, providing sophisticated local hedging tools and giving domestic investors high-yield options that prevent them from moving capital into offshore accounts. However, skeptics and lawmakers are growing increasingly vocal, with some criticizing the regulatory rollout for effectively turning the benchmark index into an volatile casino. Opponents point to the punishing structural effect known as volatility drag, where assets decay rapidly in highly volatile, range-bound markets, leaving long-term retail holders with heavy losses even if the underlying stock eventually recovers. In response to the growing public backlash, the country's financial authorities have convened emergency meetings, actively weighing measures such as raising minimum cash deposit requirements for retail participants, enforcing stricter promotional guidelines, and dispersing the execution of rebalancing trades throughout the day to prevent market-close shocks.
For market observers and digital asset traders tracking these developments on Gate, the South Korean leverage crisis offers a highly valuable case study in structural market design and the systemic risks of concentrated liquidity. The lessons of automated rebalancing and short-gamma feedback loops are highly relevant to the crypto space, where leveraged derivatives, tokenized assets, and algorithmic trading play a dominant role in daily price discovery. Watching how South Korean financial authorities intervene in the coming weeks will be critical, as any sudden regulatory clampdown, higher margin requirements, or product delistings could prompt a significant migration of speculative retail capital out of traditional equity channels and back into alternative digital asset markets. As global capital flows remain highly sensitive to regulatory changes, monitoring these structural shifts
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