The predicted probability for the U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks drops by 57 percentage points in a single day

ME News message: On April 26 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that, in the expected judgement for “US–Iran diplomatic talks before April 28, 2026?” within the event “When will the US and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting…?”, the probability of “Yes” trading fell from 65.5% to 8.5%, a single-day drop of 57.0 percentage points.
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