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Market predictions show a sharp drop in the probability of the US and Iran holding diplomatic talks

2026-07-15 07:14:48

ME News update: On April 26 (UTC+8), predicted market data shows that in the event “Will the diplomatic meeting between the U.S. and Iran be held…?”, the trading probability of the “Yes” option for “By April 27, 2026, will the U.S. and Iran hold diplomatic talks?” fell from 61.5% to 3.3%, a single-day drop of 58.2 percentage points.

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