Daily Pre-Market Forecast | 2026.07.15

Yesterday’s Recap
Yesterday, BTC broke through 62,550~62,900 and peaked at 65,100, confirming the earlier judgment. After ETH held above 1,805, it later topped out at 1,896—stronger than BTC, and that call was also validated. The conditions for altcoins to wait for BTC to stabilize and for ETH to move up in sync have already appeared, but the “don’t chase before the event” pacing was only partially fulfilled. Today’s focus shifts to verifying whether the repaired structure can hold.
Overall Today’s Call
As of 11:06 (Beijing time), BTC is around $64,564, up 3.26% in 24 hours, in the range 62,318~65,100. ETH is around $1,869, up 4.85% in 24 hours, in the range 1,775~1,897. Both have strengthened in the 4-hour structure, with ETH relatively stronger—so the market has entered a mildly bullish repair phase. However, 1-hour momentum has already cooled; at current levels, near short-term resistance, a quick rise should not be interpreted as a one-way trend. Altcoins can shift to a selective watch mode, but still should wait for a pullback to confirm.
BTC
BTC is currently around $64,564. In the 1-hour timeframe, price is above the EMA20 of about 64,227, the 20-hour moving average of about 64,200, and the 50-hour moving average of about 63,235—so the short-term structure is still within the repair zone. But the MACD histogram has turned negative, indicating the momentum after the spike has slowed. In the 4-hour timeframe, price is above the EMA20 of about 63,662, the 20-period moving average of about 63,548, and the 50-period moving average of about 63,451. MACD momentum has turned stronger—this is the main basis for today’s mildly bullish call. On the daily chart, BTC has regained the EMA20 of about 63,265 and the 50-day moving average of about 64,174, shifting the structure from weak to range-bound repair. The weekly chart is still weak, and medium-term pressure has not been fully removed.
Short-term support is at 64,000~64,200, with stronger support at 63,300~63,650. Short-term resistance is at 64,950~65,200, with stronger resistance at 65,800~66,500. Today’s key pivot is 64,000~64,200: if a pullback holds, there’s still a chance to test 65,100 again and extend upward; if it breaks below 64,000 and the 4-hour closes weak, first expect a look back to 63,300~63,650. In terms of execution, don’t chase by snapping upward into resistance; prioritize waiting for a pullback to support for a stop-loss confirmation.
ETH
ETH is currently around $1,869. In the 1-hour timeframe, price is above the EMA20 of about 1,857, the 20-hour moving average of about 1,858, and the 50-hour moving average of about 1,810—its structure is stronger than BTC’s. But the MACD histogram has turned negative, and the short-term market has also entered a “consume the spike” phase. In the 4-hour timeframe, ETH is above the EMA20 of about 1,818, the 20-period moving average of about 1,810, and the 50-period moving average of about 1,788. MACD remains positive, so the repair structure is relatively intact. On the daily chart, it is above the EMA20 of about 1,767 and the 50-day moving average of about 1,748—currently a relatively strong repair. The weekly chart is still below the long-term moving averages, so it’s too early to judge that the medium-term trend has fully reversed.
Short-term support is at 1,845~1,860, with stronger support at 1,805~1,825. Short-term resistance is at 1,888~1,900, with stronger resistance at 1,940~1,980. Today’s key pivot is 1,845~1,860: only by holding and then breaking above 1,900 again with increased volume will there be conditions to continue the catch-up. If it breaks below 1,845, watch whether 1,805~1,825 can form a second acceptance. In execution, wait for a pullback; don’t chase when sentiment accelerates near 1,900.
Altcoin Correlation Call for Today
If BTC holds 64,000 and ETH holds 1,845 while maintaining relative strength, altcoins will have room to continue repairing and rotating. If BTC breaks below 64,000 or ETH quickly loses 1,845, altcoin elasticity will contract first. Although ETH is leading, it’s currently more suitable for selectively going after strong directions; it’s not appropriate to treat a one-day broad rally as a full altcoin season.
Public Trading Principles
Don’t chase at highs; prioritize waiting for a pullback to key support. When BTC breaks below 64,000 or ETH breaks below 1,845, reduce short-term risk first. Only when BTC holds 65,100, ETH holds 1,900, and there is supporting volume, will the repair continuation be considered. If you already have profits, protect them in batches. For full observation-pool levels and single-coin strategies, refer to quick reports or group documents to subscribe.
Risk Warning
The above is only a scenario projection of market conditions and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets are extremely volatile—pay attention to position sizing and stop-losses. As of 11:06 on July 15, 2026 (Beijing time), prices may change afterward.