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The probability of a positive outcome in U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks drops sharply by 57 percentage points in a single day

2026-07-14 20:54:48

ME News, April 26 (UTC+8): Market predictions show that in the expected assessment of “U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks before April 28, 2026?” under the event “Diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran in…?”, the trading probability of “Yes” fell from 65.5% to 8.5%, a single-day drop of 57.0 percentage points.

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