$77 SOL—are you looking to buy the dip?

First, the surface: it’s down 50%, and retail panic screams “goes to zero.”

Over the past year it’s fallen more than 50%, down 47% in six months; from the 2025 peak of 260, it got slashed in half, then slashed again. But today, riding the bounce with BTC to $77, it’s up 2% in 24 hours and the monthly chart is still up 11%. The 74–80 range keeps retesting the bottom; RSI/MACD is neutral—no extreme overbought or oversold. The bottom is being built; it just needs one more bullish candle with volume.

First thing: SBI is here—Japanese capital, bringing in $2 trillion.

SBI Holdings, a Japanese financial giant with assets under management of over $230 billion, has set up a joint venture with Solana called “SBI Solana Global”—Solana equity, plans to issue the yen stablecoin JPYSC, and also plans to do tokenized bonds, funds, and real estate, cross-border payments, and institutional DeFi.

Second thing: on-chain data is “lying”—it’s telling you “real adoption has never stopped.”

Weekly non-vote transactions have exceeded 100 million, active addresses are close to 7 million, and network utilization is near its annual high. The Sunrise protocol allows external assets to be traded natively on Solana, already generating $350 million in transaction volume and 14 million trades.

Price is down 50%, but usage is up 100%. This isn’t speculation—it’s a necessity. The Pumpfun ecosystem, DeFi, RWA, cross-chain—Solana has already turned from a “meme chain” into the king of Layer-1 driven by “institutional + practical” dual engines.

Third thing: the macro environment is starting to shift, and SOL is the highest-elasticity bet.

June CPI cooled more than expected: month-on-month -0.4%, year-on-year down to 3.5%, and core CPI is soft. Rate-hike worries ease. The Fed keeps interest rates at 3.50%-3.75%, but with inflation cooling and employment data, there’s room for possible policy loosening later.

When money gets cheaper, risk assets fly. And SOL—always the fastest mover on rebounds.

Long vs short—you decide.

One side says:

SBI, a giant with $230 billion in assets, officially partners; yen stablecoin + tokenized assets are about to land

On-chain activity hits a historical high; real adoption never stops

CPI falls; macro turns favorable for risk assets

The 74–80 bottom keeps getting reinforced; the monthly chart is still rising

The other side says:

The weekly chart is still down 6%; the trend hasn’t fully reversed

Heavy pressure from the dense 78–80 trading zone

If BTC breaks below 60k, SOL may probe below 70 again

Key levels

Resistance above: 78–80 → 82 (breakout means trend reversal) → 90–100

Support below: 76 → 74–72 (strong support zone) → 70 (a hard floor)

For short-term traders:

Pull back to 75–76.5 to buy in batches, stop-loss below 74, targets 79–82. If it holds above 78 and expands volume, chase long for 85+.

For swing players:

Wait for the breakout of 82 and a daily close confirmation; add on the right side, targets 90–100+. If it breaks below 74, cut exposure first and watch.

For long-term believers:

Dollar-cost average with no questions below 74. With SBI cooperation landing + Japan stablecoin + institutional adoption, targets for 2027 are 150–200+. Keep total position size at 10–20%, build in batches, and hold—don’t move.

SOL now is like itself back in Oct 2023—

Everyone thought “L1 is dead,” yet in two months it rose from 20 to 120, a 6x.

On the day of the 82 breakout, you’ll realize:

It wasn’t that SOL was bad—it’s that you kept getting scared off every time at the lowest point. #PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购 #百万充值补贴 #沃什听证会撞上CPI $BTC $ETH $SOL