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【CPI good news realized ✅, rally across the board—still one step away】
June U.S. CPI came in below expectations, and the market gave the most direct answer:
📊 Evening gains • BTC $63,720 ↑ +2.22% • ETH $1,864 ↑ +4.96%
🔥 • SOL $76.81 ↑ +2.40% • AAVE $98.78 ↑ +4.48%
🔥 • Gold $4,079 ↑ +1.94% ETH and DeFi lead the rally.
The logic is very clear: CPI low → rate-cut expectations rise → DeFi protocol revenue expectations improve → the ETH ecosystem prices first. But there’s one thing to note: currently, the 1-hour SuperTrend of all assets is 🟣 purple, i.e., a “transitional state.”
Price is already above the ST line, but it has not yet been confirmed by a candle close as a green signal.
Purple ≠ green. A trend turning bullish needs confirmation: 📌 BTC must hold $63,293 📌 ETH must hold $1,835 📌 SOL must hold $75.97 📌 XAU must hold $4,047.
This morning, these four lines are still red—now they’ve all turned purple.
Wait for the 1-hour candlestick to close green before considering it a relatively safe add-on point. After a big surge, don’t chase; pullbacks are the opportunity.
Five-grid method: hold the core position; hold the swing position until signals confirm; for short-term trades, take a light position and try going long.
(My personal opinion, not investment advice)