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Everyone Is Chasing $MON At The Wrong Price. The Real Entry Could Deliver 2,900%+ Upside
#MON Is Forming A HTF Bearish Flag After A -76% Impulse From Listing Highs, Signaling Potential 76% Downside If Channel Support Breaks. However, From A Long-Term Perspective, The Projected Breakdown Zone Aligns With A Generational Accumulation Range For Gradual Positioning.
Technical Structure
✅ Listing High Rejection: -77% Macro Correction Into Current Range (~$0.022)
✅ HTF Bearish Flag Forming Inside Ascending Channel (2D Timeframe)
✅ Bearish Order Block + FVG Confluence: $0.032–$0.037 (Untested Supply)
✅ 3x Clean Rejections From Channel Resistance Confirm Distribution
✅ Key Decision Level: $0.01850 (Channel Support Trendline)
✅ Flag Breakdown Measured Move: -76% Projection Into HTF Demand
✅ High-Risk Accumulation Zone: $0.0050–$0.0042
✅ Major S/R Flip: $0.037 (Bullish Above / Bearish Below)
✅ Resistance Stack: $0.032 → $0.037 → $0.047 → $0.129
✅ Risk Invalidation: Sustained HTF Acceptance Below $0.004
➡️ Nov 2025: Mainnet Launch + Listing High
➡️ 2025–2026: -76% Corrective Phase Into Flag Consolidation
➡️ Current Price: ~$0.022 (Mid-Range - No-Trade Zone For Investors)
➡️ 24 Nov 2026: First Major Unlock (~16.8B MON) - Investor/Team Cliff Ends, Supply Pressure Begins
➡️ Current Phase: Post-Distribution → Pre-Capitulation
Scenario 1 → Short-Term Scalp (Above $0.01850)
Price Holding Channel Support Opens A Move Into $0.032–$0.037 Supply. Bearish OB + FVG Stack = Prime Rejection Zone. Scalp Potential: +40% To +100% From Current Levels.
Scenario 2 → Flag Breakdown (Below $0.01850)
HTF Close Below Channel Support Activates The -76% Measured Move Toward $0.0050–$0.0042, The Maximum Reward, Minimum Risk Entry For Long-Term Positioning.
Structure Shift Requirements
1️⃣ HTF Close Above $0.037 (OB + FVG Reclaim)
2️⃣ Break Of Flag Structure (LH → HH Transition)
3️⃣ Acceptance Above $0.047 For Expansion Confirmation
Bull Cycle Targets (From Accumulation Zone): $0.047 → $0.10 → $0.13 → $0.20
Invalidation: HTF Close Below $0.004 Demand
The $0.0050–$0.0042 Region Represents A High-Risk Accumulation Zone For MON/USDT. Bearish Flag Structure Remains Intact Until HTF Reclaim Confirms Trend Reversal. Most Important Level To Watch: $0.01850.
TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR.
@monad