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Probability of a meeting between the US and Iran diplomatically is expected to drop significantly

2026-07-13 12:37:03

ME News reported on April 26 (UTC+8) that based on predictive market data, in the event “Will the US and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting in…?”, the probability of the “Yes” option for “A US-Iran diplomatic meeting to be held by April 29, 2026” fell from 65.5% to 15.5%, a single-day drop of 50.0 percentage points.

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