#PredictWorldCupWin40000U

This semi-final is one of the most evenly matched pairings of the tournament. France's physical strength and fast-paced transition game will clash with Spain's possession and passing tempo. While France is slightly favored in current analyses, the difference is quite small.

My match prediction

Score prediction

* France 2-1 Spain
* First half: 1-1
* Winning goal: Between 70-85 minutes.

Probabilities of winning

* 🇫🇷 France: 46%

* 🤝 Draw (90 minutes): 28%

* 🇪🇸 Spain: 26%

Probability of reaching the final including extra time:

* 🇫🇷 France: 56%

* 🇪🇸 Spain: 44%

Key players of the match

France

* Kylian Mbappé – The biggest goal threat, deep runs could be decisive. * Ousmane Dembélé – Can change the balance of the match in one-on-one situations. * Aurélien Tchouaméni – The main figure in the midfield battle.

Spain

* Lamine Yamal – The biggest creative threat on the right wing. * Pedri – Will set the tempo of the game. * Mikel Merino – Can be effective with his late runs into the penalty area.

Polymarket-style prediction
Market Probability
France reaches the final 56%
Spain reaches the final 44%
France wins in 90 minutes 46%
Spain wins in 90 minutes 26%
Match goes to extra time 28%
Both teams to score 61%
Total 2.5 OVER 54%
Mbappé scores (at any time) 42%
Lamine Yamal scores or assists 47%
France scores the first goal 55%
Most likely scores

1. 2-1 France – 18%
2. 1-1 – 16%
3. 1-0 France – 14%
4. 2-2 – 11%
5. 1-2 Spain – 10%

My final prediction: France 2-1 Spain and France will be the team to secure a place in the final.