July 13, 2026 Market Analysis

XAU: The “yellow fish” continued this Monday the trend from last Friday. The first resistance level I gave during the live broadcast last Friday was 4120-4125. As a result, last Friday it came down several times without reaching that level. This Monday at the open it reached it, but generally anyone who trades CFDs knows that orders can’t be placed during the five minutes before and after the open, so we waited until the SGF (Shanghai gold) opened and entered around 4085 with the first trade. The plan was that if price went up, we’d add another trade at 4095, entering in batches—but it went straight down. 4055 is the first take-profit level, 4030 is the second take-profit level. Currently, the position has already taken profit on 70% of the size.
ETH: For ETH, since there’s no such thing as a weekend market closure, when I streamed last Friday I gave the first resistance level at 1815, but I also added an explanation: once price entered 1810, we needed to observe, because it might also go to around 1830. This is a resistance zone, not just a single pinpoint level.
As it turned out, on Sunday the high reached 1828. During the live stream I also emphasized that if there’s no news-driven catalyst over the weekend, the volatility wouldn’t be too big—roughly 30-50 points of movement. So this trade setup has at least 30 points of profit.
During the live stream I also emphasized that the second resistance level is around 1850, and I stressed that if you’re doing swing trades and you feel that entering in the 1815-1830 area doesn’t offer a good risk-reward ratio, then you should definitely try around 1850. This is a strong resistance level, and the risk-reward ratio here is also very high. This morning around 8:00, most of our members entered at 1845. The first take-profit level is 1780, and the second take-profit level is 1760. Currently, they’ve already taken profit on 70% of the position.
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